1 00:00:00,270 --> 00:00:05,820 Hi and welcome to another podcast from the sense of evidence based medicine, evidence based health care program. 2 00:00:06,930 --> 00:00:10,980 Today, David Noonan to myself are joined by Professor Paul Glacier. 3 00:00:11,340 --> 00:00:15,930 And we're going to spend some time today talking about Paul's experience of 4 00:00:15,930 --> 00:00:20,160 leadership and his work in capacity building through teaching and supervision. 5 00:00:20,670 --> 00:00:27,660 Paul, thank you so much for joining us today. Can I just ask you to introduce yourself and tell us a little about your work? 6 00:00:29,180 --> 00:00:37,640 Well, it's a pleasure to be here, Carol. And I'm currently on the Gold Coast at a place called Bond University because the surf's pretty good here. 7 00:00:38,570 --> 00:00:46,010 And I direct a thing called the Institute for Evidence based Health Care, which mostly focuses on research. 8 00:00:46,010 --> 00:00:50,240 But it comes out of the work I did at the Centre for Evidence based Medicine in Oxford. 9 00:00:50,630 --> 00:00:59,660 So the central interest still is very much on how do we get better evidence in the hands of practitioners at the coalface. 10 00:01:00,990 --> 00:01:05,450 Great. Thanks. And have you been surfing today? Yes. 11 00:01:05,460 --> 00:01:09,780 It wasn't great this morning, but still in lockstep with how we get here. 12 00:01:10,380 --> 00:01:13,310 So of course, we know you really well and we work with you as well. 13 00:01:14,430 --> 00:01:19,710 One of the reasons we wanted to talk to you and take some time out was to hear a bit more about your journey. 14 00:01:20,970 --> 00:01:25,860 And, you know, you've talked about your time in Oxford. Obviously your work now in Australia as well on the Gold Coast. 15 00:01:26,930 --> 00:01:30,229 Can you tell us a little bit more about about your journey as in, you know, 16 00:01:30,230 --> 00:01:35,150 from an earlier stage and your your development through that journey to where you are now? 17 00:01:37,940 --> 00:01:41,960 Sure. So if you don't mind, I might go back quite a long way. 18 00:01:42,750 --> 00:01:54,500 So when I was a young post Ph.D. researcher and I got very interested in how research got into practice or influence policy. 19 00:01:54,830 --> 00:02:04,100 And I had the good fortune to meet Dave Sackett, who's one of the fathers of evidence based medicine, when he was visiting Sydney. 20 00:02:04,730 --> 00:02:10,310 And then a couple of years later I visited him at McMaster and did a ward round. 21 00:02:10,820 --> 00:02:21,290 This is before the term evidence based medicine had been coined by Gordon Knight, so to speak, about 1990 and did a ward round with Deborah Cooke. 22 00:02:22,530 --> 00:02:23,700 The dive took me on. 23 00:02:24,600 --> 00:02:32,670 And one of the fascinating things was just the way that she managed the whole process of the war ground and introduced evidence into it. 24 00:02:33,090 --> 00:02:40,440 And a dramatic example of this was a patient who was anaemic and we were discussing whether it might be iron deficiency anaemia. 25 00:02:40,860 --> 00:02:50,010 And in the back of the paper chart was the meta analysis of the accuracy of ferritin for predicting iron deficiency anaemia. 26 00:02:50,610 --> 00:02:58,800 And apparently this was relatively routine and McMaster had been doing this for a while, which was to bring paper copies to the point of care. 27 00:02:59,610 --> 00:03:07,470 Now, of course, we've moved on then. This was the days before we had PubMed even, and you could have your handheld. 28 00:03:08,280 --> 00:03:16,170 But it was a dramatic example of trying to bring evidence to the point of care and the best evidence to the point of care. 29 00:03:16,800 --> 00:03:19,800 And I can tell you all about the rest of the ward ran, 30 00:03:19,800 --> 00:03:26,190 but it was a dramatic moment for me because I saw, yes, actually, you can connect these two worlds. 31 00:03:26,970 --> 00:03:36,000 So that got me very interested intellectually. Went back inspired by Dave and retrained in medicine, not been out of clinical practice for a while. 32 00:03:36,060 --> 00:03:42,690 Did emergency department work on Friday evenings for quite some time and then retrained as a 33 00:03:42,690 --> 00:03:48,030 general practitioner interested in how do you get evidence based medicine into primary care? 34 00:03:49,690 --> 00:03:56,320 And that's been a zig zag journey, I think, as all clinical and academic careers are. 35 00:03:56,800 --> 00:04:06,000 But the central question has always been how do we better use evidence at the point of care and experimenting with different ways of doing that, 36 00:04:06,350 --> 00:04:12,040 running journal clubs, getting people to use logbooks of questions, training people in evidence based medicine, 37 00:04:12,370 --> 00:04:17,439 giving them pre appraised materials, all sorts of different ways of doing it. 38 00:04:17,440 --> 00:04:22,929 And I think that experimentation is very important for us to progress in evidence based 39 00:04:22,930 --> 00:04:28,360 medicine because there's been a lot of change since the tort term was coined by Gordon Gott. 40 00:04:29,050 --> 00:04:33,420 But we still have a long way to go to. Yeah. 41 00:04:33,750 --> 00:04:39,300 And you mentioned being inspired by David and Deborah. 42 00:04:39,320 --> 00:04:42,630 And so what was it about them that that really grabbed you? 43 00:04:42,660 --> 00:04:47,220 What was it about? You know, what they did, what they said that inspired you? 44 00:04:48,780 --> 00:05:02,010 Hmm. Well, Dave Stack, it was just a lovely guy and just had very interesting ways of looking at the world and treated people differently. 45 00:05:03,090 --> 00:05:12,719 He was an excellent mentor. In fact, he and Sharon Strauss, Sharon was this registrar at the John Radcliffe for quite some time, 46 00:05:12,720 --> 00:05:16,200 and then she went back to Canada to continue evidence based medicine. 47 00:05:16,560 --> 00:05:19,760 He and she wrote a book on mentoring. 48 00:05:19,770 --> 00:05:24,749 And of course, they did a systematic review of all the literature on mentoring to look at what 49 00:05:24,750 --> 00:05:28,770 the best evidence for mentoring was in order to inform the writing of the book. 50 00:05:29,190 --> 00:05:34,979 And that was very typical of Dave, that he took something that was very important to people, 51 00:05:34,980 --> 00:05:42,120 a subject like mentoring, but then had this, well, let's try and get evidence to see what we could do to improve it. 52 00:05:42,510 --> 00:05:49,110 So he was very much into the scientific method, if you like, of experimenting, 53 00:05:49,380 --> 00:05:54,000 getting best evidence and using that to inform important human problems. 54 00:05:54,990 --> 00:06:04,830 And he inspired other people to take that open minded, sort of sceptical but not closed minded attitude towards everything, 55 00:06:04,830 --> 00:06:11,220 and thinking of constant experimentation with things, constant learning and trying to improve. 56 00:06:12,960 --> 00:06:16,040 For the benefit of patient care. Yeah. 57 00:06:16,050 --> 00:06:23,550 So I was just about to say so the underlying principle was to improve care, but it was also the way that he went about. 58 00:06:23,550 --> 00:06:28,750 That also inspired you? I mean, you mentioned first thing you said or one of the first thing he did was he was just a lovely person. 59 00:06:28,750 --> 00:06:36,690 And and I'm just I'm just curious. And and you also mentioned mentoring and and enjoying what he did to improve care. 60 00:06:37,140 --> 00:06:41,970 So what elements do you think of those or of other people that you've been inspired by? 61 00:06:42,030 --> 00:06:54,049 Have you taken on board yourself as a leader? Oh, well, I suppose I'm a mishmash of all sorts of excellent people that I've met throughout my career. 62 00:06:54,050 --> 00:07:01,400 I could go through a long list of them, but you learn things from the good people that you meet along the way and certainly Dave. 63 00:07:02,030 --> 00:07:10,429 Ian Chalmers I would name is another one as this being people who'd been very influential on the way that I go about both research, 64 00:07:10,430 --> 00:07:14,899 work, patient care and everyday life in fact. That's great. 65 00:07:14,900 --> 00:07:17,570 And Sharon, as you said, Sharon Strauss, as you mentioned. 66 00:07:18,110 --> 00:07:25,159 So along this journey, you know, you described it as a mishmash of, you know, you also changed track in your clinical you know, 67 00:07:25,160 --> 00:07:31,309 you said you went from emergency medicine to general practice as well and became more of a generalist with that specific focus, 68 00:07:31,310 --> 00:07:36,600 as you said, on using evidence to improve clinical care like Dave Sacco as well. 69 00:07:36,620 --> 00:07:40,350 But in your own practice. Along that journey. 70 00:07:40,500 --> 00:07:45,660 So after, you know, working with Dave, at what point did you feel as if, you know, 71 00:07:45,690 --> 00:07:49,780 I think I'm ready to now start doing things and perhaps inspiring others? 72 00:07:49,800 --> 00:07:54,500 Was it was it before you came to Oxford or what time what prime time point in your career did you start for? 73 00:07:54,720 --> 00:07:58,990 You know, I want to I want to make it my own thing of this. Mm. 74 00:08:00,250 --> 00:08:03,360 Yeah. So it was well before Oxford. 75 00:08:03,360 --> 00:08:08,069 So I think the first point at which I was really doing it was from I took up a position at the 76 00:08:08,070 --> 00:08:15,120 University of Queensland teaching the medical students clinical what was called clinical epidemiology. 77 00:08:15,120 --> 00:08:19,559 We can call it evidence based medicine because the term was it was about then 78 00:08:19,560 --> 00:08:24,840 it was being coined and the medical students actually helped with that too, 79 00:08:24,840 --> 00:08:28,440 because some of the stuff that I was teaching them I think was too technical. 80 00:08:28,980 --> 00:08:31,260 So they complained about that. 81 00:08:32,400 --> 00:08:40,090 And so I listened to their complaints, but there was stuff that they really appreciated as well, though not necessarily at the time. 82 00:08:40,650 --> 00:08:46,440 One of the interesting things has been just meeting people who have been my medical students more 83 00:08:46,440 --> 00:08:52,409 than a decade ago and saying how much they now appreciated having the clinical epidemiology, 84 00:08:52,410 --> 00:08:54,690 teaching and how useful it's been in their career. 85 00:08:55,080 --> 00:09:01,950 And they wish they'd listened more at the time because I didn't realise how important this was because they said far more 86 00:09:01,950 --> 00:09:08,670 important than many of the other things that they have been thinking were important in the sort of biological basis of medicine. 87 00:09:10,090 --> 00:09:16,540 So after that, I gradually refined what I was trying to teach, in fact, 88 00:09:16,540 --> 00:09:23,650 of being forever trying to refine what I teach to students based again on a deep second principle. 89 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:31,450 One of the things that Dave used to say is that he wouldn't teach people stuff that he wasn't doing himself. 90 00:09:33,430 --> 00:09:41,850 Another words, unless he'd worked out how to make this thing practical in patient care, he wouldn't tell people how to do it. 91 00:09:41,870 --> 00:09:48,790 And that's why he stepped back when he stopped practising from from teaching bedside evidence based medicine. 92 00:09:50,480 --> 00:09:54,110 So that's what I actually gradually moved to was saying, Well, 93 00:09:54,110 --> 00:10:04,370 what is it that I do and what is it that I think might be helpful for others trying to use evidence in their own practices to learn about? 94 00:10:04,790 --> 00:10:08,359 And that's a question I'm still trying to answer. By the way, there's no end to this. 95 00:10:08,360 --> 00:10:14,089 Evidence based medicine is still evolving. We're still learning more about how to do this better. 96 00:10:14,090 --> 00:10:18,149 And it will keep changing and keep improving, I think. 97 00:10:18,150 --> 00:10:20,720 I mean, I think that's an important point. Well, I'm just going to pick up. You know, 98 00:10:20,850 --> 00:10:25,729 I recognise I was one of those medical students in London who wrote to you and David 99 00:10:25,730 --> 00:10:29,840 meant and that ended up my connection to the centre about maybe 20 years ago. 100 00:10:29,840 --> 00:10:37,390 But looking back, some of you said about it constantly being an opportunity to learn and and I just wanted to pick up on. 101 00:10:37,940 --> 00:10:40,969 I mean, you say you say, you know, you tell yourself this. 102 00:10:40,970 --> 00:10:46,670 And so there's obviously an element of reflection, self-reflection in your constant self, in your work. 103 00:10:47,270 --> 00:10:52,429 How important is that as a as a developing career scientist and then then a leader? 104 00:10:52,430 --> 00:10:57,560 I mean, do you how do you work that in terms of defining and helping you shape what you do next? 105 00:11:00,520 --> 00:11:08,049 Yeah. So I think it's, as I described, a process of constantly trying things yourself, 106 00:11:08,050 --> 00:11:13,480 first of all, or working with a small group of other people to try out something. 107 00:11:14,020 --> 00:11:18,670 And then once you think you've got something, then moving that into the teaching. 108 00:11:19,780 --> 00:11:27,330 I'm so an example of this that we'll come to a bit later on is what's the role of shared decision making and evidence based medicine? 109 00:11:27,810 --> 00:11:33,480 And I've been pondering that for years and often with tweeted at the end. 110 00:11:34,340 --> 00:11:44,630 So for example, when I was in Oxford, one of the things that we would do is at the end of a critical appraisal, get the students to role play. 111 00:11:45,720 --> 00:11:50,459 So okay let's let's now actually move this pretend you want to explain the results of 112 00:11:50,460 --> 00:11:55,620 this study to a patient or at least what the the impact of the treatment would be. 113 00:11:55,980 --> 00:12:00,930 Let's try that and then get them to reverse the roles, like give feedback to one another, 114 00:12:00,930 --> 00:12:07,220 the class would give feedback, etc. like Tammy Hoffmann has been suggesting, Well, why don't we start there? 115 00:12:08,160 --> 00:12:14,459 So reverse the steps of evidence based medicine and start with the process of teaching, shared decision making, 116 00:12:14,460 --> 00:12:21,690 and then ask where do these numbers come from as a way of motivating the process of evidence based medicine? 117 00:12:22,110 --> 00:12:26,430 Can I believe the numbers that I'm using in a shared decision making process? 118 00:12:26,970 --> 00:12:34,140 And we've done in one experimental workshop with that from about two years ago, which was very well received. 119 00:12:34,140 --> 00:12:37,980 But it's an area I think it's promising but needs more research. 120 00:12:39,960 --> 00:12:46,140 That's fascinating. I mean, one thing that's clearly coming through the discussion with you is that you you like to be innovative. 121 00:12:46,140 --> 00:12:50,070 You like to try things that are perhaps following your reflection, as you said, 122 00:12:50,070 --> 00:12:54,150 and then ideas and then putting them into practice, even just testing them in little pilots. 123 00:12:54,900 --> 00:13:02,160 How do you deal with with with moments when they don't work sometimes when the pilots and the ideas don't come off because, you know, it happens. 124 00:13:02,160 --> 00:13:08,280 You know, if you're going to leave things teaching, research, you know, teams as well, you're going to put ideas, but they don't always kind of. 125 00:13:08,310 --> 00:13:15,870 How do you manage that? Yeah, well, you you can't be an innovator unless you can accept failures. 126 00:13:17,160 --> 00:13:22,040 Because most, most things won't work, particularly when you first try them. 127 00:13:22,070 --> 00:13:26,190 You've got to be prepared to to try various different ways of doing it. 128 00:13:26,730 --> 00:13:29,880 But I would always try and do that in a safe environment. 129 00:13:30,420 --> 00:13:40,080 So I put it with a group of people that, you know, that you feel comfortable with once you think you've got a version of it that really does work. 130 00:13:40,440 --> 00:13:47,670 That's when I might go and do you know, larger experiments, large studies with it, or start teaching using that process? 131 00:13:48,630 --> 00:13:51,960 But yeah, you've got to make sure you've got a safe way of filing. 132 00:13:52,740 --> 00:13:56,549 Yeah. Now that's a great way. That's a great framing of that, that point. 133 00:13:56,550 --> 00:14:00,000 And I'm curious, too, because you mentioned, you know, the safe environment, 134 00:14:00,000 --> 00:14:04,770 working with small, intimate teams to begin with and then expanding out from there. 135 00:14:05,970 --> 00:14:14,670 What sort of what sort of characteristics do you think those team members would say that you have as a leader and an innovator? 136 00:14:14,670 --> 00:14:18,390 What sort of things do you think that they see in you that maybe others can learn from? 137 00:14:21,000 --> 00:14:31,050 Oh, that's probably for them to say. So just guessing some of the things, I think I would be seen as relatively creative. 138 00:14:31,230 --> 00:14:36,180 But that's just because I'm prepared to innovate. I don't think I'm particularly creative, 139 00:14:36,540 --> 00:14:45,989 but I'm always pondering on ways that you could improve things and being prepared as a side to fail to learn from others, to always look at will. 140 00:14:45,990 --> 00:14:53,830 Have other people tried this? So not to think that I can do every everything from scratch. 141 00:14:53,830 --> 00:15:00,040 It's always worth looking at what other people have done, including within other disciplines as well. 142 00:15:00,460 --> 00:15:07,840 So looking even outside medicine sometimes to find inspiration for looking for new ways of doing things. 143 00:15:08,620 --> 00:15:11,319 Some examples of that is one of my great inspirations, 144 00:15:11,320 --> 00:15:17,650 I think has been the Hull Quality Improvement area, which came out of industrial processing and Deming, 145 00:15:18,100 --> 00:15:24,429 some working Japanese back in the 1950s and sixties, and Deming's principles, 146 00:15:24,430 --> 00:15:31,830 which is really of continuous improvement, which is heavily influenced my approach to things. 147 00:15:34,390 --> 00:15:36,879 I mean, that's why I said you're right about the quality improvement. 148 00:15:36,880 --> 00:15:43,360 And again, it signals your radar an awareness of new techniques and new ideas emerging, 149 00:15:43,510 --> 00:15:46,720 as you said, even from other fields we can bring in to health care. 150 00:15:47,530 --> 00:15:55,630 And that fits with that innovation that you mentioned. And in terms of wider collaboration, just could you talk to us and, you know, 151 00:15:55,720 --> 00:15:59,260 we talked and you sent us some some thoughts and notes about collaboration. 152 00:15:59,440 --> 00:16:06,030 And I loved some of your frameworks about how do you choose how to collaborate with and who to collaborate with and what are you looking for? 153 00:16:06,070 --> 00:16:09,250 Maybe can you just talk us through that? I think it would be really interested in that. 154 00:16:10,590 --> 00:16:18,150 Yeah. Okay. So I think the first thing to say is that not everybody is a good collaborator. 155 00:16:19,380 --> 00:16:25,410 Some people see the synergy that occurs in a collaboration so that it's actually a win win. 156 00:16:26,100 --> 00:16:30,840 You get more than what you both put into. It comes out of the collaboration. 157 00:16:31,350 --> 00:16:36,330 But some people are what my wife calls zero sum thinkers. 158 00:16:36,960 --> 00:16:39,540 If you win, somebody else must lose. 159 00:16:39,960 --> 00:16:48,870 And I think that's always one of those tensions in working out who to collaborate with, who is a good collaborator, to be a good collaborator. 160 00:16:49,200 --> 00:16:52,590 They've got to be good to work with. 161 00:16:52,920 --> 00:16:56,160 That doesn't necessarily mean they're a pleasant and nice person, 162 00:16:56,490 --> 00:17:02,309 but that you can work with them and they're sort of intrinsically good hearted and that they do not think 163 00:17:02,310 --> 00:17:08,760 in a zero sum game fashion that they would be open and reasonably honest with you about the process. 164 00:17:09,420 --> 00:17:12,239 You can work out what your thinking styles are. 165 00:17:12,240 --> 00:17:19,050 So that there's an important thing is that there's an investment that goes into developing any collaboration. 166 00:17:20,790 --> 00:17:29,340 So in that regard, you want to work out early on whether this is a group or an individual that you want to collaborate with, 167 00:17:29,670 --> 00:17:35,070 that you think you're going to get something out of. It's like choosing friends really in a way, 168 00:17:37,410 --> 00:17:44,070 because you need to be prepared to invest that time in the people you think will work out as good collaborators. 169 00:17:45,590 --> 00:17:50,730 That's created by Paul. Final question from me and then I know David wants to talk to you about your teaching and capacity building. 170 00:17:51,240 --> 00:17:54,180 But listen, I mean, there's some amazing work. 171 00:17:54,180 --> 00:18:01,370 I mean, a collaboration, basically having a thick skin and not being afraid to try and be innovative and accept failure. 172 00:18:01,380 --> 00:18:03,300 That was a that was a great insight. 173 00:18:04,930 --> 00:18:09,760 I mean, a lot of a lot of people will be at different stages of their career to tell you who may be listening to this. 174 00:18:11,640 --> 00:18:17,010 Many will be inspired by your work, other works and other people's work in health care as in evidence based health care. 175 00:18:17,220 --> 00:18:22,350 What sort of final tips or thoughts might you offer them about developing their career 176 00:18:22,350 --> 00:18:25,230 and thinking about themselves as the next generation of leaders and evidence base? 177 00:18:25,500 --> 00:18:29,670 Any any final tips that we haven't covered from you that they can maybe take away? 178 00:18:31,190 --> 00:18:37,190 Oh. Okay. So here's one general one that I was seeing with one of my colleagues last week, 179 00:18:37,790 --> 00:18:48,139 which is I usually want to be working in a couple of different areas because you'll often find one area is working well and things are 180 00:18:48,140 --> 00:18:56,990 starting to bloom in that area and that sort of keeps you going while you get through the difficult ones of the other project areas. 181 00:18:57,740 --> 00:19:00,770 Now, having said that, you have to, I think, 182 00:19:01,100 --> 00:19:08,450 work in an area for probably at least two or three years before you're really getting sufficiently 183 00:19:08,450 --> 00:19:15,680 deep knowledge in that area to really start making some some important contributions in the area. 184 00:19:16,190 --> 00:19:23,440 So you have to be prepared to be in it for the long term. So that means if you're picking up a new area, you want to keep it. 185 00:19:23,510 --> 00:19:31,070 Let's say you work in three areas. You want to keep two standard areas whilst you develop that third area. 186 00:19:31,640 --> 00:19:37,670 You can't just start a new suite of things straightaway because you will need the collaborations, 187 00:19:37,670 --> 00:19:41,630 the knowledge, etc. in that new area in order to be able to develop it. 188 00:19:42,110 --> 00:19:47,270 But don't be afraid of doing that. But just keep something. Keep all the irons in the fire at the same time. 189 00:19:47,840 --> 00:19:53,360 Yeah. So diversify your collaborators and your areas as well. 190 00:19:53,870 --> 00:19:59,990 Paul That's been fantastic insights into your journey and your leadership journey and your application. 191 00:20:00,000 --> 00:20:03,960 I'm going to hand over to David now, who wants to talk a bit bit more about your teaching experience. 192 00:20:03,980 --> 00:20:06,990 That's okay. Sure. Thanks. 193 00:20:07,050 --> 00:20:10,920 Well, thanks. Bye. Bye. Carmel? 194 00:20:11,250 --> 00:20:15,959 Yeah. No, I'm starting to run out of Post-it notes with all that, with all the tips and the things. 195 00:20:15,960 --> 00:20:20,550 And I'm sure others are just writing down all the fantastic stuff that's been coming from that conversation. 196 00:20:21,420 --> 00:20:23,450 Generally leadership. But actually it's interesting. 197 00:20:23,550 --> 00:20:29,879 I'm taking notes, but a lot of my notes are actually around around teaching a lot of things you've talked around and the examples you've given, 198 00:20:29,880 --> 00:20:35,060 Paul, have been have been, you know, I would say mentoring and teaching type examples. 199 00:20:35,070 --> 00:20:40,320 I don't know if that's deliberate of that. If that's just with IBM and ABC, they go hand in hand. 200 00:20:40,950 --> 00:20:46,290 What I can certainly is inspirational because the reason I'm talking to you now and where I am, where I am, 201 00:20:46,530 --> 00:20:53,310 is because you gave me the first lecture I ever had on evidence based medicine when I arrived at the Centre for Space Medicine in 2010. 202 00:20:53,760 --> 00:20:58,590 You might not know this, but I attended I attended your one day intro workshop and and that was it that, 203 00:20:58,650 --> 00:21:02,400 that I use this story to tell people how my journey only came about. 204 00:21:02,400 --> 00:21:09,479 And I was lucky enough to have pulled as you show me the ropes and inspire me from the first from the first point. 205 00:21:09,480 --> 00:21:15,240 So I can certainly vouch for the fact that inspirational is definitely going to be one of the characteristics that comes out. 206 00:21:15,990 --> 00:21:19,290 I do want to get your general philosophy on teaching and education and having 207 00:21:19,290 --> 00:21:23,759 just sort of described how a lot of your examples come from looks like teaching. 208 00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:31,650 So just just what's your general philosophy towards the importance and relevance of teaching of EPM and EBC? 209 00:21:32,430 --> 00:21:35,790 So do I have a general philosophy? I'm not really sure. 210 00:21:37,140 --> 00:21:44,970 I think I was starting to cover it by saying, what is it about evidence that can help you with patient care? 211 00:21:45,420 --> 00:21:56,700 And that's the fundamental problem. And one thing I should have said earlier in the advice about the theory is to always focus on a specific problem. 212 00:21:57,120 --> 00:22:05,220 Some people get wrapped up in a particular process like shared decision making or evidence synthesis or whatever it is, 213 00:22:05,490 --> 00:22:10,500 and that's great, but you've always got to look to the end point that you're after. 214 00:22:10,920 --> 00:22:19,080 What's the end game of this? And that is to try and bring evidence to inform better decisions at the point of care. 215 00:22:19,980 --> 00:22:27,270 I want all things that, you know, in order to improve you use evidence better in patient care. 216 00:22:28,020 --> 00:22:31,020 So let's go back to the quadrant for a moment. 217 00:22:31,320 --> 00:22:36,210 And is that serum ferret and meta analysis that's in the back of the chart? 218 00:22:37,160 --> 00:22:43,910 Like you can't as a layperson or normal, most medical students just pull that out and start using it. 219 00:22:45,020 --> 00:22:50,060 So there are some fundamental things that you're going to need to know first in order to use it. 220 00:22:50,540 --> 00:22:56,330 You will need to know what a sensitivity and specificity is. For example, you need to know what a meta analysis is. 221 00:22:56,870 --> 00:23:03,979 You'd have to have some ideas of critical appraisal in order to pull out from that 222 00:23:03,980 --> 00:23:08,540 article the things that are going to be useful to the care of that specific patient. 223 00:23:09,890 --> 00:23:13,790 So and this is an ongoing question in evidence based medicine, 224 00:23:13,790 --> 00:23:21,260 I think is so one of the fundamental things that you do need to know in order to use evidence at the point of care. 225 00:23:21,770 --> 00:23:27,980 You can't go in as a blank slate. You have to have some fundamentals of clinical epidemiology, 226 00:23:28,550 --> 00:23:35,210 but you probably don't need to know how to calculate a nice square statistically or heterogeneity in a systematic review. 227 00:23:36,800 --> 00:23:41,030 You may need to want to know how to interpret, but not how to calculate. 228 00:23:41,780 --> 00:23:43,100 Okay, so there's a lot. 229 00:23:43,400 --> 00:23:53,690 The vast majority of stuff within sort of statistics, epidemiology, etc. you are not going to have to know for a medical student or as a clinician. 230 00:23:54,740 --> 00:24:00,200 But there are some fundamentals that you need to know before you can start interpreting. 231 00:24:00,590 --> 00:24:05,900 And then the other part of it is the practical aspects of the process of doing this. 232 00:24:06,650 --> 00:24:10,190 So what does it look like to be an evidence based practitioner? 233 00:24:10,940 --> 00:24:19,730 And there isn't one magic solution to that. Again, it will actually vary by speciality, and you'll probably have to need several processes. 234 00:24:20,030 --> 00:24:31,100 So we talk about the push pull, for example, that sometimes you'll need to get evidence that you don't currently have. 235 00:24:32,140 --> 00:24:37,000 To answer a specific patient question. Other times, the evidence will come to you. 236 00:24:37,270 --> 00:24:44,860 The latest issue of the BMJ might come to you or the Lancet, and you'll say, Can I believe this new thing? 237 00:24:45,220 --> 00:24:49,030 I had never thought about it before, but now they're suggesting such and such might work. 238 00:24:49,480 --> 00:24:55,240 This new surgical treatment or this new physiotherapy and being able to appraise that as well. 239 00:24:56,240 --> 00:25:01,160 So you'll need a bag of tricks. And it might be keeping a log book, knowing how to run a journal club, 240 00:25:01,520 --> 00:25:07,640 knowing which people to to ask for advice, and then asking them how they know that. 241 00:25:09,180 --> 00:25:12,300 What's the evidence on which you base that piece of advice? 242 00:25:15,250 --> 00:25:17,110 Thanks, Paul. And really, really, 243 00:25:17,440 --> 00:25:24,579 really key key tips that I think and I'm just sort of touching on some of the points you made about keeping an idea in mind of the original, 244 00:25:24,580 --> 00:25:36,040 if you like, task BBM was was. How do we how do we inform and inform best practice of of of of our of our practice via via 245 00:25:36,050 --> 00:25:41,350 evidence and and what skills that you therefore need in order to help you achieve that goal. 246 00:25:42,790 --> 00:25:50,050 You've that you're always keeping that top end goal in mind. I find it interesting we put out a call in the BMJ IBM Journal recently for. 247 00:25:50,260 --> 00:25:53,770 So what's the next paradigm shift in the teaching education of IBM? 248 00:25:53,770 --> 00:25:58,749 Because we've got to be thinking about it because it's, you know, the conditions under which IBM was launched are not the same now. 249 00:25:58,750 --> 00:26:03,000 So what's changing in the way that we educate, in the way we do this well? 250 00:26:03,480 --> 00:26:07,030 And and as part of the background for that, I read and you touched on it Gordon guy, 251 00:26:07,030 --> 00:26:13,269 it sounds like it's paper in 1992 where they introduced IBM and I hadn't it hadn't stood 252 00:26:13,270 --> 00:26:18,669 out to me enough before until I really dived into this paper that even in the title, 253 00:26:18,670 --> 00:26:23,230 it's called A New Approach to Teaching the Practice of Evidence Based Medicine. 254 00:26:23,650 --> 00:26:30,070 And then I did a bit of a sort of word analysis of how many words are related to teaching and education and how many words related to practice. 255 00:26:30,070 --> 00:26:34,990 And there are more words around and more and more teaching and education of this topic. 256 00:26:35,890 --> 00:26:43,270 I think that's what's come across in in your points there. You've touched across a couple of points that in some of my next questions, 257 00:26:43,270 --> 00:26:49,870 which was going to be one around in your 2000 article where you write and I still use it in my teaching as the example, 258 00:26:49,870 --> 00:26:54,819 a 21st century clinician who cannot critically read the study is as unprepared 259 00:26:54,820 --> 00:26:58,030 as one who cannot take a blood pressure exam in a cardiovascular system. 260 00:26:58,030 --> 00:27:01,749 And, you know, I use that as as a class, as an example all the time in my teaching. 261 00:27:01,750 --> 00:27:03,640 But I wonder if you still stand by that quote. 262 00:27:04,330 --> 00:27:12,580 And I only say that because we were both at the EBC conference in Sicily in 2009 Tipene and you were there via Zoom, 263 00:27:12,580 --> 00:27:16,420 if I recall, cause I remember watching you, but Gordon Guyot, 264 00:27:16,990 --> 00:27:19,450 who we all know and the ones we should focus on, 265 00:27:19,780 --> 00:27:25,329 and he was referring to he was referring to the fact that he wrote about this in in actually in the BMJ in 2000. 266 00:27:25,330 --> 00:27:32,229 But but he's taken 20 years of that time to try and get the message out that we need to be thinking about different types of ways of teaching, 267 00:27:32,230 --> 00:27:36,250 about what students need to know. And he's talking about pre pre appraise evidence, really. 268 00:27:36,250 --> 00:27:44,319 So how to how to identify trustworthy sources that you then rely on them to have done the sort of skills of the appraisal for you. 269 00:27:44,320 --> 00:27:49,000 And then you just have to work out how to then apply that and maybe know a little bit about the numbers. 270 00:27:49,300 --> 00:27:54,430 So you want to get your thoughts on is that where we should be going with the teaching now sort of really focusing down on the 271 00:27:54,430 --> 00:28:00,550 pre appraise stuff and and the skills to judge trustworthiness and where that might lead us and some of the pros and cons. 272 00:28:01,660 --> 00:28:10,299 Mm hmm. So I think Gordon makes an important point that that most people will probably not routinely be 273 00:28:10,300 --> 00:28:16,000 critically appraising evidence as their primary way of keeping up to date the way that Dave Sackett did. 274 00:28:16,960 --> 00:28:22,480 I still think that it's an important skill to teach and it reminds me a little bit of microbiology. 275 00:28:22,760 --> 00:28:30,559 You know, most microbiology is done for you. You just send the sample off to the laboratory and back comes this report. 276 00:28:30,560 --> 00:28:35,150 And you don't know how to. You don't have to know how to plate things out, etc. or do PCR. 277 00:28:36,830 --> 00:28:42,200 All you need to know is how to how to get the sample, when to get the sample, and how to interpret the result. 278 00:28:43,070 --> 00:28:52,880 But you still need to understand some microbiology. Well, it's not like you just hand the whole thing over to the laboratory and say, Well, 279 00:28:52,900 --> 00:28:58,090 you guys can take care of this and just give me the answer to I give you the patient antibiotics or not. 280 00:28:59,560 --> 00:29:03,710 How could that have been a false positive sample? But I take it in the right way. 281 00:29:03,730 --> 00:29:07,150 Should I repeat this to interpret the results of time? Back to you. 282 00:29:08,080 --> 00:29:11,590 And I think we're still struggling with how much people know, 283 00:29:11,590 --> 00:29:17,740 need to know about clinical epidemiology concepts in order to be able to use it in practice. 284 00:29:18,430 --> 00:29:24,069 So I think Gordon's right that we should focus on using the pre appraise topics. 285 00:29:24,070 --> 00:29:30,370 That's very important, but they'll still be holes in that because you'll have delays, for example, 286 00:29:30,370 --> 00:29:39,070 while somebody pre appraises that for you, it might take several months or it may never occur for a topic that's relevant to you. 287 00:29:39,580 --> 00:29:43,000 There may not be a pre appraised version of that ever. 288 00:29:44,230 --> 00:29:48,940 And it makes me think of an emergency journal club that I held several years ago 289 00:29:48,940 --> 00:29:52,510 when the Women's Health Initiative trial came out on hormone replacement therapy. 290 00:29:53,350 --> 00:30:01,600 So what happened was that the JAMA article came out, it hit the headlines, and we were getting inundated with phone calls. 291 00:30:02,580 --> 00:30:10,440 So we had a regular journal club, but we held an emergency journal club that lunchtime to go through the paper so that 292 00:30:10,440 --> 00:30:15,120 we could answer the questions that the women were bringing in signing up about. 293 00:30:16,280 --> 00:30:19,550 The pre surprise stuff. Well, there was a guidelines on this. 294 00:30:20,000 --> 00:30:28,580 It took the the the purveyors of the guideline about two months to take it down and I never replaced it. 295 00:30:29,600 --> 00:30:35,059 So that's about all you ever got in the terms in terms of the pre appraised evidence and experts, 296 00:30:35,060 --> 00:30:39,860 so-called experts were saying all sorts of contradictory things about the study. 297 00:30:40,580 --> 00:30:46,040 So we felt we needed to get down ourselves and be able to appraise that piece of evidence. 298 00:30:46,820 --> 00:30:52,070 And that's probably still true today, I think, in the pandemic, for example. 299 00:30:52,070 --> 00:30:57,950 And I didn't want to touch on this too much, but think of all of the therapies that have been suggested. 300 00:30:58,610 --> 00:31:06,590 And sure, there are some great groups producing those pre appraise materials now and trying to keep the guidelines up to date. 301 00:31:07,250 --> 00:31:13,250 But to even understand which group you should be listening to and what the basis for their evidence is, 302 00:31:13,610 --> 00:31:18,200 you still need some fundamental ABM concepts in clinical epidemiology, 303 00:31:18,200 --> 00:31:26,690 concepts about trials and systematic reviews and confidence intervals and interpreting the quantitative things as well, 304 00:31:27,140 --> 00:31:30,140 the relative risk reduction or absolute risk reduction. 305 00:31:30,710 --> 00:31:33,320 So I don't think we can abandon it completely, 306 00:31:33,860 --> 00:31:40,580 but we need to incorporate more of the pre apprised materials and good guidelines and being able to know what they are. 307 00:31:41,240 --> 00:31:45,980 And I'm very onside with Gordon John about the need for guidelines to do better, 308 00:31:46,370 --> 00:31:54,260 which is why he really introduced grade to make sure that first of all, there was a standard way of looking at evidence. 309 00:31:54,830 --> 00:32:00,080 And second, that guidelines were in general, in general evidence based, 310 00:32:00,680 --> 00:32:04,970 and you could trust that they were if they were using a reasonable grade process. 311 00:32:06,800 --> 00:32:11,270 Yeah, I know, cause you touched on, like, the point where you're talking about little, 312 00:32:11,270 --> 00:32:15,530 little nuggets that tell you whether something is is doing the thing the way you think it should be done. 313 00:32:15,530 --> 00:32:19,070 So doing the right kind of appraisal, doing the steps that you would expect. 314 00:32:19,250 --> 00:32:20,200 But I just want to say, Paula, 315 00:32:20,210 --> 00:32:25,600 on the back of your response to the question around what should we be teaching an IBM and should it be a focus on preparation? 316 00:32:25,600 --> 00:32:28,730 And you touched on a point of some really good sort of. 317 00:32:29,770 --> 00:32:30,610 Points is a little, 318 00:32:30,670 --> 00:32:37,540 little litmus tests of whether a resource is doing best practice in terms of providing you with the best available evidence and doing a good job 319 00:32:37,540 --> 00:32:44,979 of appraising it and and some some markers like are they using a system like grade or something similar to show you the certainty of evidence? 320 00:32:44,980 --> 00:32:49,809 And and I think that's really important because a good example of where I feel like 321 00:32:49,810 --> 00:32:53,920 if we don't have those skills and we just rely purely on pre appraised trust, 322 00:32:53,920 --> 00:33:00,489 trustworthy evidence, is that what happens when that trustworthiness is lost? 323 00:33:00,490 --> 00:33:05,200 And as you know, it takes years to build trustworthiness, but you can almost lose overnight. 324 00:33:05,200 --> 00:33:09,280 And a good example was watching on Twitter was the recent saga with the Cochrane Group. 325 00:33:09,760 --> 00:33:16,089 And you know some folk will be and you're you're probably familiar self Paul with the issue around some of the some of the decisions 326 00:33:16,090 --> 00:33:22,000 that Cochrane was making at the senior level and how that played out on Twitter over a particular Cochrane review around HPV vaccines. 327 00:33:22,300 --> 00:33:28,600 And and and you just saw you saw clinicians on there tweeting going I used to, you know, I trusted Cochrane. 328 00:33:28,640 --> 00:33:29,590 What do I do now? 329 00:33:29,590 --> 00:33:35,680 And that that for me, if I was to dive into that, that would be a great study just to ask these people, well, what do you normally do? 330 00:33:35,710 --> 00:33:42,760 How do you normally so maybe they haven't got those the skills to be able to to read that primary evidence that the Cochrane reading 331 00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:49,240 or something I don't know I thought that was just a really interesting test of this stress test of this idea of trustworthiness. 332 00:33:50,700 --> 00:33:54,510 Yeah. I think that really speaks to the idea that, you know, 333 00:33:54,540 --> 00:34:01,049 we would really like some authority that knew the truth about everything and we're never going to have that. 334 00:34:01,050 --> 00:34:06,670 So whatever, whatever trusted authority you have, it's always going to fail at some stage. 335 00:34:07,260 --> 00:34:17,280 You know, Cochran gave sidekick Jamal Karl the eventually they're going to say something wrong then. 336 00:34:17,580 --> 00:34:23,580 So you have to be the person that says, okay, what's the basis of that and how do I decide? 337 00:34:25,190 --> 00:34:28,700 And not put. So one of the worries, 338 00:34:28,700 --> 00:34:38,060 I think with moving to pre appraised and guidelines is being the way of doing things is it's a move back to authority based medicine. 339 00:34:39,410 --> 00:34:45,830 So I still think you need to be able to look at that evidence yourself, at least for the, 340 00:34:46,130 --> 00:34:51,020 you know, does this contain the right sort of things of thinking the right way about this? 341 00:34:52,130 --> 00:34:57,770 Yeah. Oh, fantastic. Okay. So for my last point, Paul, it's something that I've been meaning to talk to you for ages about. 342 00:34:57,770 --> 00:35:02,569 I just never actually got around to it. So I'm really glad that I've got the opportunity to talk to you about it today. 343 00:35:02,570 --> 00:35:11,000 But in 2015 you wrote a blog for the BMJ about six proposals for evidence based medicine's future, if you like. 344 00:35:11,030 --> 00:35:16,370 Who would have known five years later that IBM's future was really being tested right now? 345 00:35:16,370 --> 00:35:19,819 But, you know, they were all really great suggestions. 346 00:35:19,820 --> 00:35:24,320 And but one particularly particularly caught my eye with with regards to my teacher in 347 00:35:24,320 --> 00:35:29,110 education that's when I put that one on was was this idea of IBM practice laboratories. 348 00:35:29,330 --> 00:35:34,459 And it sounds like you've touched upon this idea of experimentation anyway throughout the throughout the conversation. 349 00:35:34,460 --> 00:35:42,920 And, and and you wrote you said, we need to better record, evaluate and teach the different ways of doing IBM in the clinical setting. 350 00:35:43,940 --> 00:35:48,169 And I'd really like to hear just how have you how have you taken that idea 351 00:35:48,170 --> 00:35:53,090 forward from 2015 and in particular around the teaching and education aspect? 352 00:35:53,330 --> 00:35:57,290 And I'm probably thinking around the sort of shared decision making stuff that you may have done or there may be others, 353 00:35:57,290 --> 00:36:04,639 but that's the stuff that I've seen. But what's what laboratory have you created and what things are you doing in terms of and how have you done it? 354 00:36:04,640 --> 00:36:11,360 I think our listeners were really interested to work out how have you gone about this IBM laboratory idea, particularly from a teaching perspective? 355 00:36:12,510 --> 00:36:16,409 Okay. So just the genesis of the idea. 356 00:36:16,410 --> 00:36:20,520 First of all, while I was still at the Centre for Evidence Base, 357 00:36:20,520 --> 00:36:26,130 that is one of the things that I did in the last couple of years was to interview a whole series of people, 358 00:36:26,550 --> 00:36:33,990 most of whom had been either teachers on the the the teaching evidence based medicine course or had attended that. 359 00:36:34,740 --> 00:36:40,290 And what I was interested in is what does evidence based medicine look like to an obstetrician 360 00:36:40,290 --> 00:36:45,959 or an oncologist or a neonatologist or a general practitioner or general physician, 361 00:36:45,960 --> 00:36:49,730 etc., etc. And so I interviewed a whole series of people. 362 00:36:49,740 --> 00:36:53,880 And boy, the really interesting thing was how different they were. 363 00:36:54,600 --> 00:37:03,450 To give you one flavour of this, Bob Phillips, who used to teach regularly on the course, have become a paediatric oncologist. 364 00:37:04,110 --> 00:37:05,939 And he said, actually, 365 00:37:05,940 --> 00:37:14,549 they didn't look up very evidence very much at all because so many of the kids were in the clinical trials that virtually every child, 366 00:37:14,550 --> 00:37:24,810 though a treatment, they were either in the lightest trial or they were using the protocol of the better arm from the recently completed trials. 367 00:37:25,870 --> 00:37:29,410 And that's the way kids oncology has worked. 368 00:37:30,040 --> 00:37:36,130 So it's not the published literature. They're actually at the edge of the research all the time, at least the good units. 369 00:37:36,400 --> 00:37:44,470 And so it's like 50% of kids under the age of six with childhood cancers are actually enrolled in clinical trials. 370 00:37:44,500 --> 00:37:47,890 It's just staggering, particularly for me as a GP. 371 00:37:48,220 --> 00:37:53,830 The idea that 50% of my patients would be in clinical trials is just unbelievable. 372 00:37:54,790 --> 00:38:01,870 So that's one extreme. And then there are other groups that I met that were using just the Cochrane Library, 373 00:38:02,590 --> 00:38:10,330 particularly for the the perinatal care area, where in fact Cochrane had pretty good coverage because of where it came from. 374 00:38:10,380 --> 00:38:17,260 They've grown out of Ian Chalmers Oxford database of prenatal John effective care of pregnancy and childbirth. 375 00:38:17,710 --> 00:38:21,580 And so that group's always kept most of their reviews up to date. 376 00:38:21,930 --> 00:38:25,750 And so you could rely on it for me as a general practitioner. 377 00:38:25,780 --> 00:38:28,150 No such Cochrane Field existed. 378 00:38:29,410 --> 00:38:37,090 So a lot of the things that would everyday problems for a general practitioner were not answered by Cochrane, so we needed a different approach. 379 00:38:37,690 --> 00:38:43,330 So the emphasis here is that, is that there isn't one particular way of doing it. 380 00:38:43,790 --> 00:38:48,820 I mean, it's different for different fields and even within a field people can approach that whole thing in different lines. 381 00:38:49,270 --> 00:38:51,790 So having said that, what have I been doing recently? 382 00:38:52,090 --> 00:38:58,760 When I arrived here in Australia, we started looking at getting journal clubs set up in general practice. 383 00:38:59,650 --> 00:39:04,629 And because they most people had had no prior clinical epidemiology training, 384 00:39:04,630 --> 00:39:08,200 we had to do it a bit differently to the way I had been doing it in Oxford. 385 00:39:08,800 --> 00:39:15,300 Running a journal club because it was a much less clinical epidemiology literate groups. 386 00:39:15,910 --> 00:39:19,810 And in fact our partner in Sydney, Lyndal Trevena, who's a GP there, 387 00:39:20,650 --> 00:39:31,479 was doing it mostly by presenting the the equivalent of a summary of findings title sort of again starting at the end point or in fact sometimes that 388 00:39:31,480 --> 00:39:41,110 start with decision aids as as the thing that they would look at in journal clubs and then they might work backwards from there because it'll say, 389 00:39:41,110 --> 00:39:42,640 Well, where did this come from? 390 00:39:43,090 --> 00:39:51,220 But it was starting with the endpoint was actually a way of doing it a little like we're talking about earlier teaching, shared decision making first. 391 00:39:52,760 --> 00:39:58,909 So that's been an interesting experiment and I've also been working with the local hospital group as well. 392 00:39:58,910 --> 00:40:06,180 And again, very different styles of of evidence based practice and doing things within different groups. 393 00:40:06,200 --> 00:40:17,690 The latest project is trying to get clinical decision rules socialised and normalised into the emergency department. 394 00:40:18,680 --> 00:40:20,230 And there is. 395 00:40:22,910 --> 00:40:32,690 Making things easier for people, but also making sure that appropriate education is occurring around the interpretation of the decision rules. 396 00:40:34,680 --> 00:40:41,210 Can I just jump from there to one other thing that's related to this, which was a question you'd suggested to me, 397 00:40:42,470 --> 00:40:50,450 which is what is what do we think ABM should now focus on what could have been missing from the evidence based medicine teaching agenda? 398 00:40:51,200 --> 00:40:56,120 And for me, it's actually one simple thing that I wished I'd focussed on much, much earlier. 399 00:40:56,150 --> 00:40:58,729 If I went back to the beginning of my teaching career, 400 00:40:58,730 --> 00:41:08,690 I would add that simply the idea of teaching about risk probability charts ideas because in a way that's fundamental to ABM. 401 00:41:09,900 --> 00:41:16,020 I actually see far too much use of Ebert so-called evidence based medicine that I 402 00:41:16,050 --> 00:41:20,430 call yes or no evidence based medicine or black and white evidence based medicine. 403 00:41:21,030 --> 00:41:25,910 Does the treatment work or not? Okay. 404 00:41:27,050 --> 00:41:33,560 Critical appraisal. It passes all the tests, it's blinded, it's randomised and the P-value is less than 0.05. 405 00:41:33,560 --> 00:41:34,970 It works. So we should give the treatment. 406 00:41:37,070 --> 00:41:45,080 And that is for me, it's not quite the antithesis, but it's a very wrongheaded way of trying to apply evidence based medicine, 407 00:41:45,530 --> 00:41:48,920 particularly if you think about that in terms of shared decision making, 408 00:41:49,340 --> 00:41:57,260 where what you want to do is explain to the patient what would happen if we just waited and see what's the watchful waiting approach. 409 00:41:57,590 --> 00:42:04,309 And here are the options. And here's what the probabilistic benefit or the timeframe benefit is. 410 00:42:04,310 --> 00:42:11,810 If we went to this treatment rather than this treatment and that quantification of both the risk 411 00:42:12,140 --> 00:42:18,320 and also how the probabilities change by using different treatments I think is so important. 412 00:42:18,680 --> 00:42:25,930 And it's a fundamental of evidence based medicine that we need to teach better to get people to think about risks, 413 00:42:25,940 --> 00:42:29,990 chance, etc., as a fundamental part of their thinking. 414 00:42:30,440 --> 00:42:35,480 And then think about how do you get those numbers? Wow. 415 00:42:35,530 --> 00:42:40,299 So sort of flipping it back to to what what do these numbers actually mean? 416 00:42:40,300 --> 00:42:45,820 And then how, you know, how much can we trust them? And that's where the critical appraisal skills come in to know how well you can trust them. 417 00:42:45,820 --> 00:42:53,830 But then you're absolutely right. Again, for me, you know, that whole situation now that we're in currently, if ever, 418 00:42:53,830 --> 00:43:00,819 is shown the need for that idea around probability and and understanding those the risk of things 419 00:43:00,820 --> 00:43:05,110 and the probability of things and this idea of yes or no is just not is just not good enough. 420 00:43:05,110 --> 00:43:07,870 Like you say, it takes us too far away from what we actually should be trying to achieve, 421 00:43:07,870 --> 00:43:11,370 which is letting people understand, but having ways of communicating that. 422 00:43:11,380 --> 00:43:13,800 I think the challenge for us as educators is to, well, 423 00:43:13,810 --> 00:43:19,030 how do we teach about the different kinds of ways that you can you can teach about these sorts of things, probability and risk. 424 00:43:19,030 --> 00:43:23,919 And do you use an actual frequencies or do you still rely on the percentages and do how do people understand those? 425 00:43:23,920 --> 00:43:29,409 And I think there's been a lot of work on that. It's just, like you say, making sure that's the forefront of our education and pushing that forward. 426 00:43:29,410 --> 00:43:34,810 So I mean, that's a really good point to end on in terms of where do we where should we as educators be focusing on? 427 00:43:35,440 --> 00:43:42,130 And I think seeing a lot of good work around that is certainly an area that I'm really interested in pushing forward for my teaching as well. 428 00:43:43,120 --> 00:43:48,849 So Paul, just like to say thank you so much for taking the time to talk to us today. 429 00:43:48,850 --> 00:43:54,850 It's been really fascinating. Great to hear your insights, your stories and and just sharing your experience as well. 430 00:43:54,850 --> 00:43:58,780 So so thank you again. I'm sure people listening will be taking away loads. 431 00:43:58,780 --> 00:44:01,570 I certainly am from the conversation. So, so thank you again.