1 00:00:02,010 --> 00:00:07,860 So first of all, could you just say your name and your current position and affiliation? 2 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:16,410 I'm Trish Greenhill, Shawn, professor of Primary Care Health Sciences in the Department of Primary Care Health Sciences at the University of Oxford. 3 00:00:16,680 --> 00:00:20,620 Thank you. So, first of all, could you just tell me a little about yourself? 4 00:00:20,640 --> 00:00:26,940 I mean, very briefly, but how you got to where you are now? I'm a medical doctor. 5 00:00:26,940 --> 00:00:32,490 I'm trained initially in diabetes and then moved into general practice quite soon. 6 00:00:33,300 --> 00:00:38,370 And I've also trained in social sciences and in public health. 7 00:00:38,910 --> 00:00:43,970 So I spent most of my academic career at University College London brief period. 8 00:00:44,820 --> 00:00:46,709 Queen Mary, University of London. 9 00:00:46,710 --> 00:00:59,320 And I started in Oxford on the 1st of January 2015, and I lead a research team called Eiris, which is Interdisciplinary Research in Health Sciences. 10 00:00:59,340 --> 00:01:05,790 Actually, we co-lead that team my job share the leadership of the research unit with Sara Shaw, 11 00:01:05,790 --> 00:01:08,970 who's an associate professor with a social policy background. 12 00:01:09,420 --> 00:01:17,010 So we have a we our approach is to bring people in from lots of different disciplines. 13 00:01:17,010 --> 00:01:27,140 So we have philosophers, anthropologists, computer scientists, health economists, doctors, nurses, pharmacists, physiotherapists, paramedics. 14 00:01:28,140 --> 00:01:36,570 And we do a very broad range of research basically at the interface between social sciences and medicine. 15 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:46,790 Thank you. So if you had to define the single big question to get you out of bed in the morning, what would it be? 16 00:01:48,380 --> 00:01:58,250 The question that gets me out of bed. Currently we're talking November 2021 is how are we going to end this pandemic? 17 00:01:59,050 --> 00:02:04,870 How are we ever going to get back to normal in inverted commas? 18 00:02:05,440 --> 00:02:14,170 I think I was trying to go for something slightly higher level, but. What's the nature of the questions that you explore in your resort research? 19 00:02:14,200 --> 00:02:23,970 We're going to get on code, obviously, but the nature of the questions I explore are like real world questions. 20 00:02:23,980 --> 00:02:34,450 I like practical questions. So I'm getting quite interested in a kind of philosophy called pragmatism, which is, if you like, looking at concrete, 21 00:02:34,450 --> 00:02:45,220 real world issues and trying to decide what kind of academic theories and approaches and methods can be brought to bear on those practical problems. 22 00:02:51,550 --> 00:03:05,150 Oh, I think you've answered the next one. Yes. So you mentioned you've mentioned that your research unit is extremely interdisciplinary. 23 00:03:05,690 --> 00:03:14,360 Why do you think that's important? Oh, I think I got into interdisciplinarity when I did my doctorate. 24 00:03:14,370 --> 00:03:25,109 So as I said, I trained in diabetes and the topic that I was studying in my doctorate was unstable diabetes type one diabetes, 25 00:03:25,110 --> 00:03:29,310 what we call brittle diabetes in those days, this was the mid 1980s, 26 00:03:29,820 --> 00:03:41,760 and my task as someone who worked in a diabetes lab was to bring people in and stress them and see what happened to their diabetic control. 27 00:03:42,450 --> 00:03:46,770 And over the couple of years when I was doing my field work, 28 00:03:47,070 --> 00:04:00,480 I got less and less interested in the kind of stress that had been assumed by my supervisor, which was a sort of biochemical physiological stress, 29 00:04:00,720 --> 00:04:08,490 and more and more interested in the stories that people were telling me about that diabetes, about their marriage, 30 00:04:08,490 --> 00:04:14,790 about their financial challenges, about trying to give their kids a good upbringing and how that's affected their diabetes. 31 00:04:14,790 --> 00:04:23,580 Now, of course, that might well have been mediated through the molecules that I was studying, things like counter regulatory hormones. 32 00:04:23,850 --> 00:04:30,899 But the thing that interested me most was the narratives themselves and the meaning systems of 33 00:04:30,900 --> 00:04:40,410 different patients and how that seemed to have a real bearing on how their diabetes unfolded. 34 00:04:41,280 --> 00:04:50,939 And that actually, as soon as I finished my doctorate, I applied to the Wellcome Trust for some funding and was successful to collect stories. 35 00:04:50,940 --> 00:04:55,650 And so I'd gone from collecting blood to collecting stories. 36 00:04:55,860 --> 00:05:07,649 And I think that that little story of my own journey, it sort of sums up the contrasts that you can get looking at a single topic, 37 00:05:07,650 --> 00:05:12,660 which was stress and diabetes through different disciplinary lenses. 38 00:05:13,350 --> 00:05:22,320 And I think the biochemistry of stress is hugely important, but so is the anthropology and the psychology of stress. 39 00:05:22,620 --> 00:05:29,550 And then, of course, we get a very rich perspective on that kind of topic if we bring in lots of different disciplines. 40 00:05:30,330 --> 00:05:39,540 I suppose the other thing that is worth saying about interdisciplinary work is it's inherently conflict ridden. 41 00:05:40,290 --> 00:05:49,230 If you are feeling totally comfortable and on the same page as everybody you're working with, you're probably not doing interdisciplinary research. 42 00:05:49,680 --> 00:05:59,700 If, on the other hand, you're around a table discussing some research data and one person's interpretation really irritates you and you think, 43 00:05:59,700 --> 00:06:02,250 why are they looking at it like that? That's not the right way to look at it. 44 00:06:02,790 --> 00:06:13,470 Then you are starting to get the kind of productive conflicts from which higher order interdisciplinary insights can come. 45 00:06:13,920 --> 00:06:17,159 And I think that's what really excites me, too. 46 00:06:17,160 --> 00:06:21,180 You're you're comfortable with dealing with conflicting ideas? 47 00:06:22,140 --> 00:06:35,010 I'm more than comfortable. I think unless we have those kind of conflicts, we stay in a little bubble that is just a little bit too comfortable. 48 00:06:35,400 --> 00:06:38,490 Now, this isn't the topic of this interview, 49 00:06:38,490 --> 00:06:45,270 but I think there are destructive forms of conflict in academia and there are constructive forms of conflict. 50 00:06:45,660 --> 00:06:55,980 And I think the challenge when you're running an interdisciplinary research unit is to ensure that conflict is constructive and productive. 51 00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:04,530 So can you remember when you first heard that there was a pandemic in the offing? 52 00:07:05,190 --> 00:07:09,580 Yes, I can. Can you remember what you were doing this time? I was checking my emails. 53 00:07:09,600 --> 00:07:19,649 I'm sure. So one of the things that I was doing back in 2019 and indeed for a couple of years before that, 54 00:07:19,650 --> 00:07:27,420 was I was working internationally with Chinese academics and we had already brought a group of 55 00:07:27,420 --> 00:07:36,299 Chinese professors over to Oxford for what was known as the Chinese Academic Medicine Course. 56 00:07:36,300 --> 00:07:40,020 And I think I did one of those in 2019. 57 00:07:40,020 --> 00:07:51,569 Someone else had led one in 2018. So this was a bit of a tradition where the Chinese academics would come and they would pay and various 58 00:07:51,570 --> 00:07:57,420 Oxford academics would would be arranged to give lectures and the Chinese would ask questions, 59 00:07:57,420 --> 00:08:07,530 and then they take all the ideas back to China and, you know, be very it was it was a lovely international kind of exchange of ideas. 60 00:08:08,100 --> 00:08:11,489 And one of the things we were actually trying to do with the Chinese was was get them 61 00:08:11,490 --> 00:08:15,570 to do more interdisciplinary research because they were a bit multidisciplinary. 62 00:08:15,870 --> 00:08:21,389 And so that was one of the selling points of this particular project. 63 00:08:21,390 --> 00:08:32,580 Anyway, we had a group from Guangdong on probably pronouncing that wrong and they had been planning to come over mostly cardiologists actually, 64 00:08:32,880 --> 00:08:41,130 and they'd been planning to come in March 2020. And I'd been lining up different speakers and visits to the labs and all that kind of thing. 65 00:08:41,950 --> 00:08:53,980 And come about December 2019, I got an email from one of the Chinese saying, look, we may have to postpone our visit. 66 00:08:54,550 --> 00:09:04,720 And I said, Why would that be? And they said, We may have heard that there's a new disease being discovered in Wuhan and it's now hit Guangdong. 67 00:09:04,720 --> 00:09:13,120 So Guangdong is the second city in China to have to be hit by what we now call COVID 19. 68 00:09:13,960 --> 00:09:17,840 And. I then said, oh, good gosh. 69 00:09:17,840 --> 00:09:21,680 So this is a this is a serious one. Is it as bad as sales and murders? 70 00:09:21,680 --> 00:09:36,140 And they may well turn out to be worse. And so from liaising with the Chinese to arrange their visit to us, we flipped round to them, helping us. 71 00:09:37,170 --> 00:09:44,310 To try and prepare for what looked like it was going to inevitably hit Europe. 72 00:09:44,610 --> 00:09:54,630 And indeed it did. So I think I was serendipitously forewarned, quite early that this was likely coming our way. 73 00:09:54,660 --> 00:10:00,070 The other thing is, I'm a very keen social media person. 74 00:10:00,090 --> 00:10:03,270 I do a lot on Twitter and I follow various people around the world. 75 00:10:03,810 --> 00:10:12,870 There's one person I follow on social media, Dina Grayson from America, who mostly tweets about American politics, actually. 76 00:10:12,870 --> 00:10:16,650 But but she had done her Ph.D., I think, on Ebola. 77 00:10:16,830 --> 00:10:19,350 And she was very interested in pandemics. 78 00:10:19,740 --> 00:10:29,100 And I think it was a tweet from Dina way back in December 2019 saying this is serious, this is going to be a global pandemic. 79 00:10:29,340 --> 00:10:34,800 We need to prepare. And then I realised, I think that. 80 00:10:36,350 --> 00:10:44,480 My life was going to be taken over by this pandemic quite early in 2020. 81 00:10:45,600 --> 00:10:51,060 So how did you react? How did you go about organising your colleagues or discussing the colleagues? 82 00:10:51,720 --> 00:10:58,080 What were the questions were that you could approach with the resources at your disposal? 83 00:10:58,530 --> 00:11:07,830 Yeah. So one of the first things that was very, very clear was that this was a highly contagious disease. 84 00:11:08,760 --> 00:11:14,610 You could see on the television, you could see by social media pictures. 85 00:11:14,610 --> 00:11:24,450 But I also knew from the emails I was getting from my Chinese colleagues that the Chinese clinicians were wearing hazmat suits. 86 00:11:24,900 --> 00:11:36,540 They were treating this as a very, very contagious disease, which needed the highest level of infection control and. 87 00:11:37,820 --> 00:11:42,270 I thought. UK is not ready for this. 88 00:11:43,650 --> 00:11:51,389 We. Years ago I applied for a job that I didn't get in an infectious diseases hospital in London. 89 00:11:51,390 --> 00:11:55,950 I remember going and visiting it because I really wanted the job. This is when I was a very junior doctor. 90 00:11:56,820 --> 00:12:04,020 I can't remember the name of the hospital. It was an outpost of the Royal Free Cop, its wards Infectious Diseases Hospital long since closed. 91 00:12:04,020 --> 00:12:13,200 But I remember being shown the Lassa fever ward, which was a a very small room in the middle of a field. 92 00:12:13,740 --> 00:12:22,090 And the idea was that if a patient came with Lassa fever, you put them in the middle of this field in a room, and you kind of put on all this kit. 93 00:12:22,110 --> 00:12:24,120 You went and dealt with them. 94 00:12:24,390 --> 00:12:31,440 And the assumption, of course, was that there would only be one person in the country with a disease that was so contagious and so terrible. 95 00:12:32,100 --> 00:12:39,180 And, you know, that is a metaphor for. Hang on a minute. COVID could affect huge numbers of people. 96 00:12:39,480 --> 00:12:44,309 We don't have enough fields with hospital wards put in the middle of those fields. 97 00:12:44,310 --> 00:12:45,930 We don't have enough hazmat suits. 98 00:12:45,930 --> 00:12:54,870 We don't have enough of the high grade, what we now call PPE, those those fancy masks that much more protective than the standard ones. 99 00:12:56,010 --> 00:13:08,300 And so I very quickly realised that one of the things we were going to have to do was mobilise remote care, remote consultations. 100 00:13:08,310 --> 00:13:17,400 Now, by happy coincidence, I have been doing research into remote consultations since about 2009. 101 00:13:18,240 --> 00:13:22,799 And in fact, I've been writing grant applications since 2009. 102 00:13:22,800 --> 00:13:33,010 We wrote to Grant. For what is now the National Institute for Health Research to look at video consultations in diabetes, 103 00:13:33,010 --> 00:13:37,600 actually with those working in the east end of London. And this is all relevant. 104 00:13:38,890 --> 00:13:46,030 I was working the east end of London and the did not attend rate for diabetes appointments was 50%. 105 00:13:46,050 --> 00:13:58,390 Half the patients never showed up. And this was mainly because the patients were were in low status jobs, often in the deep economy, 106 00:13:58,720 --> 00:14:05,680 and they couldn't afford to take time off to spend half a day going to their diabetes appointment. 107 00:14:06,010 --> 00:14:11,090 But the consultant was very progressive and she said, Well, have you got a smartphone? 108 00:14:11,110 --> 00:14:14,500 And they said, Yes. And she said, Well, why don't I Skype you on your phone? 109 00:14:14,770 --> 00:14:17,860 And they said, That would be fine. I'll just take a break. 110 00:14:18,160 --> 00:14:21,200 And that's how it started. Very adult, very informally. 111 00:14:21,340 --> 00:14:23,550 And she said to me, maybe we could do some research on this. 112 00:14:23,560 --> 00:14:32,650 So we put in a bit to the NIH as it is now and said, we'd like to research video consultations. 113 00:14:33,070 --> 00:14:36,610 We got shortlisted and then we got turned down because they said this will never happen. 114 00:14:36,610 --> 00:14:40,629 This will never become policy. So we got rather cross about this. 115 00:14:40,630 --> 00:14:53,970 We said, Well, you can't say that. And actually, within a year, policy had changed to support and promote the use of video consultations. 116 00:14:53,980 --> 00:14:58,209 So we put in the same grant application with literally no changes. 117 00:14:58,210 --> 00:15:01,330 And we said, the only reason that you turn this down is you said it would never happen. 118 00:15:01,630 --> 00:15:03,400 Well, it is happening. Please, with you. It. 119 00:15:03,420 --> 00:15:18,250 So from about 2010, 2011, we were funded to look at the introduction and mainstreaming and spread and scaled up of video consultations in the NHS. 120 00:15:18,850 --> 00:15:27,100 And over the next sort of nine or ten years we got lots of different contracts from governments, from charities. 121 00:15:27,100 --> 00:15:31,120 We had a big study from the Health Foundation. We got funded by the NIH. 122 00:15:31,990 --> 00:15:40,330 We've had some MRC money, so lots of different sources of our research and we did some theoretical or theoretical work. 123 00:15:40,330 --> 00:15:47,310 On the challenges to moving video from a demonstration project. 124 00:15:47,320 --> 00:15:50,580 Everyone can set up a demonstration project saying, Oh, look, isn't it pretty? 125 00:15:50,590 --> 00:15:57,630 You know, it works on a small scale to something that is business as usual within the fabric of the NHS. 126 00:15:57,640 --> 00:16:05,740 So we were particularly interested in the organisational changes needed to spread and scale 127 00:16:05,740 --> 00:16:10,710 up video consultations and we're actually doing a piece of work for the Scottish Government. 128 00:16:10,720 --> 00:16:17,180 I spent a couple of weeks in November 2019 driving around Scotland, which was lovely. 129 00:16:17,180 --> 00:16:21,280 We have to go to all these remote areas like the Outer Hebrides and the Orkneys and things, 130 00:16:21,280 --> 00:16:26,979 and see how people connected to the mainland through state of the art video technology. 131 00:16:26,980 --> 00:16:31,750 So we've just done them just writing out that report and then bang the pandemic hit. 132 00:16:32,500 --> 00:16:40,900 We got approached. I got approached by NHS England NHS Improvement to say, Trish, you've got to help us, 133 00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:53,680 we need to change the NHS overnight to dealing with as many problems as possible by remote means. 134 00:16:53,890 --> 00:16:56,950 And that meant digital trialists. 135 00:16:56,950 --> 00:17:02,019 That was one of the things that everybody who wanted to see a doctor or nurse had to do. 136 00:17:02,020 --> 00:17:10,809 First of all, I could go online or phone up and and the receptionist would help them fill out an online form to say what the problem was. 137 00:17:10,810 --> 00:17:22,240 And then they would wait for a call back. So the digital triage, what they call total triage, was introduced literally overnight in March 2020, 138 00:17:22,250 --> 00:17:28,630 and that is the only all nighter I did in the whole of the pandemic. 139 00:17:29,110 --> 00:17:35,800 I stayed up all night to help write the initial briefing document for the total trials, 140 00:17:36,760 --> 00:17:43,900 along with Minor Back I and a couple of others from NHS England and NHS Improvement. 141 00:17:44,710 --> 00:17:54,450 Because GP practices needs guidance and a sort of standard operating procedures and all that kind of thing. 142 00:17:54,460 --> 00:18:02,050 This was an academic was very much, you know, the kind of in the down and dirty of implementation. 143 00:18:04,360 --> 00:18:14,439 And so that was a really major piece of work applying the insights that we had developed 144 00:18:14,440 --> 00:18:23,770 over the last ten years at pace and scale to flip the NHS across into a remote by. 145 00:18:24,190 --> 00:18:27,190 Fault service. 146 00:18:27,490 --> 00:18:29,979 Except, of course, it was a remote by default. 147 00:18:29,980 --> 00:18:40,330 But of course, if you were sick, you needed seeing and then you had to be seen face to face, which know that's as we know what happened. 148 00:18:42,740 --> 00:18:49,940 And you went on to look at how that works in practice as a research project, is that right? 149 00:18:49,970 --> 00:18:54,050 Yes, we applied for them. 150 00:18:54,110 --> 00:19:01,160 The interesting thing was that from about the beginning of March, know look, 11th of March is my birthday. 151 00:19:02,060 --> 00:19:09,110 11th of March 2020 was the day the pandemic was declared. 152 00:19:09,890 --> 00:19:18,560 And I also think that was the last day of any semblance of normality, because it was my birthday, my husband, 153 00:19:18,560 --> 00:19:23,960 I went to Bletchley Park because I love going to Bletchley Park and looking around those old computers and things. 154 00:19:24,470 --> 00:19:29,629 We were the only people wearing masks and we were a little bit nervous. 155 00:19:29,630 --> 00:19:30,020 But we said, Well, 156 00:19:30,020 --> 00:19:37,280 Bletchley Park be right because it's there's lots of open spaces and you can pop your head into various little pots and things like that. 157 00:19:37,280 --> 00:19:40,939 To me, it's been very long inside and there weren't many people there. 158 00:19:40,940 --> 00:19:49,759 We got there when it opened and I remember driving back and seeing the W.H.O. announcement that the pandemic had been declared. 159 00:19:49,760 --> 00:19:56,450 And I said to my husband, we probably shouldn't have gone to Bletchley Park, but at least we didn't go to Cheltenham Races, you know. 160 00:19:57,050 --> 00:20:08,310 So after that. I don't think I left my desk apart from to take an hour's exercise every day. 161 00:20:09,600 --> 00:20:18,270 And I worked as from as soon as I got up to when I went to bed for about four or five months without a break. 162 00:20:18,750 --> 00:20:20,070 It was that for long. 163 00:20:21,000 --> 00:20:36,240 So in that context, and I told you about the the very rapid pace of work that I did with the NHS England people to support the flip over to remote. 164 00:20:37,020 --> 00:20:41,660 What then happened was. The pandemic hit. 165 00:20:42,290 --> 00:20:51,679 And at the end of February 2020, maybe beginning of March, one of my trainees was a GP, 166 00:20:51,680 --> 00:20:59,120 a part time GP in the part of London where the pandemic was hitting hardest and earliest. 167 00:21:00,300 --> 00:21:06,960 And it affected her practice very, very dramatically. 168 00:21:07,440 --> 00:21:10,499 She said to me at the beginning of the week, she said, 169 00:21:10,500 --> 00:21:17,230 We're beginning to see one or two patients with what we think is covered by the end of the week. 170 00:21:17,250 --> 00:21:23,160 Her receptionist was on intensive care and by the following Monday the receptionist was dead. 171 00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:31,350 This was a 45 year old woman who had been completely well, was not overweight, had no risk factors. 172 00:21:31,740 --> 00:21:41,610 And at that point, we thought, crikey. And it seems odd now when hundreds of health and care workers have died. 173 00:21:42,390 --> 00:21:46,600 But then. It hit me like a cannonball. 174 00:21:46,610 --> 00:21:58,219 The. This disease. People would walk into a GP surgery and try and book an appointment and the person who had dealt with that individual with that, 175 00:21:58,220 --> 00:22:04,700 with that very routine, normal sort of thing, the person maybe hardly had any symptoms. 176 00:22:04,700 --> 00:22:10,340 Maybe they didn't even have any symptoms. That receptionist who died of the disease. 177 00:22:10,610 --> 00:22:17,820 This has never happened in my memory. And it didn't it hasn't happened in anyone else's memory either. 178 00:22:17,840 --> 00:22:21,020 You know, this was something that nobody alive could remember. 179 00:22:22,040 --> 00:22:31,520 You know, the old. Yes. Catching flu or that kind of thing. But when young, healthy people working at the front line of the health service were dying. 180 00:22:33,550 --> 00:22:39,790 Because of the interactions. So this was beginning to be really, really scary. 181 00:22:40,540 --> 00:22:47,079 And my trainee was saying that she I think she was pregnant at the time. 182 00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:52,840 And I said, you've got to stop. We don't know what it does to pregnant women. You've got to stop seeing patients face to face. 183 00:22:53,590 --> 00:22:57,820 And she said, Yeah, that's true. I'll try and volunteer for phone calls. 184 00:22:58,630 --> 00:23:07,180 So that was on the Friday. And on the Monday, she said she took 100 calls from patients, 100 phone calls. 185 00:23:08,510 --> 00:23:14,630 And by the Tuesday, she said, I know everything there is to know about this disease in terms of diagnosing it over the phone. 186 00:23:15,320 --> 00:23:19,670 And I said, well, that's extraordinary, because only Friday you said you knew nothing. 187 00:23:20,770 --> 00:23:28,330 So from taking a hundred calls, you now now know what it's like to have COVID. 188 00:23:28,720 --> 00:23:33,700 You can diagnose it over the phone. You can decide who needs to go straight into an ambulance, she said. 189 00:23:33,700 --> 00:23:36,940 Yet she said 100 calls with it. It's a very busy day. 190 00:23:37,660 --> 00:23:41,740 So I said, That's extraordinary. We need to tap into your expertise. 191 00:23:42,520 --> 00:23:46,550 So I said, Do you know anyone else who has been dealing with this amount of COVID? 192 00:23:46,570 --> 00:23:50,620 She said, Yeah, I can find you ten more people. I said, 193 00:23:50,620 --> 00:23:57,219 We need to set up some online focus groups and we need to capture that wisdom that 194 00:23:57,220 --> 00:24:05,560 you have acquired because the Chinese data was based only on hospital patients. 195 00:24:05,560 --> 00:24:10,209 So I should say that I've been liaising with my Chinese colleagues and they've been 196 00:24:10,210 --> 00:24:14,380 sending me guidelines that even been translating them from Chinese to English. 197 00:24:14,740 --> 00:24:22,510 And I was also working with people in this country who were Chinese by birth but were now, you know, academics in this country. 198 00:24:22,510 --> 00:24:28,380 So we were trying to spark as much information as possible from China. 199 00:24:28,390 --> 00:24:35,470 We've been through this a couple of months earlier, but the problem was that they didn't really have a primary care system. 200 00:24:35,910 --> 00:24:40,900 The denominator population was people who'd been admitted to hospital. 201 00:24:41,080 --> 00:24:47,710 So we didn't know anything about who should be admitted to hospital and who can be safely managed back in the community. 202 00:24:48,400 --> 00:24:55,780 So going back to my trainee and and her colleagues, who had quite by chance received, if you like, 203 00:24:55,780 --> 00:25:01,720 the first wave of patients or the the shoulder of the first wave, you know, that early shoulder. 204 00:25:02,500 --> 00:25:11,500 I also put out some messages on Twitter and I said, is anyone actually seeing patients with probable COVID yet? 205 00:25:11,950 --> 00:25:18,520 And we pulled together some online focus groups and we got 72 GP. 206 00:25:18,620 --> 00:25:21,669 In fact, I think we got about about 65 of them with GP's. 207 00:25:21,670 --> 00:25:26,260 And then there were a few, what we call advanced nurse practitioners who are basically doing the job of a GP, 208 00:25:26,710 --> 00:25:30,550 one or two paramedics, but mostly of GP's. 209 00:25:30,550 --> 00:25:37,690 And we got them to talk, we got them to tell us what their impressions were. 210 00:25:38,140 --> 00:25:49,630 And just to give you an example, one of the things that we that we picked up from these discussions was. 211 00:25:50,560 --> 00:25:56,680 The idea that patients were sometimes unaware of how sick they were, 212 00:25:57,250 --> 00:26:08,410 and in particular that they didn't feel breathless when they should have felt breathless, happy hypoxia, happy hypoxia or silent hypoxia. 213 00:26:08,860 --> 00:26:17,680 Now, a colleague of mine has a daughter who is a junior doctor, and this daughter said she described it as. 214 00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:22,290 iPhone positive, oxygen negative. 215 00:26:23,100 --> 00:26:29,610 What she meant by that was there would be an oximeter clipped to the patient's finger, which would show terrifyingly low oxygen levels. 216 00:26:29,610 --> 00:26:35,460 But the patient would be sitting there oblivious to their own illness and playing on their iPhone. 217 00:26:36,180 --> 00:26:42,780 And that was really odd because if you have a standard bacterial pneumonia and your oxygen levels with that low, 218 00:26:42,780 --> 00:26:50,550 you would be you would feel very breathless. But for reasons which I won't go into in depth, because I'm not a respiratory physician. 219 00:26:51,180 --> 00:27:01,800 COVID was giving people an odd mismatch between the level of sickness and the level of symptoms. 220 00:27:02,250 --> 00:27:10,139 And that was picked up quite early on by some of the GPS who would tell quite horrific stories 221 00:27:10,140 --> 00:27:17,550 of perhaps doing a video consultation with a patient who would say they felt all right, 222 00:27:18,270 --> 00:27:21,989 but they would be noted to be deeply sore on those. 223 00:27:21,990 --> 00:27:30,030 You know, they have blue lips and and yet the patient would not be aware of that anyway. 224 00:27:30,330 --> 00:27:34,350 So we had a number of things followed from that. 225 00:27:34,800 --> 00:27:37,830 I was asked by the British Medical Journal to write. 226 00:27:39,020 --> 00:27:49,430 A rapid article on how to assess people in the community, mostly using telephone or video who might have COVID. 227 00:27:49,440 --> 00:27:54,110 So I've pulled together all these Chinese guidelines which were, as I say, of limited use. 228 00:27:54,440 --> 00:27:59,750 I talked, I pulled together some of the early data from the focus groups that we were doing, 229 00:28:01,490 --> 00:28:09,610 and I guess I put together a bit of common sense as well, plus all the stuff we knew about what did and didn't work in the remote environment. 230 00:28:10,490 --> 00:28:14,170 And we published that paper on the 25th of March. 231 00:28:14,180 --> 00:28:22,729 So two weeks after the pandemic was declared, we had got a major paper into the British Medical Journal, which had already been peer reviewed, 232 00:28:22,730 --> 00:28:27,790 which had an infographic and one of those sort of arrow diagrams, if this, 233 00:28:27,800 --> 00:28:37,460 then that and it was called something like assessing possible acute COVID, you know, remotely or something like that. 234 00:28:38,300 --> 00:28:41,910 And in the next. Three weeks. 235 00:28:41,910 --> 00:28:51,150 I think that article had a quarter of a million hits and it became the go to article as COVID rolled across the country. 236 00:28:52,020 --> 00:28:59,430 People say, Oh yeah, there's not going to be MJ about that. And I was nervous about it because of the kind of. 237 00:29:00,590 --> 00:29:05,090 Pulling together. It felt it felt very pragmatic. 238 00:29:05,110 --> 00:29:08,930 It felt, look, this is as much as we know right now. 239 00:29:09,200 --> 00:29:13,310 It may actually prove not to be 100% correct. 240 00:29:13,550 --> 00:29:16,800 But this is as good as it's going to get right now. 241 00:29:17,420 --> 00:29:22,550 But I wasn't too worried because apparently there was going to be a nice guideline coming out in a couple of weeks after that. 242 00:29:22,560 --> 00:29:28,190 So that was a nice guideline. Well, give us the kind of the definitive truth on it. 243 00:29:28,340 --> 00:29:33,379 And we don't want. You didn't have any formal responsibility to report to nice or no. 244 00:29:33,380 --> 00:29:43,370 Any other advisory body. No, no. But when those guidelines came out, the section on assessing patients in the community just quoted our article, 245 00:29:43,760 --> 00:29:47,660 and then suddenly it was sort of it set in stone. 246 00:29:47,960 --> 00:29:54,740 This is what you do. And we thought, okay, but then the nice guy comes also quoting all sorts of other, 247 00:29:55,970 --> 00:30:02,090 shall I say, cobbled together, kind of best guess perhaps his at the time. 248 00:30:03,800 --> 00:30:07,610 So. We still didn't have any research money. 249 00:30:07,610 --> 00:30:17,540 And I think it's probably worth saying. What happened to some of the big research projects at the beginning of the pandemic. 250 00:30:17,540 --> 00:30:23,120 So. That's where to start. 251 00:30:23,150 --> 00:30:29,150 First of all, the National Institute for Health Research, the Wellcome Trust, the MRC, 252 00:30:29,150 --> 00:30:37,100 everybody puts out messages to their researchers saying, okay guys, we've got this pandemic. 253 00:30:37,460 --> 00:30:46,100 Stop doing what research you're doing and start doing research on COVID just via the money across. 254 00:30:46,610 --> 00:30:52,610 Redeploy your staff. Forget about the research questions you were pursuing. 255 00:30:52,620 --> 00:31:01,099 There are more urgent ones right now and that was brilliant because it meant that those of our staff who could work and 256 00:31:01,100 --> 00:31:06,320 many of them couldn't because they were locked down and they were looking after their kids or they was stressed out. 257 00:31:06,650 --> 00:31:14,550 But the ones who were able to work could be immediately redeployed on the pandemic response, which was great. 258 00:31:14,570 --> 00:31:22,730 You know, we started doing all sorts of literature reviews and publishing those very, very quickly on preprint. 259 00:31:22,740 --> 00:31:26,770 So it's that kind of thing. But. 260 00:31:28,400 --> 00:31:34,879 But actually I was coming towards an end of a grant, so I had to write a grovelling letter to the Wellcome Trust saying, 261 00:31:34,880 --> 00:31:38,620 look, we've actually run out of this grant, but please, could you give me some more money? 262 00:31:38,630 --> 00:31:44,310 And they were very good and they did. They gave me an extra £80,000, which paid everyone's salary till the end of the year, and that was very nice. 263 00:31:45,200 --> 00:31:47,090 So there was a bit of that. 264 00:31:47,480 --> 00:31:57,440 But I realised quite quickly that we also needed to bring in more research money because, you know, that was just the way it was. 265 00:31:58,130 --> 00:32:08,390 But I didn't get round to writing that application until about May to do a study called Remote by Default. 266 00:32:08,840 --> 00:32:13,700 That's now become a bit by default one because we got some more money to do it, but by default too quite recently. 267 00:32:13,700 --> 00:32:16,129 But anyway, it was then remote by default. 268 00:32:16,130 --> 00:32:30,860 And the argument was what can we learn from the in pandemic unprecedented shift from a face to face service to a remote by default service? 269 00:32:31,100 --> 00:32:40,790 What can we learn from that which will help us make it through the pandemic and will which will also generate lessons that may go beyond the pandemic? 270 00:32:41,330 --> 00:32:49,459 And we use the case study approach we were looking at for localities across England and Wales, 271 00:32:49,460 --> 00:32:54,710 and we also had a project which was funded separately by the Scottish Government to look at Scotland. 272 00:32:57,290 --> 00:33:04,730 And we interviewed people remotely, we interviewed, you know, clinicians, patients, managers, policymakers, 273 00:33:05,030 --> 00:33:14,660 technology suppliers and we pulled together stories within different localities of how people were responding to the pandemic, 274 00:33:15,140 --> 00:33:19,430 but also an overarching story of the National Health Service. 275 00:33:21,110 --> 00:33:24,770 And we've just published some of those actually. 276 00:33:25,170 --> 00:33:36,920 But one of the things that I was. Fascinated by was balancing the risks of doing remote consultations with the benefits, 277 00:33:37,430 --> 00:33:42,410 and conversely, balancing the risks of doing face to face consultations with the benefits. 278 00:33:42,920 --> 00:33:52,010 And that required it required me to use all the different aspects of my training. 279 00:33:52,010 --> 00:33:57,709 You know, I've trained as a GP, I'd trained as a hospital doctor, I've trained in social sciences, 280 00:33:57,710 --> 00:34:06,380 I've trained particularly in the social science of new technologies and in innovation and in policy analysis. 281 00:34:06,890 --> 00:34:11,090 And you know, in some ways I could say I was in the right place at the right time, 282 00:34:11,090 --> 00:34:16,190 but but the remote beautiful study was the first funded study we had. 283 00:34:16,700 --> 00:34:21,940 And one of the things we did was we retrospectively funded some of the people 284 00:34:21,950 --> 00:34:27,229 who'd been working on those online focus groups of GPS to get that early data out. 285 00:34:27,230 --> 00:34:40,969 But what we then managed to do, we ran a Delphi study to sort of formalise and and Delfi Delphi study is it's basically 286 00:34:40,970 --> 00:34:46,820 a survey or several rounds of a survey where you have to get a sample of experts, 287 00:34:46,820 --> 00:34:50,000 you have to get the right experts. Otherwise, you know, it's garbage in, garbage out. 288 00:34:50,000 --> 00:34:56,209 But the idea is that we would have we'd have conditions, we'd have patients, we'd have call handlers, 289 00:34:56,210 --> 00:35:02,390 we'd have people who deal with remote consultations in all sorts of aspects. 290 00:35:02,390 --> 00:35:04,969 And then what you do is you make you give them a set of statements. 291 00:35:04,970 --> 00:35:12,440 Here's 20 statements about, you know, what should happen or what have you, and then you ask them to rate those. 292 00:35:12,440 --> 00:35:16,460 Do you agree with it? Do you agree broadly with it? 293 00:35:16,730 --> 00:35:20,030 Would you like to change the wording? Would you like to improve the wording, etc.? 294 00:35:20,030 --> 00:35:25,850 And then you do all that and you get the responses back and you change the statements, you send them out again, etc. 295 00:35:26,150 --> 00:35:30,470 So we did a full round Delphi panel and we came up with. 296 00:35:31,420 --> 00:35:36,430 A preliminary set of questions that you could ask someone over the phone to decide 297 00:35:36,430 --> 00:35:40,720 whether or not you should send them to hospital or send them to a hot tub, 298 00:35:41,740 --> 00:35:45,040 rush them in, in a blue ambulance and take them straight to intensive care. 299 00:35:45,070 --> 00:35:53,390 You know, that kind of thing. What are the things that predict whether or not someone needs what we called escalation of care? 300 00:35:53,410 --> 00:36:00,760 Because of course, the thing I haven't sent was because it's also so it's still so, so raw. 301 00:36:01,390 --> 00:36:09,850 This was the time when the NHS was completely overwhelmed and you know, all routine work had stopped. 302 00:36:10,900 --> 00:36:16,800 There was real problems with the back door because the question was how are we going to discharge people? 303 00:36:16,820 --> 00:36:23,649 And there was all that stuff about discharging people back to care homes, which, you know, in retrospect was a bad idea. 304 00:36:23,650 --> 00:36:34,660 But but the idea was that we needed to clear the hospital to make capacity for more people going in through the front door. 305 00:36:35,560 --> 00:36:38,950 So people got sent out the back door, back to their care homes. 306 00:36:38,950 --> 00:36:44,769 But but the other thing that was happening was we needed to control the front door by keeping people out of hospital. 307 00:36:44,770 --> 00:36:49,300 It didn't need to be that. And so the slogan was Stay at home, protect the NHS. 308 00:36:49,630 --> 00:36:56,650 The problem is that some of those people who were staying at home to protect the NHS were actually very sick and should have been in hospital. 309 00:36:56,680 --> 00:37:08,590 So so our Delfi study was to decide which people should be kept at home to protect the NHS and which people should be sent in because they need care. 310 00:37:09,700 --> 00:37:19,540 So the other thing that the beautiful study did was it allowed us to do a big quantitative study on data linkage. 311 00:37:19,570 --> 00:37:26,470 Now this is not my area of expertise, but through Twitter I make friends with the people who are the kind of big experts on that. 312 00:37:27,160 --> 00:37:31,540 Charcol Brendon Delaney from Imperial and some of those know from my department 313 00:37:31,540 --> 00:37:37,390 in Oxford and we put together a component of what's called the RBD study, 314 00:37:37,990 --> 00:37:46,809 where patients contacted the NHS by telephone, either by the GP or via the COBRA Clinical Advisory Service, 315 00:37:46,810 --> 00:37:57,370 which was the special NHS one on one phone service for people who might have COVID and any body contacting those would get 316 00:37:57,670 --> 00:38:08,020 these 1011 questions and then we would follow those patients up for the next few months to see who was admitted to hospital, 317 00:38:08,140 --> 00:38:14,320 who was admitted to intensive care and who died. So we followed them up and followed up. 318 00:38:15,630 --> 00:38:22,290 Off the top of my head, something like 12,000 patients using data linkage. 319 00:38:22,290 --> 00:38:30,959 So we had the individual patient record in general practice, GP record and we through the patient's NHS number, 320 00:38:30,960 --> 00:38:38,080 we would link that to what's known as hospital episode statistics and also to coroners. 321 00:38:38,100 --> 00:38:42,270 Oh no, not coroners, sorry. Office of National Statistics Deaths. 322 00:38:43,400 --> 00:38:50,630 And the idea was that the statisticians would produce kind of graphs and of. 323 00:38:51,650 --> 00:38:58,040 Which of those questions best predicted whether or not the patient ended up dead or admitted to hospital, 324 00:38:58,040 --> 00:39:04,430 etc., etc. And I've recently had a sneak preview of the results of that study, 325 00:39:05,060 --> 00:39:11,840 which was very interesting findings that the early impressions of those GP's, 326 00:39:12,260 --> 00:39:16,400 like my trainee who said after 100 calls I know who should go to hospital. 327 00:39:17,780 --> 00:39:19,610 Well actually they were right. 328 00:39:20,150 --> 00:39:30,980 They could predict with remarkable accuracy which questions to ask of patients in order to decide who needs to go to hospital. 329 00:39:31,580 --> 00:39:36,469 And I suppose one bottom line thing that we've now demonstrated, 330 00:39:36,470 --> 00:39:46,250 but which the GP's were saying with their hunches back in March 2020, patients need an oximeter at home. 331 00:39:47,210 --> 00:39:53,090 That little thing that you click on your finger and with any luck it comes out to 98 per showing you your nascent health. 332 00:39:53,780 --> 00:40:06,380 You know, if that oximeter is only reading 92%, that is a very serious thing and you should be going off for a proper assessment. 333 00:40:07,460 --> 00:40:12,820 Now. It's perhaps worth saying that. 334 00:40:14,270 --> 00:40:23,540 We had that hunch earlier, but it took a very long time to demonstrate quantitatively just how important oximetry data was. 335 00:40:24,380 --> 00:40:31,070 And just to give a personal aside, at Christmas time, my mother became ill with COVID, 336 00:40:31,100 --> 00:40:44,060 and the last photograph I have of my mother is a photograph of her hand with an oximeter on it, which we've sent to her by Amazon showing 86%. 337 00:40:45,460 --> 00:40:51,710 And my mother was sitting in her rocking chair at home saying, I don't know, I don't feel all that bad. 338 00:40:51,730 --> 00:40:56,430 Do you think I should call the doctor? And he said, Yes, I do think you should. 339 00:40:56,440 --> 00:41:01,300 And I, in fact, contacted nine, nine, nine, and my mother didn't last much longer. 340 00:41:02,230 --> 00:41:04,900 So this is all affecting me really quite personally. 341 00:41:05,440 --> 00:41:17,080 But that I'd say that just to illustrate the idea of the patient at home feeling that they shouldn't trouble and overwhelmed service, 342 00:41:17,110 --> 00:41:24,730 not feeling all that breathless but the oximeter reading showing that they had a red flag sign. 343 00:41:25,640 --> 00:41:34,460 And the remote by default study has now shown that, you know, very conclusively, very decisively. 344 00:41:35,870 --> 00:41:41,780 We haven't yet published, but we are about to by the time this is available, it will be you can look it up. 345 00:41:42,470 --> 00:41:49,760 It's known as the recut study remote coded assessment in primary care that that substudy of remote by default. 346 00:41:50,180 --> 00:41:56,620 So that that was all. If we come back to the theme of interdisciplinarity. 347 00:41:57,780 --> 00:42:08,250 I had been very comfortable looking at the social science, if you like, of the introduction of remote services. 348 00:42:08,520 --> 00:42:12,970 I was very comfortable running online focus groups, doing qualitative interviews. 349 00:42:12,990 --> 00:42:15,750 Those are the kind of things that I'm good at, if you like. 350 00:42:16,470 --> 00:42:28,980 I was not at all comfortable doing large scale data linkage studies across these different databases and 351 00:42:28,980 --> 00:42:37,050 working with geeky statisticians to produce what's known as receiver operated characteristic curves. 352 00:42:39,090 --> 00:42:49,920 But I knew that we had to prospectively test the hypotheses that we'd come up with with our qualitative data. 353 00:42:50,490 --> 00:43:00,719 And so we just we just brought on a whole load of quantitative database type researchers, and I've never done that kind of research before. 354 00:43:00,720 --> 00:43:05,520 But, you know, it was what was needed. Excellent. 355 00:43:13,130 --> 00:43:20,780 So I'm just I'm just going back to a question and we'll go on because there's another area of research that I particularly want to get into. 356 00:43:21,530 --> 00:43:26,719 But I wondered whether your very rapid reaction and sense that something needed 357 00:43:26,720 --> 00:43:31,250 doing and I suppose what you've said about the funding bodies partly answered this, 358 00:43:31,250 --> 00:43:37,880 but was was that a common reaction, reaction among the research community that we all need to just drop everything and get on with this? 359 00:43:38,960 --> 00:43:43,250 Um, did did it feel collective? Did it feel as if you were really engaged in the collective? 360 00:43:43,850 --> 00:43:49,520 Yes, but I think there's also the fact that we weren't allowed to carry on. 361 00:43:50,330 --> 00:43:58,129 So I had one post-doc who was, I would say, just slightly sleepy about this, 362 00:43:58,130 --> 00:44:06,860 that this person was not clinically qualified and was quite nervous about shifting everything across to COVID and wanted to 363 00:44:06,860 --> 00:44:17,750 carry on studying a different project and then got an email to say all projects that are not to do with COVID are stopping. 364 00:44:18,140 --> 00:44:25,340 You may not carry on with them. And at that point this person came to me and said, Oh, it looks like I'm going to have to help you with the. 365 00:44:25,640 --> 00:44:29,930 But now it wasn't because they were being lazy. 366 00:44:29,930 --> 00:44:35,080 It was because they they felt they didn't have the skills to to contribute. 367 00:44:35,090 --> 00:44:40,819 And I think a lot of people who were clinical felt, gosh, there's nothing for me to do. 368 00:44:40,820 --> 00:44:44,720 You know, I might as well be furloughed if you like. But I said, look, there's plenty you can do. 369 00:44:45,230 --> 00:44:49,250 Go and do X, you know, but they did need quite a bit of guidance. 370 00:44:51,730 --> 00:45:00,700 And you mentioned that you were at your desk 14 hours a day or whatever, even though it was something like four or five months. 371 00:45:02,380 --> 00:45:06,280 Were there other ways in which the lockdown impacted on what you were able to do? 372 00:45:08,090 --> 00:45:18,840 Um. I think I was very lucky in my set up with lockdown in that my kids have grown up. 373 00:45:19,350 --> 00:45:27,060 One of my kids actually is a junior doctor and he was he was off travelling actually, and came back in March 2020 and went to work on a COVID ward, 374 00:45:27,360 --> 00:45:34,769 immediately caught COVID and got better from it very quickly, went back home to the COVID board, you know, all that kind of thing. 375 00:45:34,770 --> 00:45:40,290 So so he wasn't causing me any trouble. He was helping with the COVID response in another way. 376 00:45:40,290 --> 00:45:44,750 And then my other sons living abroad. So we didn't have the kids to worry about. 377 00:45:46,020 --> 00:45:54,450 So there was just my husband and myself. I converted the living room to a study and I, you know, my desk was already in it, 378 00:45:54,450 --> 00:46:01,950 but my living room became my office and I had quite a comfortable setup. 379 00:46:01,950 --> 00:46:06,090 I had wi fi at home. I could connect. 380 00:46:06,750 --> 00:46:13,530 The one thing we wanted to do, we couldn't do when we were doing the Adelphi study was we wanted to use specialist software, 381 00:46:13,830 --> 00:46:20,040 which we couldn't access remotely, mainly because the person who gave out the passwords wasn't there. 382 00:46:20,040 --> 00:46:24,990 So it was one of those things. So we had to use this slightly more. 383 00:46:28,540 --> 00:46:32,860 What's the word? Generic piece of software. SurveyMonkey. But it works, right? 384 00:46:33,220 --> 00:46:42,430 It works all right in the end. But apart from that, the kind of work that I personally was doing, the qualitative interviews, 385 00:46:42,430 --> 00:46:53,910 the analysis of policy documents, the writing of policy advice could perfectly easily be done at my desk at home. 386 00:46:53,920 --> 00:46:58,899 So I think I was quite lucky there. I'm also very lucky to live close to Port Meadows. 387 00:46:58,900 --> 00:47:05,920 So, you know, the morning jogging or in the summer, the swimming all just happened, you know, perfectly easily. 388 00:47:06,610 --> 00:47:15,130 I think that wasn't the case for many members of my staff, particularly the young academics who were living in small flats. 389 00:47:15,460 --> 00:47:20,800 Perhaps two of them were sharing a desk and. 390 00:47:21,740 --> 00:47:25,970 You know, having to take turns using one computer, you know, all those kinds of things. 391 00:47:27,770 --> 00:47:37,690 So so I think I was I was lucky in that respect. Q Did you find that with the phones you could not look at your email and turn off Twitter that 392 00:47:37,690 --> 00:47:42,640 actually getting the writing done was in some ways easier to do if you weren't in an office. 393 00:47:43,360 --> 00:47:44,830 It was certainly no more difficult. 394 00:47:44,840 --> 00:47:50,200 You know, I had poetry that the office actually doesn't even have a windows because it was skylights on right up in the attic. 395 00:47:50,200 --> 00:47:53,860 But and so you have a nice window in my living room. 396 00:47:54,760 --> 00:48:00,490 And I think when you say, you know, checking your email and turning off Twitter, look, 397 00:48:01,030 --> 00:48:08,409 research at that time of the pandemic, Twitter was my data source and Twitter was my way of connecting to people. 398 00:48:08,410 --> 00:48:10,210 That's really important to get across. 399 00:48:11,500 --> 00:48:21,370 I got contacted early in the pandemic by a guy called Florian Stigler, who I think is Austrian, and FLORIDO met me once. 400 00:48:21,370 --> 00:48:27,070 He reminded me that we'd met in a pub somewhere in London when he was doing an earlier piece of research, 401 00:48:27,190 --> 00:48:33,130 but and he said, Would I join a COVID 19 researcher's email group? 402 00:48:34,070 --> 00:48:37,210 And I thought, well, I got enough emails, but yeah, 403 00:48:37,220 --> 00:48:43,070 or I'll join your group as we had a nice mate in the pub and all that kind of thing for you for the, for old time's sake. 404 00:48:43,850 --> 00:48:55,700 And it was one of the most important connections that I made, because we all realised early on that he needed to create networks of researchers. 405 00:48:56,180 --> 00:48:59,410 This was real time research. 406 00:48:59,420 --> 00:49:03,200 This was not something, this was not your conventional stuff. 407 00:49:03,950 --> 00:49:08,210 We needed to generate and share knowledge in real time. 408 00:49:08,840 --> 00:49:17,790 And he put together up about 100 researchers from around the world, and there was this email list that you could just send stuff out to. 409 00:49:18,140 --> 00:49:24,530 It was called COVID 19 researchers. And people would come up and say things like, you know, 410 00:49:24,530 --> 00:49:33,160 I've got a patient on a ward with seems to go fungal infection having been treated with antibiotics. 411 00:49:33,170 --> 00:49:39,650 Should we start treating these patients with antibiotics when we know that this is a virus because maybe they'll get fungal super infection. 412 00:49:39,950 --> 00:49:45,920 And immediately someone from somewhere would say, oh, yes, well, we've we've already reviewed this evidence. 413 00:49:46,250 --> 00:49:53,090 And we've also got some routinely collected data on 100 patients, and this is what it shows. 414 00:49:53,090 --> 00:49:56,659 And then people would have a confluence of we've got 100 patients and this happened. 415 00:49:56,660 --> 00:50:03,680 And so it was absolutely amazing to see these these questions being addressed in real time. 416 00:50:04,040 --> 00:50:11,720 Also, because the pandemic was hitting different countries at different times, you know, it was just amazing. 417 00:50:11,980 --> 00:50:17,360 So that email list was important, but also social media. 418 00:50:17,870 --> 00:50:19,580 You know, I've been on Twitter for a long time. 419 00:50:19,970 --> 00:50:27,740 I got a lot of followers, although my followers, I think, quadrupled in, you know, since the beginning of the pandemic. 420 00:50:27,740 --> 00:50:33,139 So I thought I'd love of over 40,000, you know, 160,000. 421 00:50:33,140 --> 00:50:40,190 But the point about it is people were following other people who they thought would be able to give them useful information. 422 00:50:40,190 --> 00:50:47,840 But what that meant was that if you had already curated your Twitter feed, you could immediately connect to, you know. 423 00:50:48,950 --> 00:50:55,390 The World Health Organisation, the Lancet. The some of the top people in the NHS. 424 00:50:55,670 --> 00:50:59,690 Who follows who on Twitter was really quite important. 425 00:51:00,220 --> 00:51:04,040 So. So it wasn't that Twitter was a distraction from my research. 426 00:51:04,130 --> 00:51:09,590 Twitter was my research. We recruited patients through it. 427 00:51:09,590 --> 00:51:13,160 We recruited staff, participants through it. 428 00:51:13,700 --> 00:51:17,690 And we got it all through the ethics committees. By the way, I think it's really important to say. 429 00:51:18,020 --> 00:51:25,730 My husband is a retired academic, sits on the Oxford Bee, I think it is Research Ethics Committee. 430 00:51:26,270 --> 00:51:28,610 And he was as busy as I was. 431 00:51:29,120 --> 00:51:43,010 His Research Ethics Committee were looking at these very rapidly put together protocols for clinical trials for other kinds of human research. 432 00:51:43,460 --> 00:51:51,550 And they were turning those very complex proposals around in 48 hours so that the 433 00:51:51,590 --> 00:51:57,500 the bureaucracy of getting research up and running didn't delay the research. 434 00:51:58,990 --> 00:52:02,840 So we'd already asked the Ethics Committee, please, can we recruit by Twitter? 435 00:52:03,380 --> 00:52:07,730 You know, they said, well, yes, so long as you do this, this and this. So we were doing all that. 436 00:52:08,720 --> 00:52:16,610 So in many ways it was quite exciting, although it was also quite scary. 437 00:52:17,420 --> 00:52:25,850 And you know, for example, when my trainees receptionists died, when my own son got COVID in March 20, 21 as a junior doctor. 438 00:52:26,880 --> 00:52:33,870 It was terrifying, to be honest. But that, I think, is why we were all working so hard. 439 00:52:37,760 --> 00:52:46,190 So let's move on to another area of your research that I just I just very quickly scanned some of your recent papers. 440 00:52:46,850 --> 00:52:54,980 And clearly something that's been preoccupying you a lot has been masks and airborne transmission. 441 00:52:56,130 --> 00:53:00,290 What when did you first decide that was something that really needed addressing? 442 00:53:02,150 --> 00:53:13,550 Um, again, early on and again through my contacts with the Chinese, we have to remember that songs and Murs were. 443 00:53:14,640 --> 00:53:21,030 A. They weren't pandemics. They were epidemics that affected certain Asian countries. 444 00:53:21,540 --> 00:53:31,200 And I think China, Japan, Hong Kong, Singapore, places like that that learned from those earlier epidemics. 445 00:53:31,410 --> 00:53:34,410 They knew coronaviruses were airborne. 446 00:53:34,410 --> 00:53:40,049 There was no doubt about that. In places like China and Japan, you know, it was just standard. 447 00:53:40,050 --> 00:53:50,850 It was just known. And I suppose because I was talking to the Chinese and through Floridians, COVID 19 researchers, 448 00:53:50,850 --> 00:53:56,940 email group, we were we were conversing with scientists around the world. 449 00:53:56,940 --> 00:54:11,520 We weren't just in our own little UK bubble. Another thing that happened really early in the pandemic, 8th of March 2020, there was a big concert, 450 00:54:11,720 --> 00:54:18,720 a big performance of the St Matthew Passion in a big concert hall announced to done. 451 00:54:20,100 --> 00:54:28,590 Pretty sure it's a boxing match of passion and of a choir of about 130 people. 452 00:54:28,830 --> 00:54:33,530 Something like 100 of them got sick. The conductor ended up on intensive care. 453 00:54:34,640 --> 00:54:43,820 And for me, that was incontrovertible evidence that this virus spreads through the air. 454 00:54:44,360 --> 00:54:53,360 It was simply inconceivable that every member of that choir had touched the same doorknob and then licked their finger. 455 00:54:53,420 --> 00:55:08,870 It just didn't hang together. Cheltenham races was followed very rapidly by a surge in cases of COVID because people were shouting and cheering. 456 00:55:08,870 --> 00:55:13,730 And again, you know, when you vocalise you generate aerosols. 457 00:55:14,030 --> 00:55:22,219 So from my perspective, I couldn't understand why everybody was on everybody. 458 00:55:22,220 --> 00:55:27,110 But but an awful lot of influential people, certainly all the leading policy makers in the UK, 459 00:55:27,800 --> 00:55:34,040 the W.H.O., were going crazy about hand-washing and scrubbing surfaces. 460 00:55:34,430 --> 00:55:36,680 It just didn't make sense. 461 00:55:37,490 --> 00:55:47,960 And very early in the pandemic, I got together with a couple of colleagues who died who had picked up on this email list, COVID 19 researchers. 462 00:55:48,470 --> 00:55:53,810 And we wrote an article for the British Medical Journal about the precautionary principle. 463 00:55:54,770 --> 00:56:05,329 Precautionary principle says when the risks of doing something massively outweigh the sorry, 464 00:56:05,330 --> 00:56:17,000 but the benefits of doing something massively outweigh the risks, you might want to act before you have definitive evidence, just in case. 465 00:56:17,300 --> 00:56:19,370 That's why it's called the precautionary principle. 466 00:56:19,970 --> 00:56:32,810 And we said we think introducing masks would be a good idea, even though we don't have incontrovertible evidence that they will benefit. 467 00:56:32,810 --> 00:56:37,340 Because if we're right, we could save hundreds of thousands of lives. 468 00:56:38,150 --> 00:56:42,350 If we're wrong, it probably won't matter. It just means that people will be wearing these things for no reason. 469 00:56:44,450 --> 00:56:51,980 What we had was Jenny Harries getting from Public Health England, getting up and saying masks could do enormous harm. 470 00:56:53,570 --> 00:56:58,670 I had the slogan, it's it's a piece of cloth, not a land mine. 471 00:56:59,240 --> 00:57:06,800 And yet the narrative from both the W.H.O. initially and from public health 472 00:57:07,100 --> 00:57:14,989 policymaking in the U.K. was that masks probably didn't benefit you very much, 473 00:57:14,990 --> 00:57:18,740 but they could do colossal harm. And. 474 00:57:20,240 --> 00:57:24,740 I knew this wasn't right. Like, where do you think that idea came from? 475 00:57:24,860 --> 00:57:30,120 Well, it's very interesting. I can tell you exactly where it came from, because we've done quite a lot of research on this. 476 00:57:30,190 --> 00:57:42,079 Now, the problem with airborne diseases is that they can spread like wildfire because airborne diseases come out when you breathe, 477 00:57:42,080 --> 00:57:46,220 when you talk, when you sing and before you are symptomatic. 478 00:57:46,790 --> 00:57:55,890 So very often in an infectious disease, you're actually most infectious the day before you get symptoms, you know, something like chicken pox. 479 00:57:56,540 --> 00:58:00,710 It's no good. By the time that kids come out in spots, they've already given it to all their friends. 480 00:58:01,050 --> 00:58:10,610 Grandmother. Yeah, exactly. Exactly. So. So we all know that with these able diseases, but airborne diseases for that reason, 481 00:58:11,780 --> 00:58:18,350 if you look at where the W.H.O. talks about airborne diseases, it's in its bioterrorism manual. 482 00:58:19,070 --> 00:58:29,480 And an airborne disease is one that you might use if you wanted to attack a country, you know, in a bioterrorist attack. 483 00:58:30,260 --> 00:58:42,260 So, of course, when you've got a worldwide shortage of high grade PPE and when you have got an escalating pandemic, 484 00:58:42,260 --> 00:58:48,800 which might not quite turn into a pandemic, you know, we it's something we're concerned about. 485 00:58:48,810 --> 00:58:54,350 But do you remember sales didn't and birds didn't. So you don't want to embarrass yourself too much. 486 00:58:55,370 --> 00:58:59,029 We don't really want to put out a message saying, oh, it's airborne. 487 00:58:59,030 --> 00:59:07,820 It's airborne because everyone's going to panic. And what was driving Tedros, the director general of the W.H.O.? 488 00:59:07,850 --> 00:59:16,490 What was driving him at the beginning was making sure people didn't overreact, making sure we didn't have mass panic. 489 00:59:17,360 --> 00:59:35,420 And the trouble is, in his attempt to quell the panic, he then backed the wrong horse in in, I think, a spectacularly naive and flawed move. 490 00:59:35,990 --> 00:59:42,900 But having done that. He and others in the W.H.O. didn't want to backtrack. 491 00:59:44,070 --> 00:59:50,879 And because they really wanted to reserve high grade PPE for people working in intensive care units, 492 00:59:50,880 --> 00:59:54,510 for example, and doing aerosol generating procedures and all that kind of thing. 493 00:59:56,850 --> 01:00:01,880 They stuck to their story. Which was just wrong. 494 01:00:02,510 --> 01:00:07,610 We know it was wrong now. And I think interesting, we're making this for future historians, 495 01:00:07,610 --> 01:00:16,879 but I think people will look back and be absolutely gobsmacked at how long it took 496 01:00:16,880 --> 01:00:25,430 the W.H.O. to put out a clear and definitive message that this virus is airborne. 497 01:00:25,760 --> 01:00:33,110 And we have to shift from what I call droplet theatre into airborne precautions. 498 01:00:34,100 --> 01:00:38,570 And I've spent an awful lot of time and lost an awful lot of sleep on that topic. 499 01:00:39,840 --> 01:00:47,250 Yes. And I interrupted you so we could go back to the point which so instead of talking about why they had that policy, 500 01:00:48,780 --> 01:00:52,620 you had become convinced very early on that it was airborne. 501 01:00:52,890 --> 01:00:59,459 Yeah. So how did you perceive that? Well, we read the paper for the British Medical Journal, and that was published on the 2nd of April. 502 01:00:59,460 --> 01:01:02,640 And I was cross because the BMJ had been sitting on it for three weeks because 503 01:01:02,640 --> 01:01:06,780 they wanted to get peer reviewed and all that kind of thing and that paper. 504 01:01:07,960 --> 01:01:15,430 Was very, very popular. It's been cited, I don't know, hundreds of times, but it didn't change policy straight away. 505 01:01:15,880 --> 01:01:32,080 Policy didn't change till July 2020. And I kept campaigning because I felt and I still feel that unless we wear masks in crowded indoor public places, 506 01:01:32,260 --> 01:01:39,730 particularly on public transport, we are not going to stop the spread of this predominantly airborne disease. 507 01:01:40,660 --> 01:01:46,959 So I suppose I put stuff out on Twitter and then I went on television. 508 01:01:46,960 --> 01:01:51,370 And then once you've been on television, once you get put on television again, you know, 509 01:01:51,370 --> 01:01:59,770 etc., etc. and I did a lot of radio on this single message about wearing masks, 510 01:02:00,340 --> 01:02:12,610 and I became rather unpopular in some circles because I did not realise that this was going to be a political issue and an ideological issue, 511 01:02:12,610 --> 01:02:18,280 and it was all about, you know, libertarian values and all the rest of it because it certainly isn't in Asia, 512 01:02:18,980 --> 01:02:28,930 but just put masks on and that's that it became heavily politicised, became linked to the Christian right in America, I think all that kind of thing. 513 01:02:29,650 --> 01:02:40,719 And I got some very rude messages, shall we say, extraordinary messages actually, from people who thought I should shut up. 514 01:02:40,720 --> 01:02:51,370 I also got an email actually from, um, I got the email from Peter Horby saying, look, you're wrong about masks, which is a bit odd really. 515 01:02:51,610 --> 01:03:00,250 So why do you them back? And I said, Look, I don't think I'm wrong about masks and I don't really like the way you phrased that. 516 01:03:01,330 --> 01:03:03,460 I think he was the chair of Nervtag. 517 01:03:03,670 --> 01:03:11,590 What he meant was there is not definitive evidence from randomised controlled trials so you should stop behaving as if there is. 518 01:03:12,410 --> 01:03:17,470 My response to him was I know there's not definitive evidence from randomised controlled trials. 519 01:03:17,650 --> 01:03:24,940 I am not pretending that there is. What I am doing is invoking the precautionary principle and I am saying even 520 01:03:24,940 --> 01:03:28,060 though there is not definitive evidence from randomised controlled trials, 521 01:03:28,240 --> 01:03:35,950 we should still bring in mask mandates because hundreds of thousands of people are going to die if we don't. 522 01:03:37,420 --> 01:03:42,249 And I think Peter will be still probably feels that I was I was jumping the 523 01:03:42,250 --> 01:03:46,030 gun on masks and I'd be very happy to have a conversation with him about it. 524 01:03:47,020 --> 01:03:56,919 So he wasn't the only researcher within Oxford who has published papers saying that not only that there is no evidence that masks work, 525 01:03:56,920 --> 01:04:00,910 but that there isn't evidence that the virus is airborne. 526 01:04:01,120 --> 01:04:09,010 Yes. Yes. So that's there's a group led by Carl Hennigan at the Centre for Evidence based Medicine in my department. 527 01:04:09,250 --> 01:04:20,500 I worked very closely with Carl's team. Initially we were putting out rapid reviews and I remember the rapid review where we basically parted company. 528 01:04:20,500 --> 01:04:25,570 So we had various medical students and relatively junior clinicians working on these reviews. 529 01:04:26,020 --> 01:04:34,000 And one of the questions that we'd been asked was, should we be social distancing at two metres or one metre? 530 01:04:34,360 --> 01:04:44,390 So we had a peak or two metres or one question mark. And if you assume that the virus is airborne, if you take on the evidence the virus is airborne, 531 01:04:44,680 --> 01:04:48,249 of course it doesn't really matter whether it's two metres a one. 532 01:04:48,250 --> 01:04:55,809 If you are sitting in a room breathing the same air with the windows closed and you've been there for a long time because you know, 533 01:04:55,810 --> 01:05:03,010 just like if someone's smoking or if they farted it, these things travel through the air. 534 01:05:03,550 --> 01:05:08,500 So yes, it is important to socially distance. 535 01:05:08,500 --> 01:05:18,579 And even with airborne viruses, the closer you are, the worse it is because airborne transmission happens at close contact as well as long distance. 536 01:05:18,580 --> 01:05:28,360 But it isn't. That's not the solution. And so the people came to me, the the junior academics came to me and said, 537 01:05:28,360 --> 01:05:32,499 look, we're struggling here because cold is not what we've done, basically. 538 01:05:32,500 --> 01:05:35,620 And I looked at what they did. They said, Well, you haven't gone far enough. 539 01:05:36,190 --> 01:05:42,340 What you need to do is link up with an expert in aerosol transmission. 540 01:05:42,610 --> 01:05:47,950 Now, experts in aerosol transmission do not assume that everything is an aerosol. 541 01:05:48,400 --> 01:05:51,850 What they're good at is deciding whether something's in aerosol or not. 542 01:05:52,330 --> 01:05:55,389 So I linked Nick Jones who was leading on that paper. 543 01:05:55,390 --> 01:06:03,130 I link to video for Webber, who is who studies the aerodynamics of coughs and sneezes. 544 01:06:03,610 --> 01:06:07,020 She's she's published a paper in the New England Journal. It's a. 545 01:06:07,150 --> 01:06:11,110 Sneeze and kind of films them, that kind of thing. 546 01:06:11,530 --> 01:06:19,540 And Lydia and various others not only do this in the Dumaresq here in Australia. 547 01:06:19,840 --> 01:06:24,340 There's Kimberley Prather and her team in America. 548 01:06:24,580 --> 01:06:31,090 There's host Jimenez, who's also in the different parts of America, and there's lots of aerosol scientists. 549 01:06:31,600 --> 01:06:38,460 And I linked my team with one of those aerosol scientists, 550 01:06:38,920 --> 01:06:48,970 and we produced a paper which brought in all this aerosol science that I hadn't really realised existed, interdisciplinary work again. 551 01:06:50,620 --> 01:06:59,169 And I then began to work with the aerosol scientists and I realised that the stuff they were doing was really pivotal. 552 01:06:59,170 --> 01:07:06,879 It was absolutely pivotal, but it was being ignored, completely ignored by Public Health England, 553 01:07:06,880 --> 01:07:11,830 by the W.H.O. and initially by the CDC in America, although they came around. 554 01:07:11,920 --> 01:07:15,670 Now, there was a meeting in October, I think. 555 01:07:17,250 --> 01:07:22,299 Well, actually, the aerosol scientist wrote to the W.H.O. on I think it was the 8th of July. 556 01:07:22,300 --> 01:07:25,690 They said an open letter to the W.H.O. say 2020. 557 01:07:25,690 --> 01:07:35,580 So yeah, we're still in 2020. So early July, 20, 27th, July, an open letter from over 200 aerosol scientists. 558 01:07:35,590 --> 01:07:39,999 And look, the evidence is overwhelming that this virus is airborne. 559 01:07:40,000 --> 01:07:48,880 It's overwhelming. Your key infection control committee does not include any expertise in aerosol science. 560 01:07:49,090 --> 01:07:52,060 Please, can we help? We are available. 561 01:07:52,540 --> 01:08:01,779 And the W.H.O. published two days later what they called a scientific brief, saying, well, we don't believe you, we don't value your evidence. 562 01:08:01,780 --> 01:08:05,940 We don't want you help. And I was gobsmacked. 563 01:08:05,950 --> 01:08:17,019 I was absolutely gobsmacked. I realised what was happening was and this sort of draws on my background as a social scientist who has 564 01:08:17,020 --> 01:08:25,630 read sort of critical sociologists like Pierre Bourdieu around the links between science and power. 565 01:08:26,680 --> 01:08:32,770 And again, I put out a tweet actually, anyone an expert in Bonjour, 566 01:08:32,980 --> 01:08:39,970 we need to look at this through the lens of critical sociology, critical philosophy of science. 567 01:08:40,600 --> 01:08:51,940 So a couple of people, one guy from Canada and another chap who I showed published with before Moustafa was Belgian and Damian contact droplets. 568 01:08:52,180 --> 01:08:56,470 So one sociologist, then a big sociologist really. 569 01:08:58,000 --> 01:09:05,559 And we did a deep dive into what was going on in key W.H.O. committees, 570 01:09:05,560 --> 01:09:15,580 Public Health England committees about how they had systematically dismissed and denied aerosol science. 571 01:09:16,650 --> 01:09:23,670 How, you know, the slogan I was using was Evidence is what powerful people say it is. 572 01:09:24,210 --> 01:09:31,470 And there were people who were on the key committees were saying, this evidence counts, that evidence doesn't count. 573 01:09:32,130 --> 01:09:36,240 And that needed to be analysed in an academic way. 574 01:09:36,930 --> 01:09:50,760 So we published a paper on Welcome Open Research all about orthodoxy and heterodoxy, which are these terms that both introduced the orthodox view. 575 01:09:50,790 --> 01:09:55,710 Code word is spread by droplets. Hand-washing is important. Scrubbing surfaces is important. 576 01:09:55,980 --> 01:10:00,360 Quarantining your post is important. Aerosol is an important. 577 01:10:00,360 --> 01:10:07,170 That was the orthodoxy. The heterodoxy was. Look, this is an airborne disease. 578 01:10:07,830 --> 01:10:10,980 How did all that? How did the choir get sick? 579 01:10:11,400 --> 01:10:18,840 You know, if it wasn't an airborne disease. And here is chapter and verse from aerosol science. 580 01:10:20,850 --> 01:10:25,050 But they weren't getting a look in because they weren't on the relevant committees. 581 01:10:25,500 --> 01:10:33,450 And so there were all these power plays from people who were on the committees and didn't want to backtrack on what they said. 582 01:10:34,320 --> 01:10:39,790 Because it would erode that power base. And that was happening internationally. 583 01:10:39,810 --> 01:10:49,290 The W.H.O. nationally in places like Public Health England and indeed in local public health departments and right down to schools. 584 01:10:49,290 --> 01:11:02,249 For example, I read only this morning of a nine year old child who had gone to school and said we really ought to 585 01:11:02,250 --> 01:11:09,809 still be wearing masks because the virus is airborne and the child being told off by the teacher saying, 586 01:11:09,810 --> 01:11:13,980 no, it's not. It's spread by droplets. You must keep washing your hands. 587 01:11:14,640 --> 01:11:18,510 And someone had tweeted me saying, Can you please help my nine year old? 588 01:11:19,140 --> 01:11:27,810 So I sent them a couple of things. But that is all about how the teacher can say to the child, I'm your teacher. 589 01:11:27,810 --> 01:11:30,990 Therefore, my science is more correct than your science. 590 01:11:31,680 --> 01:11:41,280 It's scary. It's really scary. So we unpacked quite a bit of that and I think it's probably by putting a marker down for another paper, 591 01:11:41,340 --> 01:11:48,059 probably the paper that has had the most influence actually. So I worked with Kim Prather with her, said Jimenez, 592 01:11:48,060 --> 01:11:55,860 with a couple of infectious diseases guys to write a piece for The Lancet called Ten Scientific Reasons Why. 593 01:11:55,860 --> 01:12:02,580 We Know that the SARS-CoV-2 virus is everyone. It was very derivative. 594 01:12:03,180 --> 01:12:09,970 It was summarising. Stuff that had already been published. 595 01:12:10,240 --> 01:12:14,700 Stuff that was bombed for obvious to aerosol scientists. 596 01:12:14,890 --> 01:12:23,250 So I don't take any credit for having done this work myself, but I could see that we needed to make a rhetorical move. 597 01:12:23,590 --> 01:12:31,660 We needed to do a power play, if you like. And that was publish something in one of the world's leading journals, 598 01:12:31,840 --> 01:12:37,930 which was short enough and punchy enough for people to get their heads around it 599 01:12:38,500 --> 01:12:44,020 because they were publishing in journals such as this journal called Indoor Air. 600 01:12:44,830 --> 01:12:49,750 Well, when did you last pick up a copy of Indoor Air to read it? 601 01:12:49,870 --> 01:12:57,780 It was too nice, you know. So we needed to shift the publications from even from places like science. 602 01:12:57,790 --> 01:13:02,919 Yeah. That's a pretty mainstream high impact journal actually, that I read those. 603 01:13:02,920 --> 01:13:08,110 But they do read The Lancet, they do read the British Medical Journal, so we needed to get stuff in there anyway. 604 01:13:08,260 --> 01:13:15,280 We constructed that paper and we lobbied and lobbied the editors of The Lancet and they said, Yeah, right. 605 01:13:15,280 --> 01:13:24,490 Will publish it. Will publish it as a comment. So it wasn't exactly in the front bits of the journal, and that was in April 21. 606 01:13:24,670 --> 01:13:34,520 It was in April 21. And one reason why we did that and we did it fast was that Carl Hennigan, his group who'd been funded by W.H.O., 607 01:13:34,780 --> 01:13:39,519 this particular committee that didn't have any errors or scientists, they'd been published to do that. 608 01:13:39,520 --> 01:13:44,200 They're funded to do a systematic review which had just concluded that there was 609 01:13:44,380 --> 01:13:51,220 not really any there wasn't enough evidence of airborne spread to take any action. 610 01:13:52,420 --> 01:13:55,090 And I was still mourning the death of my mother. 611 01:13:55,930 --> 01:14:05,440 My mother had gone into hospital, having had a fall and having been completely isolated in the nineties, 612 01:14:05,740 --> 01:14:12,160 had spent while on a trolley in the A&E department and had come back and very quickly developed COVID. 613 01:14:12,370 --> 01:14:16,659 I jolly well knew she'd caught it through the air in the hospital. 614 01:14:16,660 --> 01:14:25,000 It was, you know, and I suppose that drove me to feel particularly passionate and to give this a particularly strong piece. 615 01:14:25,000 --> 01:14:29,980 But, you know, we had wave to wave two was worse than wave one, you know. 616 01:14:31,220 --> 01:14:35,080 Tens of thousands of people had died and was still dying. 617 01:14:35,090 --> 01:14:39,260 So that was the context of this. And then co-head and group having. 618 01:14:40,500 --> 01:14:51,180 Had a very narrow and a theoretical approach to the question of whether this this virus was airborne. 619 01:14:51,990 --> 01:15:02,640 They published this systematic review as a preprint, and it has actually failed peer review and still has failed peer review that it was. 620 01:15:02,760 --> 01:15:05,909 It was published on an open preprint server, open peer review. 621 01:15:05,910 --> 01:15:09,450 And three scientists said, this is flaky. 622 01:15:09,450 --> 01:15:13,200 This is not good science. Now, this is not something I would normally do. 623 01:15:13,530 --> 01:15:18,719 I do not go around disparaging other scientists, and I'm not disparaging the scientists. 624 01:15:18,720 --> 01:15:21,870 But that particular systematic review, 625 01:15:22,140 --> 01:15:34,260 which was the official W.H.O. funded review on which international guidance was going to be based, was scientifically flawed. 626 01:15:34,660 --> 01:15:41,610 We had to make noise about it. So within it took us ten days to pull together the evidence. 627 01:15:41,970 --> 01:15:50,910 And we published that paper in The Lancet ten scientific reasons why we know this and put on that paper. 628 01:15:51,780 --> 01:15:56,519 It's now it's still in the top 20 of our metric schools of all time. 629 01:15:56,520 --> 01:16:05,610 So out metrics is, you know what, how often is it tweeted about or how often is it on Facebook, you know, all those kind of social media outlets? 630 01:16:06,150 --> 01:16:11,220 It's also been cited hundreds of times and it was peer reviewed. 631 01:16:11,490 --> 01:16:24,210 It was independently peer reviewed. So I've never tried harder in my life to get a piece of a publication out there. 632 01:16:24,510 --> 01:16:31,710 We did loads of TV interviews all around the world and the W.H.O. took notice. 633 01:16:32,130 --> 01:16:37,620 So senior people in the W.H.O. contacted particularly Zeynep Tufekci. 634 01:16:37,620 --> 01:16:43,290 Actually, she's a social sociology professor, but she's also a leading journalist. 635 01:16:43,290 --> 01:16:46,290 She really understands how to play the media, and she co-authored that. 636 01:16:47,100 --> 01:16:55,800 And Zeynep actually worked with a couple of senior people at the show, and I think some of them. 637 01:16:57,290 --> 01:17:00,390 Said. You may be right. 638 01:17:01,260 --> 01:17:11,760 You may be right. And one or two publications from the W.H.O. started to acknowledge airborne transmission. 639 01:17:12,710 --> 01:17:23,870 But the relevant committee, the key committee, which was the one that puts out that scientific brief in July 2019, 640 01:17:24,440 --> 01:17:32,540 is still to this day saying that the virus is only situation of the apple, 641 01:17:32,540 --> 01:17:41,750 in other words, in aerosol generating procedures and in highly unusual settings where there's a high degree of crowding. 642 01:17:43,280 --> 01:17:48,600 And that is still something that I worry about and I'm cross about and I lose sleep about. 643 01:17:48,860 --> 01:17:59,690 But I think we did move the needle with that paper. Right now recruiting again. 644 01:18:03,950 --> 01:18:08,860 So, yes, just to sort of follow up on that, has the work you've done on area transmission, 645 01:18:08,870 --> 01:18:14,190 airborne transmission changed policy, for instance, in this country? 646 01:18:14,210 --> 01:18:16,070 You've told me what's happened in W.H.O. 647 01:18:17,030 --> 01:18:29,060 I think the work I did on masks, I think did have some influence on the policy decision to introduce masking in July 2020. 648 01:18:29,750 --> 01:18:38,690 I think the work I've done on airborne transmission has had some influence, but I think to be honest, 649 01:18:39,290 --> 01:18:45,890 what's happening in the UK at the moment, speaking in early November 21, is. 650 01:18:46,850 --> 01:19:00,110 We seem to have gone into a policy of relying on vaccination and assuming that we now can drop all other measures. 651 01:19:00,680 --> 01:19:06,730 So the question of whether this is an airborne virus or drops the virus has really 652 01:19:06,740 --> 01:19:14,390 been parked because it's now seen to be a virus that's controlled by vaccination. 653 01:19:14,870 --> 01:19:26,850 And there is a narrative that we have uncoupled the from the transmission of the disease from severe effects, the disease. 654 01:19:26,870 --> 01:19:30,080 That is not a view I personally hold. 655 01:19:30,350 --> 01:19:34,670 It's only a couple of days since we have 9300 deaths in this country. 656 01:19:35,090 --> 01:19:38,210 You know, we're regularly getting over 200 deaths a day. 657 01:19:38,990 --> 01:19:49,370 And yet it is assumed that because everyone is vaccinated or many people are vaccinated, it's not a serious disease anymore. 658 01:19:49,380 --> 01:19:55,610 We've kind of conquered it. That is highly, highly problematic. 659 01:19:56,100 --> 01:20:04,340 I am very, very troubled by this concocted truth in inverted commas. 660 01:20:06,380 --> 01:20:14,750 I wish the debate on the mode of transmission was front and centre, but it is not currently, which is a great shame. 661 01:20:20,400 --> 01:20:27,720 I think well, we talked about this a bit, but I just focus on why you think it's been so difficult for the medical science as a whole. 662 01:20:27,810 --> 01:20:32,210 Actually, there's another question on both of us. Evidence based medicine. 663 01:20:35,230 --> 01:20:41,709 I remember when the phrase kind of first came in and everybody thought, Oh, what a good thing would come from this time when it was all kind of stuff. 664 01:20:41,710 --> 01:20:50,470 You can see based on personal experience to it, to a time where treatments are all based on evidence, but the term always seems to have. 665 01:20:52,030 --> 01:20:56,260 Broken down in a way, because you have to question what is what is evidence? 666 01:20:56,270 --> 01:21:01,510 How is how do you decide what evidence to pay attention to what what's your view on that? 667 01:21:01,780 --> 01:21:08,950 It's very, very interesting, isn't it? I think evidence based medicine was a very clever piece of marketing. 668 01:21:09,370 --> 01:21:13,010 And actually Mayor Grey, who is a professor, 669 01:21:13,360 --> 01:21:22,990 claims to have developed the term evidence based medicine to kind of market the ideas of clinical epidemiology. 670 01:21:23,290 --> 01:21:33,250 And clinical epidemiology says if you want to make a treatment decision in an individual patient or indeed diagnosis decision, 671 01:21:33,520 --> 01:21:39,190 you should be taking account of research into populations. 672 01:21:39,190 --> 01:21:44,260 You shouldn't just be treating the patient on the basis of whether the previous patient got better on a particular drug. 673 01:21:44,680 --> 01:21:56,979 Now, I think we're all signed up to that, but that doesn't mean that the methods and evidence hierarchies that are appropriate 674 01:21:56,980 --> 01:22:03,940 for assessing the efficacy of drugs or the the accuracy of diagnostic tests. 675 01:22:05,550 --> 01:22:10,080 Applied to every aspect of anything health related. 676 01:22:10,530 --> 01:22:26,480 And I think the evidence hierarchy of evidence based medicine has been naively misapplied to dismiss aerosol science. 677 01:22:26,490 --> 01:22:31,260 And if you go back to what I was saying about interdisciplinarity and how my 678 01:22:31,410 --> 01:22:38,730 own personal doctoral work shifted from a biochemical focus to a much broader, 679 01:22:39,330 --> 01:22:51,620 you know, anthropological focus and. I think we need people who can change horses. 680 01:22:53,500 --> 01:22:59,830 Change disciplinary horses when it's needed. And the problem with evidence based medicine is. 681 01:23:01,150 --> 01:23:12,100 It's really just code for clinical epidemiology and it is a unique disciplinary perspective which favours epidemiology. 682 01:23:13,120 --> 01:23:22,570 And we don't need epidemiology, or at least it shouldn't have an exclusive or privileged position. 683 01:23:22,720 --> 01:23:30,340 I mean, the epidemiology of COPE is very important. But when what when the question is, is the virus airborne? 684 01:23:30,700 --> 01:23:37,240 You need aerosol scientists. You don't need clinical epidemiologists because they're not trained to do that. 685 01:23:37,570 --> 01:23:42,250 This seems to me to be such a basic thing. 686 01:23:42,850 --> 01:23:45,850 I honestly. Cannot. 687 01:23:47,110 --> 01:23:51,690 I can understand why people got it wrong, because it's all about the link between science and power. 688 01:23:51,700 --> 01:24:00,460 But. It's it's something I think future historians are going to look back and say, gosh, gosh. 689 01:24:01,590 --> 01:24:11,340 Even with so much research funding, so much scientific evidence, they still completely dropped the ball there. 690 01:24:15,040 --> 01:24:26,870 That's great. Thank you. I think, again, you mentioned this a bit that we can develop it a bit. 691 01:24:26,880 --> 01:24:34,500 To what extent have you personally felt threatened by the infection, either in the initial phase or more recently? 692 01:24:35,040 --> 01:24:38,370 I've taken this infection very seriously, and I haven't had it. 693 01:24:39,450 --> 01:24:42,930 I have you know, I'm a cancer survivor. 694 01:24:42,960 --> 01:24:46,860 I've been very sick with sepsis in the past. 695 01:24:47,220 --> 01:24:55,950 And I don't want to repeat that experience because I was convinced from an early stage that this virus was airborne. 696 01:24:56,160 --> 01:25:00,120 I have not been on public transport since the beginning of the pandemic. 697 01:25:00,480 --> 01:25:03,600 I have only been into my department three or four times. 698 01:25:04,860 --> 01:25:09,930 Every single time was on a Sunday or late at night when there wasn't anyone else in the building. 699 01:25:12,360 --> 01:25:20,700 And I have been to very, very few face to face meetings, maybe two or three since the beginning of the pandemic, because I don't want to catch it. 700 01:25:21,450 --> 01:25:27,990 So. You know, I have personally had it's as I said, my mother died of it. 701 01:25:28,010 --> 01:25:32,870 My son had what was actually pretty mild COVID. 702 01:25:32,930 --> 01:25:39,800 So it wasn't very nice at the time. But you know, ten days later with better and. 703 01:25:41,980 --> 01:25:54,640 I think the way COVID affected me, apart from losing my mother, was an awful lot of my staff were affected by lockdown and furloughed. 704 01:25:55,360 --> 01:25:58,719 You know, all were homeschooling their kids, that kind of thing. 705 01:25:58,720 --> 01:26:02,200 And I think I'm not alone in that, but certainly. 706 01:26:03,190 --> 01:26:07,570 It was a bit of a struggle. But, you know, that was a sort of indirect, really. 707 01:26:07,720 --> 01:26:20,470 You know, physically I've been completely unscathed. Again, you've answered this one that you could perhaps again say how it panned out later. 708 01:26:20,470 --> 01:26:24,160 Did you work longer hours than normal during the pandemic? No, crazy. 709 01:26:24,160 --> 01:26:29,080 I was absolutely crazy. I was. And in fact, someone asked me recently, 710 01:26:29,320 --> 01:26:36,250 what would you have done differently if you if you if we could kind of play that first few months of the pandemic again? 711 01:26:36,250 --> 01:26:47,920 And I said I would I would have taken more breaks because we were working at an extraordinary pace, an absolutely blistering pace. 712 01:26:48,190 --> 01:26:52,150 I've published more than 50 papers in 2020. 713 01:26:52,840 --> 01:26:57,430 You know, it's one week. It was crazy. 714 01:26:57,790 --> 01:27:02,430 And actually I published over 40 this year and it finished. 715 01:27:02,440 --> 01:27:12,790 Yes. Hadn't got much better. But actually, of those first 50 papers, you know, I'm talking to you about five or six of my papers. 716 01:27:13,060 --> 01:27:17,140 There were an awful lot of papers that weren't that good, actually, looking back. 717 01:27:17,680 --> 01:27:25,059 And although every single one of them was done in good faith, we tried hard. 718 01:27:25,060 --> 01:27:32,330 I think if we taken a step back, taken a weekend off from time to time, 719 01:27:32,350 --> 01:27:38,710 something like that, we may have done a few pieces of work, but done them slightly better. 720 01:27:41,890 --> 01:27:48,940 Having said that, I don't think we would have known at the time which ones we should have focussed on, which ones we shouldn't. 721 01:27:50,050 --> 01:27:54,040 Because that first masks paper, the one for the precautionary principle. 722 01:27:54,520 --> 01:27:59,170 It only took a couple of days to write. We didn't know it was going to go viral. 723 01:27:59,830 --> 01:28:05,350 We didn't know masks were going to be such a big thing. So it's all very well with the retrospective scope, isn't it? 724 01:28:05,410 --> 01:28:10,090 But in the in the fast unfolding of events, it was quite hard to know what to focus on. 725 01:28:10,600 --> 01:28:15,970 And I think, I mean, you said it was five months that you had this extremely intense period, 726 01:28:16,840 --> 01:28:21,669 the implication being that since then you haven't been getting it quite such a blistering pace. 727 01:28:21,670 --> 01:28:25,200 But on the other hand, you have produced you did produce a huge number of papers. 728 01:28:25,360 --> 01:28:30,700 Did you actually get a chance to take time off or did you institute a regime of regular breaks from that time? 729 01:28:30,970 --> 01:28:40,709 Um. I've had two weeks holiday in the last two years and I got another one the week after next month. 730 01:28:40,710 --> 01:28:44,520 She said that by three weeks in two years. So that's not very much. 731 01:28:46,470 --> 01:28:58,800 On the other hand, it's quite hard to go on holiday. I do stop now most evenings. 732 01:29:00,150 --> 01:29:05,710 I think. The pace of work. 733 01:29:07,680 --> 01:29:11,129 I think doing 16 hour days was crazy. 734 01:29:11,130 --> 01:29:18,730 So now I could do 12 hour days. But there's still plenty of work to do, actually. 735 01:29:18,970 --> 01:29:28,720 And also, although, you know, I'm working long hours, as I said, I don't feel particularly stressed by it now. 736 01:29:28,870 --> 01:29:34,480 It's quite fulfilling. I'm finishing off quite a lot of projects that have been running for a few months. 737 01:29:37,310 --> 01:29:41,600 I'm finding it quite sort of comfortable intellectually. 738 01:29:42,140 --> 01:29:47,180 There's some very, very interesting philosophical work I haven't talked about much, but for example, 739 01:29:47,180 --> 01:29:53,389 I've been linking up with some pragmatist philosophers because I think pragmatism is a really, 740 01:29:53,390 --> 01:29:58,820 really interesting theoretical lens to look at the pandemic through. 741 01:29:59,330 --> 01:30:03,740 So one of the papers I've got under review at the moment is around. 742 01:30:05,420 --> 01:30:08,780 Crisis policymaking through a pragmatist lens. 743 01:30:12,060 --> 01:30:20,580 That's almost like a hobby and it's very different from the kind of work I was doing much at the beginning of the pandemic, 744 01:30:20,580 --> 01:30:24,960 which was very much about how can we stop people dying today and tomorrow? 745 01:30:25,500 --> 01:30:30,720 I've now shifted gears a bit and started thinking. 746 01:30:31,970 --> 01:30:36,980 Wait a minute. What does this pandemic tell us about pandemics generally or crises generally? 747 01:30:37,370 --> 01:30:42,320 And that, I think, is is quite rewarding and productive. 748 01:30:43,340 --> 01:30:46,850 You know, you can see all the. Feel particularly stressed right now. 749 01:30:47,420 --> 01:30:53,120 Time to do this interview if you don't speak about this 18 months ago and I said sorry, ample time. 750 01:30:53,690 --> 01:30:58,010 So I think things are settling down a bit. Yeah, I do. 751 01:30:58,400 --> 01:31:03,830 Is there anything that you do within your group to support the emotional well-being of your colleagues? 752 01:31:05,870 --> 01:31:14,779 That's a really interesting one, isn't it? I am cynical about some of the emotional well-being stuff that goes around. 753 01:31:14,780 --> 01:31:20,929 So we have this email that comes around every Wednesday and the headline is Wellbeing 754 01:31:20,930 --> 01:31:26,090 Wednesday and it says things like Take 20 minutes away from your work or that kind of thing. 755 01:31:31,520 --> 01:31:35,580 It's too formalised, it's too technocratic. 756 01:31:35,600 --> 01:31:40,860 It's like going on a resilience course. I think the way. 757 01:31:42,120 --> 01:31:47,400 I have. Tended to do it is. 758 01:31:50,680 --> 01:31:57,670 Picking up a lot of bitty things that people weren't coping with. 759 01:31:58,210 --> 01:32:01,930 And so I would pick them up and. 760 01:32:03,230 --> 01:32:06,830 You know, help them with it. Various people, 761 01:32:06,830 --> 01:32:14,000 various of my early career researchers had been slogging away at a paper for months 762 01:32:14,000 --> 01:32:20,390 and not being very productive because all the stuff that was going on and I. 763 01:32:21,450 --> 01:32:25,649 Had more input to those papers than I would normally have had, 764 01:32:25,650 --> 01:32:30,750 but I've made sure that they got the paper finished, submitted and published, so they've got the line on the CV. 765 01:32:31,080 --> 01:32:37,650 I actually think that kind of input is a lot more helpful than let's all have a virtual coffee morning. 766 01:32:38,250 --> 01:32:43,230 Although we do do virtual coffee. It happens once a week. 767 01:32:43,320 --> 01:32:47,700 They tend to do it without me, actually. Some people find it very helpful. 768 01:32:47,700 --> 01:32:53,350 Some people don't. I've done. A couple of other things with my group. 769 01:32:53,980 --> 01:32:57,700 I'm friends with a Danish academic called Nina. 770 01:32:57,700 --> 01:33:01,540 Maya, and Nina has an interest in. 771 01:33:02,550 --> 01:33:05,790 The support of the and mid-career researchers. 772 01:33:05,790 --> 01:33:07,740 That's one of her research interests. 773 01:33:08,220 --> 01:33:19,530 And she was in a situation where she wasn't doing a massive amount of pandemic related work and she had a bit of extra time during the pandemic. 774 01:33:19,530 --> 01:33:24,480 And she said, Is there anything I can do? And I said, Well, can you do some sessions for my team? 775 01:33:25,020 --> 01:33:33,870 So she did some virtual sessions on academic writing and helped individual members 776 01:33:33,870 --> 01:33:39,750 of my team with some of their papers and gave them feedback on drafts of writing. 777 01:33:40,590 --> 01:33:43,890 And they found that enormously helpful. 778 01:33:44,460 --> 01:33:55,350 I think mainly because Nina is wonderfully gentle and slightly motherly and in a nice way, if I can say that. 779 01:33:56,070 --> 01:33:59,879 And it was because it wasn't me helping them. 780 01:33:59,880 --> 01:34:04,260 I think they were sort of saying interests kind of going off saving the planet. 781 01:34:04,800 --> 01:34:11,600 We've got this protected space with Nina who's not doing pandemic stuff. 782 01:34:11,610 --> 01:34:18,150 She is committed to us. And actually I use some of my pandemic money to. 783 01:34:19,450 --> 01:34:24,490 Pay her for that. Now, talking of pay and money. 784 01:34:25,730 --> 01:34:38,240 We also responded. We applied for University of Oxford Pandemic Funds to return people to work after the pandemic. 785 01:34:38,900 --> 01:34:44,420 Now we have lots of different people with different problems and challenges. 786 01:34:45,410 --> 01:34:57,350 But what I did was I helped, I think, seven or eight members of my team each to apply for £5,000. 787 01:34:58,100 --> 01:35:08,360 And we used that money to pay the salary of somebody who came in as a research assistant, and they used her time. 788 01:35:09,700 --> 01:35:15,790 Flexibly however they wanted. So they said, Please, I want you to help me do the background work for grant application. 789 01:35:15,790 --> 01:35:18,119 I want you to help me finish this paper. 790 01:35:18,120 --> 01:35:25,660 And it was good for the research assistant because that person would come to the end of the contract and would have been made redundant. 791 01:35:25,990 --> 01:35:31,110 But it was also good because I said to people, I don't care what you do, I don't want to. 792 01:35:31,120 --> 01:35:34,750 I don't even want to know. Here's an extra pair of hands. 793 01:35:35,170 --> 01:35:38,440 And people would say, Oh, that's brilliant. That's just what I need. 794 01:35:38,860 --> 01:35:47,230 And they would come up with an idea for using this person's time, which is far better than what I would have come up with. 795 01:35:47,710 --> 01:35:54,190 So practical help was important. Um, what else? 796 01:35:54,550 --> 01:35:57,640 Sounds like pragmatism again? Yeah, just. It was very pragmatic. But then. 797 01:35:57,640 --> 01:36:02,170 But then pragmatism. It's not just about being practical. 798 01:36:02,190 --> 01:36:06,339 It does have a kind of philosophical underpinning, which is. 799 01:36:06,340 --> 01:36:09,669 Which is something I'm getting quite interested in. 800 01:36:09,670 --> 01:36:14,410 But I didn't say onto this tape because I'm actually a novice on pragmatism and I probably get it wrong. 801 01:36:16,210 --> 01:36:20,860 So were you involved in your institution department's code safety regime? 802 01:36:21,340 --> 01:36:26,710 No, no, I offered to be, yes. But I was told that I wasn't needed. 803 01:36:27,640 --> 01:36:32,990 And what you satisfied with how it was implemented? No. There's droplets which are everywhere. 804 01:36:32,990 --> 01:36:40,670 But she's want to go in. I'm quite gobsmacked actually at the. 805 01:36:43,680 --> 01:36:48,540 The way in which job that theatre has. 806 01:36:49,450 --> 01:36:53,080 Dominated Oxford's response and the way. 807 01:36:54,100 --> 01:37:02,800 Airborne precautions have not been taken on. I'm just I think yesterday or the day before, we published a new paper. 808 01:37:03,220 --> 01:37:13,720 Peer reviewed and welcome. Open research. All about getting back to campus, you know, returning to on site teaching. 809 01:37:15,400 --> 01:37:19,900 It was a rapid, systematic review of the literature on what should be done. 810 01:37:20,500 --> 01:37:28,000 The most important thing is vaccinating staff and students and getting vaccination levels up to 90%, if we can. 811 01:37:28,570 --> 01:37:33,700 The next most important thing is instigating airborne precautions, including mosques, etc., 812 01:37:33,700 --> 01:37:44,590 etc. and that we published it or a version of it through the U.S. you through universities and college union. 813 01:37:44,860 --> 01:37:52,000 It was sent to every member of U.S. U. And it's now being published as a peer reviewed journal with a few more references. 814 01:37:54,480 --> 01:38:00,240 But it hasn't kind of hit the desks of the people who are running the response. 815 01:38:02,300 --> 01:38:05,810 And my emails. I don't think I've had replies to them. 816 01:38:07,170 --> 01:38:10,800 So. Yeah, that sad. Sad. 817 01:38:12,630 --> 01:38:18,660 On the other hand, if we talk about emotional well-being, you know, in the end, 818 01:38:18,660 --> 01:38:23,880 you can only do your best in the end if they're not going to take any notice. 819 01:38:24,870 --> 01:38:29,509 I'm. I mean, I remember when I was a junior doctor, 820 01:38:29,510 --> 01:38:34,910 I used to cry myself to sleep when a patient died and someone took me aside and said, You never can survive in medicine. 821 01:38:35,690 --> 01:38:43,099 You did what you could do. And if someone came in with crushing chest pain and you gave them the right drugs and you got the drip into the vein, 822 01:38:43,100 --> 01:38:47,180 and you, you know, you would there and you put the monitor on and they still died. 823 01:38:47,990 --> 01:38:50,430 They were going to die. And it's not your fault. 824 01:38:50,450 --> 01:38:58,880 And I sort of take a bit of the same approach here, is that unless if you can't do that, you're going to go crazy. 825 01:38:59,660 --> 01:39:02,660 So I've done my best. I've made my offer. 826 01:39:03,020 --> 01:39:07,220 I've published these very high profile papers. 827 01:39:08,000 --> 01:39:11,640 And if they choose to ignore it. You know. 828 01:39:13,200 --> 01:39:20,270 I'm not going to beat myself up. You mentioned earlier that your public profile with you cannot tell you at all. 829 01:39:21,830 --> 01:39:28,490 How have you felt about that, that those environmental and social media you're you're now a name that's no much more like. 830 01:39:28,550 --> 01:39:32,210 Um. It was it's not something I was seeking out. 831 01:39:33,380 --> 01:39:37,370 I don't court the media. I don't have an agent. 832 01:39:38,030 --> 01:39:42,590 I say no to 90% of requests. 833 01:39:43,340 --> 01:39:47,479 And I've very narrow, very much narrowed down. 834 01:39:47,480 --> 01:39:51,620 So people have phoned me up. They will call my mobile number. They say, please, will you be? 835 01:39:51,950 --> 01:39:55,100 I got a phone call yesterday because you have Good Morning Britain tomorrow. 836 01:39:55,550 --> 01:40:00,490 And then you say, what's it for? And they'd say something. 837 01:40:00,500 --> 01:40:07,550 You think, Well, I could talk on that subject, but I'm not the world's expert on it, and it's not what I'm known for. 838 01:40:07,970 --> 01:40:11,600 So I will say, No, I'm not going to talk on that. 839 01:40:11,600 --> 01:40:15,620 I'll talk about masks and I'll talk about airport precautions, and that's it. 840 01:40:16,310 --> 01:40:22,610 And they'll talk actually about revoke, but they can go find someone else to talk about the other stuff. 841 01:40:23,180 --> 01:40:27,110 But actually, in recent weeks, I've refused all media. 842 01:40:29,100 --> 01:40:34,799 And that's partly because although I'm not feeling particularly stress did actually stresses my family 843 01:40:34,800 --> 01:40:41,840 it stresses my husband and it's often they want you at 10:00 at night and then they'll keep you waiting. 844 01:40:41,850 --> 01:40:48,500 So you're actually not on to a quarter to 11. And then it's actually quite hard to get to sleep after you've done live TV. 845 01:40:49,160 --> 01:40:52,370 So I've done quite a bit. It's. 846 01:40:55,290 --> 01:40:58,860 It's very time consuming. 847 01:40:59,340 --> 01:41:05,249 I don't like the attention. I don't like if I've done a TV appearance. 848 01:41:05,250 --> 01:41:09,360 I can get 20 emails from people saying, Can you do local radio tomorrow? 849 01:41:10,590 --> 01:41:17,520 And I don't like the abuse. I haven't talked much about the abuse, but I was going to ask you about gay rights. 850 01:41:17,880 --> 01:41:24,390 Yeah, I don't need explicit examples, but I mean, it's it's it's something that anybody with a high profile. 851 01:41:25,350 --> 01:41:29,450 Yes, I think so. I think the mosques thing has been the worst. 852 01:41:32,030 --> 01:41:38,230 People have. Systematically set up groups to attack me. 853 01:41:39,160 --> 01:41:46,240 There are the sort of dark Web sites of, you know, libertarian groups. 854 01:41:46,540 --> 01:41:49,180 I know that I'm on that list. 855 01:41:51,400 --> 01:42:01,810 So, for example, one person will put out a tweet or say, reply to one of my tweets, and within minutes there'll be 200 replies, 856 01:42:04,750 --> 01:42:10,510 all saying very much the same thing as if they've been told that this is the version to use. 857 01:42:10,510 --> 01:42:15,070 And sometimes it's identical text and you just think. 858 01:42:16,410 --> 01:42:20,430 I've got better things to do with my time than engage with that. 859 01:42:21,000 --> 01:42:26,700 And I go around knocking people. But this is this is not what I want to spend my time doing. 860 01:42:27,510 --> 01:42:32,790 It's time consuming. It's exhausting. It upsets my husband because he doesn't either. 861 01:42:32,940 --> 01:42:37,620 I mean, I was there was someone put out on Twitter the other day that I should be raped with a bayonet. 862 01:42:38,100 --> 01:42:43,740 Well, you know, that's all very well. I just think. Well, that's what 14 year olds say about women they don't like. 863 01:42:44,490 --> 01:42:49,510 It really didn't bother me that much. But, my goodness, you know, it upset my news to do so. 864 01:42:49,920 --> 01:42:55,740 And I don't really want to spend my time inviting that kind of thing. 865 01:43:00,260 --> 01:43:04,700 I don't lose a lot of sleep over it. I just try to avoid it. 866 01:43:05,200 --> 01:43:09,440 How did you find out in general, you have found Twitter useful? 867 01:43:09,580 --> 01:43:14,440 Yeah, because I because I control I block people. 868 01:43:14,450 --> 01:43:22,259 I use mass blocking tools sometimes to block everybody who follows a particular extreme libertarian thing. 869 01:43:22,260 --> 01:43:26,690 But if they're following that person, I don't want them to have anything to do with me. 870 01:43:26,690 --> 01:43:32,329 So I'll put 500 of them or something and then I have to apologise sometimes because sometimes people 871 01:43:32,330 --> 01:43:37,040 have followed them and then they've forgotten they're following them and they don't agree with them. 872 01:43:37,040 --> 01:43:40,730 So I have to kind of unblock people, but that's what you have to do. 873 01:43:42,470 --> 01:43:46,700 I said, okay, there will be one, right? Another 10 minutes. 874 01:43:48,080 --> 01:43:52,639 So how have you. I'll just just clarify this. 875 01:43:52,640 --> 01:44:01,070 I think we talked about a little bit earlier, but are you are you not associated directly with any policymaking body? 876 01:44:03,380 --> 01:44:13,400 Oh, goodness. Now, I'd better get this right at night. Until quite recently, I sat on a committee at the World Health Organisation. 877 01:44:14,270 --> 01:44:17,690 But it wasn't the one that was dealing with the current response. 878 01:44:17,990 --> 01:44:21,260 So it was the Alliance for Health Policy and Systems Research. 879 01:44:21,890 --> 01:44:27,680 I sit on, I think last count, about 13 national committees. 880 01:44:28,370 --> 01:44:37,310 I am on the long COVID National Task Force. I was on the nice oversight group for the long COVID guideline. 881 01:44:40,040 --> 01:44:43,070 I've done various pieces of work with the. 882 01:44:44,300 --> 01:44:49,910 What's it called? NHS England. Digital Primary Care. 883 01:44:50,950 --> 01:44:55,779 Primary Care Digital Transformation Team. That's what its primary care digital transformation team think. 884 01:44:55,780 --> 01:45:01,419 I'm an official advisor to them. So, you know, one one works with policymakers. 885 01:45:01,420 --> 01:45:12,420 Yes. But I'm not on any of the formal convened the ones that are. 886 01:45:13,830 --> 01:45:22,170 Should we say in the public eye like. In relation to Kobe, I'd say to say, I'm not on Sage, I'm not on Nervtag. 887 01:45:23,280 --> 01:45:28,290 I applied to be on the stage, actually, and I was told that my expertise wasn't appropriate, 888 01:45:28,290 --> 01:45:34,589 which I think is quite what the other ones I'm giving you. 889 01:45:34,590 --> 01:45:38,309 I'm not all any of those know, and I'm not even an independent sage, 890 01:45:38,310 --> 01:45:44,430 which is quite interesting because often when you've got a high profile scientist who's not on Sage, you'll find that they are on independent sage. 891 01:45:44,700 --> 01:45:52,500 But I have appeared on the Independent Sage, you know, that broadcasts because, you know, I've gone there as a guest. 892 01:45:53,730 --> 01:45:56,820 So I'm friends with them, shall we say. 893 01:45:58,470 --> 01:46:04,830 So has the work you've done raised new questions that you might be interested in exploring in the future? 894 01:46:05,220 --> 01:46:18,990 Yeah, I think all the stuff around pragmatism, I've just put in a grant to the MRC under No Child for funding to appoint a post-doctoral philosopher, 895 01:46:18,990 --> 01:46:29,459 to look at how pragmatist philosophy can help us in these very action oriented research approaches where you've got to generate stuff in real time, 896 01:46:29,460 --> 01:46:36,600 interpret it, apply it all in a big sort of unfolding jumble, if you like. 897 01:46:37,560 --> 01:46:43,560 And that's interesting. That is the thing that's most grabbing me at the moment, actually. 898 01:46:43,560 --> 01:46:50,270 Yeah. The last question Has the experience of Kogi changed your attitude or approach 899 01:46:50,270 --> 01:46:53,930 to your work and all the things that you'd like to see change in the future? 900 01:46:55,970 --> 01:47:02,930 Um. That's a really interesting question. 901 01:47:03,560 --> 01:47:10,670 And out of all the questions you've asked me, it's the only one I haven't got an immediate answer for. 902 01:47:12,530 --> 01:47:19,160 And I think it's because I'm still too close to it. I think if you asked me in a year's time, I would know. 903 01:47:19,820 --> 01:47:24,740 But it's because I'm still experiencing it, I think. 904 01:47:25,490 --> 01:47:29,680 What on earth is going to happen in the future? I don't know. 905 01:47:29,690 --> 01:47:35,629 I mean, I've got a, um, I've got an application which I doubt will be funded, 906 01:47:35,630 --> 01:47:47,240 which I'd put in about nine months ago for a leaf, a human senior fellowship to write a book about Wittgenstein. 907 01:47:48,020 --> 01:47:51,140 And there was a. 908 01:47:52,760 --> 01:47:59,960 A friend of Wittgenstein, who was a doctor who wrote a book called The Danger of Words is a chapter called Maurice Drury. 909 01:48:00,290 --> 01:48:04,610 But it's all about how some of Wittgenstein's insights are very relevant to medicine. 910 01:48:05,090 --> 01:48:06,920 I applied to Lever. HUME to. 911 01:48:07,940 --> 01:48:18,260 Right, a modern day version of that book, because actually it was written in the 1950s, early sixties, I think, and medicine's changed hugely. 912 01:48:18,270 --> 01:48:24,140 But actually some of the work of the later Wittgenstein would be incredibly relevant now. 913 01:48:25,190 --> 01:48:34,850 I put that in thinking I would if I got it, I could then spend three years writing a book and then retire because I'm 62 now. 914 01:48:35,300 --> 01:48:40,240 Would that be wonderful? And then I thought, would I actually do that? 915 01:48:40,250 --> 01:48:44,570 Because I would have thought when I wrote the application, I thought the pandemic would be over by now. 916 01:48:45,110 --> 01:48:50,569 Whereas actually with pandemics now grumbling along, there's all sorts of, you know, terrible things happening. 917 01:48:50,570 --> 01:48:56,059 I'd be dropping all precautions because of the, you know, the idea that we think we're vaccinated. 918 01:48:56,060 --> 01:49:02,420 So that's that can I really kind of just go and sit in the Bodleian and write a book about Wittgenstein? 919 01:49:02,420 --> 01:49:07,579 Even if I get funding, I'm not sure. I really don't know what the answer to that is. 920 01:49:07,580 --> 01:49:12,319 It'd be interesting, anyway, that that my hand would probably be forced because they probably won't fund it. 921 01:49:12,320 --> 01:49:17,240 But it would be it would be a big change. It would complete transformation if I did get it. 922 01:49:19,120 --> 01:49:22,270 Thank you very much. Oh, don't do that. Okay.