1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:07,590 This week's deadline is fast approaching. It's always been a matter of pride for the team and never the deadlines are met on time. 2 00:00:07,590 --> 00:00:16,740 Maria, stop panicking. You've got this. There's that story ready to go about the new granary being built outside St. Petersburg. 3 00:00:16,740 --> 00:00:28,620 Important, but pretty dull. This other thing, first, it had been nothing more than a rumour, but now I'm hearing more. 4 00:00:28,620 --> 00:00:35,220 An illness is spreading its way through the city, likely caused by changes in the atmosphere. 5 00:00:35,220 --> 00:00:41,460 My sources are saying it's racing from house to house. All ages, all classes. 6 00:00:41,460 --> 00:00:45,600 Everyone's picking it up. I heard it from Peter. 7 00:00:45,600 --> 00:00:51,510 The schools are starting to close and that his hospital is filling rapidly. 8 00:00:51,510 --> 00:00:58,820 Nearly everyone saying that it's probably mild. Something to let you know for a while, but not to kill you. 9 00:00:58,820 --> 00:01:05,520 It has a name for it, too. He's calling it the influenza. 10 00:01:05,520 --> 00:01:14,160 Welcome to late 19th century Russia and to the seventh episode of our season on the history of pandemics. 11 00:01:14,160 --> 00:01:19,170 The disease outbreak we're about to discuss is surrounded by questions. 12 00:01:19,170 --> 00:01:26,340 It's commonly known as the Russian flu, but seems to have been little spoken about by Russians at the time. 13 00:01:26,340 --> 00:01:31,980 So is that name really appropriate? And indeed, was it really flu at all? 14 00:01:31,980 --> 00:01:40,880 Does it even deserve to be part of our series as a genuine pandemic, or is it just an outlier in our historical narrative? 15 00:01:40,880 --> 00:01:46,160 In this episode, we'll try to shed light on all of these questions. 16 00:01:46,160 --> 00:01:55,650 Before we get into any of that, let's cheque in with our medical experts, Lúcia Agouti and Brian Angus on what flu actually is. 17 00:01:55,650 --> 00:02:01,900 And some of this is going to sound quite familiar. Influenza commonly known as the flu. 18 00:02:01,900 --> 00:02:10,660 An infectious disease caused by an influenza virus. So there are two main types of influenza virus types, A and B, the influenza and B, 19 00:02:10,660 --> 00:02:15,240 viruses that routinely spread in people are the human influenza viruses, 20 00:02:15,240 --> 00:02:21,070 and they're responsible for the seasonal flu epidemics you see every year influence away. 21 00:02:21,070 --> 00:02:26,690 Viruses can then be broken down into subtypes depending on the genes that make up the surface proteins. 22 00:02:26,690 --> 00:02:35,860 And over the course of a flu season, different types A and B or subtypes, influenza B can circulate and cause illness. 23 00:02:35,860 --> 00:02:44,620 Essentially, people with the flu spread it to others about six feet away and from coughing when they're contagious. 24 00:02:44,620 --> 00:02:52,010 Most experts think that the virus spreads mainly in those droplets when people cough, sneeze or talk these droplets. 25 00:02:52,010 --> 00:02:59,770 So they land in the mouths of all the noses of people who are nearby and then they inhale them into their lungs. 26 00:02:59,770 --> 00:03:08,350 Less often, a person might get the flu by touching a surface or object than the flu virus has been on and then touching their own mouth, 27 00:03:08,350 --> 00:03:17,350 the nose or possibly their eyes. Essentially, people with the flu most contagious in the first three to four days after illness begins, 28 00:03:17,350 --> 00:03:21,160 some otherwise healthy adults may be able to infect others, 29 00:03:21,160 --> 00:03:28,300 beginning one day before their symptoms even develop, so they can start spreading it before they're even aware that they're unwell. 30 00:03:28,300 --> 00:03:38,200 And some people, especially young children or people with weakened immune systems, might infect others with the virus for a much longer, longer time. 31 00:03:38,200 --> 00:03:42,460 Two concepts are quite important to think about with influenza. 32 00:03:42,460 --> 00:03:51,380 When you think about it, in the epidemic in pandemic context is that the influenza viruses are constantly changing. 33 00:03:51,380 --> 00:03:59,290 And there are two main ways that they change. So you have antigenic drift and antigenic shift, unstinted drift. 34 00:03:59,290 --> 00:04:05,890 So these when you have small changes, mutations essentially in the genes of influenza viruses, 35 00:04:05,890 --> 00:04:10,180 that can then lead to changes in the sets, proteins of the virus. 36 00:04:10,180 --> 00:04:15,910 So you have the hate chain and a surface proteins, and these are the antigens. 37 00:04:15,910 --> 00:04:21,910 And this means they can be recognised by the immune system and then they're capable of triggering an immune response. 38 00:04:21,910 --> 00:04:27,640 The changes associated with allergenic drift, they happen continually as the virus replicates. 39 00:04:27,640 --> 00:04:31,930 And most flu shots are targeted towards two seconds proteins. 40 00:04:31,930 --> 00:04:34,210 If you have small changes that occur, 41 00:04:34,210 --> 00:04:41,230 then you can create influenza viruses that are quite closely related and then you have something called crush protection, which is possible. 42 00:04:41,230 --> 00:04:48,700 However, sometimes these changes can keep accumulating over time until the body can't action recognise them. 43 00:04:48,700 --> 00:04:57,070 So they look at them as antigenic different. And when this occurs, the immune system doesn't recognise the influenza virus that slightly changed. 44 00:04:57,070 --> 00:05:05,350 And then kind of hoppa a new virus and then somebody becomes susceptible to that circulating infection again as genic drifts. 45 00:05:05,350 --> 00:05:16,110 The main reason why people have to get the flu jab more than once and why they continuously review and update the vaccine as time goes on with us. 46 00:05:16,110 --> 00:05:21,040 Czarnik Shift, you have kind of an abrupt, major change in the influenza A virus. 47 00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:29,630 And this results in a country and painting and then they proteins and influenza viruses which can infect humans. 48 00:05:29,630 --> 00:05:35,900 And when you have this kind of shift, it results in a completely new influenza, a subtype. 49 00:05:35,900 --> 00:05:44,400 And one way that can happen is when you have influenza viruses that jump from animal populations and then gained the ability to infect humans. 50 00:05:44,400 --> 00:05:48,640 And quite often these are dangerous because we don't have much immunity to them. 51 00:05:48,640 --> 00:05:53,800 And then they can spread quite rapidly. Flu changes all the time. 52 00:05:53,800 --> 00:05:57,310 He hasn't addressed a shift and it's antigens as well. 53 00:05:57,310 --> 00:06:03,280 Two things that sit on the surface of the cell, and those are the things you immune system comes in contact with. 54 00:06:03,280 --> 00:06:09,250 And they change from from year to year, tend not to change within within the host so much. 55 00:06:09,250 --> 00:06:14,020 And then again, anti viral resistance for flu. 56 00:06:14,020 --> 00:06:21,540 We can see develop again, not quite as big a problem as some of the HIV, but it certainly does come along. 57 00:06:21,540 --> 00:06:26,680 Also, time of year resistance. For example, we saw a man Genisis. We stopped using those. 58 00:06:26,680 --> 00:06:34,790 Everybody knows the symptoms and signs, but essentially people whose symptoms they can get a combination of fevers, coughs, 59 00:06:34,790 --> 00:06:43,730 muscle aches, body aches, headaches, feeling tired, sometimes vomiting and diarrhoea that's more common in children and running. 60 00:06:43,730 --> 00:06:52,780 You stop nose. Before the series, the production team and I discussed a 2005 study which said that it was tempting 61 00:06:52,780 --> 00:06:58,520 to speculate that the virus might not actually have been an influenza virus, 62 00:06:58,520 --> 00:07:06,320 but instead. A human corona virus. So I was looking forward to hearing what our medical experts thought of that. 63 00:07:06,320 --> 00:07:10,460 Viruses don't last as long as maybe bacterial DNA. 64 00:07:10,460 --> 00:07:14,090 But when you're trying to look at historical records and trying to isolate things, 65 00:07:14,090 --> 00:07:20,240 it's a bit more difficult because you're not going to really have much intact nucleic acid. 66 00:07:20,240 --> 00:07:28,560 As far as corona virus vs. flu, again, I think it's difficult to say the these respiratory viruses do circulate. 67 00:07:28,560 --> 00:07:36,050 Do epidemics and then become endemic. We know about flu because flu changes year to year. 68 00:07:36,050 --> 00:07:41,030 And it's interesting that they don't call flus pandemics. Flu is endemic. 69 00:07:41,030 --> 00:07:45,490 I mean, it starts starts with lots cases in one country and then moves into other countries. 70 00:07:45,490 --> 00:07:50,030 Is the definition of a pandemic? I think as far as these big outbreaks, 71 00:07:50,030 --> 00:07:58,220 that may well have been the first appearance of a note of a novel corona virus at that time has then established itself in the population. 72 00:07:58,220 --> 00:08:05,660 More likely, I think, is because we know flu does this all the time, that there was a there was an outbreak of of flu. 73 00:08:05,660 --> 00:08:14,000 And of course, there have been lots of epidemics and a mix of flu and large casualties because it sort of escapes, 74 00:08:14,000 --> 00:08:22,390 escapes or immune systems quite regularly. So I don't think there's evidence one way or the other really on that for rotavirus is the source. 75 00:08:22,390 --> 00:08:28,700 So this one was interesting because Saar's one sort of came in and then disappeared. 76 00:08:28,700 --> 00:08:37,840 And although we sort of take a lot of credit for being able to control it, I'm not quite sure how much of that was luck or not. 77 00:08:37,840 --> 00:08:40,850 And so it's a corona viruses, certainly. 78 00:08:40,850 --> 00:08:48,420 And mayors, similarly can cause severe diseases as we as we can see the coronavirus, I think that's been linked. 79 00:08:48,420 --> 00:08:57,890 We'll see. That is quite crucially related to carry the virus as well, proven the bovine corona virus that causes quite a lot problems in cattle. 80 00:08:57,890 --> 00:09:06,260 Again, as I say, it's this thing about close contact with animals. And it may well be that that was the that was the way that it started. 81 00:09:06,260 --> 00:09:12,220 I think it's I think it's very difficult. We know flu does this. We know corona viruses are particularly good at doing it. 82 00:09:12,220 --> 00:09:19,450 To put money on it. I'd say it's more like could be a flu pandemic flu than the MacGruder virus outbreak. 83 00:09:19,450 --> 00:09:24,020 And now historian for this episode didn't think much of this line of questioning either. 84 00:09:24,020 --> 00:09:28,700 I've come across this information as well. I think for a historian, 85 00:09:28,700 --> 00:09:40,400 this is not necessarily a very important question and one that I'm associate professor of modern history at the history faculty at Oriel College. 86 00:09:40,400 --> 00:09:49,610 I'm researching 19th century Russian cultural history. For us, it's interesting what's contemporaries experienced. 87 00:09:49,610 --> 00:09:57,290 What conclusions they draw from it and how they find meaning to whatever was going on around them. 88 00:09:57,290 --> 00:10:03,260 Whether it was an influenza virus or corona virus is interesting. 89 00:10:03,260 --> 00:10:11,820 But I think for for me as a cultural historian, as absolutely secondary and because I'm interested in how people react to the to the crisis. 90 00:10:11,820 --> 00:10:22,790 Right. With that cleared up, at least as far as I'm concerned, let's get into the story of the so-called Russian flu in 1889. 91 00:10:22,790 --> 00:10:34,310 The Russian health ministry recognised that something was unusual and that mortality rates were significantly higher than the previous two years. 92 00:10:34,310 --> 00:10:44,150 And then they concluded that this was due to a particularly severe case of the usual winter. 93 00:10:44,150 --> 00:10:48,830 They called a Cut-Off or maybe influenza didn't quite know what. 94 00:10:48,830 --> 00:10:57,260 So the Russian high command and the military sent telegrams to all military districts 95 00:10:57,260 --> 00:11:02,870 because they they've they realised that this was spreading amongst troops as well. 96 00:11:02,870 --> 00:11:07,940 And they asked the military doctors to figure out what was going on. 97 00:11:07,940 --> 00:11:10,430 And the fact that they sent a telegram is indicative of that. 98 00:11:10,430 --> 00:11:16,310 They thought this was some something urgent and something that couldn't wait until the anormal letter was delivered. 99 00:11:16,310 --> 00:11:20,780 What they asked is, what is this for an illness? 100 00:11:20,780 --> 00:11:26,530 Why has it come from what furthers the spread of this illness? 101 00:11:26,530 --> 00:11:31,940 What makes it spread? And how do we best fight against it? 102 00:11:31,940 --> 00:11:39,800 But as military doctors noticed at the time, actually, that there was a lot of confusion of what they were actually dealing with. 103 00:11:39,800 --> 00:11:49,100 And as one wrote in a report in 1891, actually, we didn't even quite know what we were supposed to after we were supposed to look for. 104 00:11:49,100 --> 00:11:59,000 They received reports from all over the country that very clearly described who was ill and they were also supposed to. 105 00:11:59,000 --> 00:12:02,990 Take particular account of the age of people who fell ill. 106 00:12:02,990 --> 00:12:10,610 How long the illness lasted. How it spread from the military or from soldiers to the civilian population. 107 00:12:10,610 --> 00:12:16,370 And one of the questions was also, do you think that some people might already be immune to it? 108 00:12:16,370 --> 00:12:20,010 Is it. Are there some people who were not affected by it? 109 00:12:20,010 --> 00:12:21,900 And when all of this information came in, 110 00:12:21,900 --> 00:12:29,190 the doctors in St. Petersburg were trying to draw some conclusions from all this statistical evidence that they had. 111 00:12:29,190 --> 00:12:34,350 And the first thing they did is they wrote up very clear accounts of in this of strike. 112 00:12:34,350 --> 00:12:38,240 This is what happened in this district. This is what happened. 113 00:12:38,240 --> 00:12:43,430 And one of the big debates then war within the Russian medical profession was. 114 00:12:43,430 --> 00:12:48,120 Is this a contagious disease or is it caused by by something else? 115 00:12:48,120 --> 00:12:53,150 Maybe we can come back to that question of what what caused this disease in a moment. 116 00:12:53,150 --> 00:13:01,400 So it's clear to say that at least from the official side, there was an awareness that something was going on, something slightly unusual, 117 00:13:01,400 --> 00:13:05,960 and that this was something that where the state had an interest in knowing what to deal with 118 00:13:05,960 --> 00:13:13,370 it and also had to to try to keep the population and also troops as healthy as possible. 119 00:13:13,370 --> 00:13:17,910 So there was confusion of sorts about the disease at the start. 120 00:13:17,910 --> 00:13:26,210 But I wondered whether the authorities put any kind of measures in place, perhaps like the kind of social distancing we see mandated today. 121 00:13:26,210 --> 00:13:31,400 No. And I think one of the reasons for this is, is that they're not sure what is causing this disease. 122 00:13:31,400 --> 00:13:37,490 So the medical opinion at this time is sort of post HUSTER post.com. 123 00:13:37,490 --> 00:13:44,420 So contagion is already has become the more convincing epidemiological argument. 124 00:13:44,420 --> 00:13:50,140 But there are still many people who think that maybe this is not contagious. 125 00:13:50,140 --> 00:13:52,940 And this is why when they sent out that telegram, 126 00:13:52,940 --> 00:13:59,390 the Russian military doctors are all told to note down who gets ill and what age they are on and how it spreads. 127 00:13:59,390 --> 00:14:07,280 But they're also informed that they should note down what the weather is like, whether they observe any atmospheric phenomena. 128 00:14:07,280 --> 00:14:14,960 Because the question in people's minds or in the mind of those requesting this information is that maybe this 129 00:14:14,960 --> 00:14:24,470 this is actually caused by some kind of hydrogen that appears from the earth or depending on the weather. 130 00:14:24,470 --> 00:14:29,750 And thus this goes back to the miasmic theory, and especially from chickens named. 131 00:14:29,750 --> 00:14:35,930 This is also some very influential German marks from Pétain CORFO, 132 00:14:35,930 --> 00:14:45,080 who assumes that pathogens for illnesses are a bit like fungi that live in the ground. 133 00:14:45,080 --> 00:14:56,300 And when the water level rises and then sinks again and the weather conditions are right, these organisms produce pathogens that then spread. 134 00:14:56,300 --> 00:15:04,350 And so current genes don't help because the pathogen is actually in the earth or in the nature in a given region. 135 00:15:04,350 --> 00:15:20,240 And with Pasteur discoveries of DeLay and 1868 and then caulks, discoveries of the Gnosis, Hydrogen and others, this theory becomes less convincing. 136 00:15:20,240 --> 00:15:29,810 But that doesn't mean that it's totally gone. And this is why Russian doctors are still wondering, might it be atmospheric causes to this and France? 137 00:15:29,810 --> 00:15:34,520 And the fact that it occurs so suddenly amongst a large group of people, 138 00:15:34,520 --> 00:15:40,910 they think suggests that maybe it can't be contagious because of the spreading fast. 139 00:15:40,910 --> 00:15:47,570 And most of the doctors from the Russian military district to right back to the Russian centre command, 140 00:15:47,570 --> 00:15:53,510 most of the military doctors in the regions actually say we think this is not contagious. 141 00:15:53,510 --> 00:15:58,970 We think there are some atmospheric or other causes to this. 142 00:15:58,970 --> 00:16:04,640 And the Russian doctors are not alone in this assessments of British doctors that the wildest theories, 143 00:16:04,640 --> 00:16:08,120 some say maybe it's the northern lights that causes others. 144 00:16:08,120 --> 00:16:17,540 Others say maybe it's a meteorite that somehow went down somewhere and spread all these pathogens around. 145 00:16:17,540 --> 00:16:21,740 So this is generally a view that has quite a lot of currency at the time. 146 00:16:21,740 --> 00:16:26,600 And so these Russian doctors from the military districts. 147 00:16:26,600 --> 00:16:32,060 All right, back, we don't actually think it's contagious. But here is how it developed in my district. 148 00:16:32,060 --> 00:16:42,730 And then the ones in the in the centre. They are more convinced by Colhoun Pasteur that they are not so strong defendants of this miasmic theory. 149 00:16:42,730 --> 00:16:49,990 And they go through all the details that the regional doctor sent back and say, actually, they think it's on Starick, but we don't because look, 150 00:16:49,990 --> 00:16:57,910 here it was first the military band that got it and then they played and this and this tabun and then we can trace them back. 151 00:16:57,910 --> 00:17:03,430 So essentially what they do is they do they trace all the infectious chains and then say, well, 152 00:17:03,430 --> 00:17:09,340 they think it's atmospheric, but we actually we're quite convinced that it's contagious. 153 00:17:09,340 --> 00:17:15,550 Given that context, I was keen to find out about the mortality statistics that were recorded by the authorities. 154 00:17:15,550 --> 00:17:24,340 So if we look at the mortality rates for St. Petersburg, for example, which was then a city of around two million inhabitants, 155 00:17:24,340 --> 00:17:36,730 we see that in previous years, in 1887, in 1918, eight, around 440 people died every week and early November. 156 00:17:36,730 --> 00:17:44,860 But if we look at 88 nine, the year the flu reached the capital of the Russian empire. 157 00:17:44,860 --> 00:17:52,900 The numbers are significantly higher. So they are six hundred and two in week forty five, which would be the first week of November. 158 00:17:52,900 --> 00:17:58,480 Seven hundred thirty three the next week. Six hundred and fifty the week after. 159 00:17:58,480 --> 00:18:09,780 And then there's a downward trajectory after that. This means that mortality rates are 50 percent higher, some maybe even more in week 46, 160 00:18:09,780 --> 00:18:13,630 even more than 50 percent higher than they used to be at this time of year. 161 00:18:13,630 --> 00:18:25,360 And this is a significant increase and one that the authorities did note very clearly that Russian authorities would note these statistics. 162 00:18:25,360 --> 00:18:34,510 We know this because they have been recording mortality rates since at least the 1930s when they published regional mortality rates regularly. 163 00:18:34,510 --> 00:18:41,200 And the regional official cause that's there are probably somewhere also aggregate 164 00:18:41,200 --> 00:18:48,490 mortality rates of November 1889 and the industry of the interior will have had them. 165 00:18:48,490 --> 00:18:54,040 But unfortunately, I haven't seen these figures with these numbers in mind. 166 00:18:54,040 --> 00:19:01,540 I wanted to hear more about how the Russian media and the wider public would have regarded this outbreak at the time. 167 00:19:01,540 --> 00:19:07,430 So Julia took me through one of the most widely read publications of the late 19th century. 168 00:19:07,430 --> 00:19:14,800 So what is interesting is that on the one hand, we see that mortality rates are significantly higher in early November, 169 00:19:14,800 --> 00:19:21,850 but this is not met by any particular public response or public concern. 170 00:19:21,850 --> 00:19:31,420 So if we look at the publication or the articles published in the widely read and very popular illustrated journal New Bar, 171 00:19:31,420 --> 00:19:37,780 which was published in Petersburg, so close to the scene of these mortality rates, 172 00:19:37,780 --> 00:19:46,450 we see that they mention all sorts of interesting things or things that they deem interesting in November and December, but not the flu. 173 00:19:46,450 --> 00:19:52,900 So to give you a context of what Maeva reports, in this period in November, December 1889, 174 00:19:52,900 --> 00:19:58,960 there are numerous articles and illustrations about the world exhibition in Paris. 175 00:19:58,960 --> 00:20:08,920 There are lengthy reports, about 500 years of the Russian at the Tillery with pictures of Russian cannons and exhibitions of Russian cannons. 176 00:20:08,920 --> 00:20:17,020 There are articles about the centenary of the conquest of Odessa on the Black Sea today, port city in Ukraine. 177 00:20:17,020 --> 00:20:23,870 And there are reports about the presentation of Edison's phonograph in Vienna and even on the more sort of entertaining. 178 00:20:23,870 --> 00:20:31,600 And there are pictures and reports about dolphins attacking at Orca off the coast of Japan. 179 00:20:31,600 --> 00:20:35,470 A long article on a new granary that will spill near St. Petersburg. 180 00:20:35,470 --> 00:20:39,100 And of course, Bahrain is an important export item for the Russian empire. 181 00:20:39,100 --> 00:20:49,360 So we can see why this is important. There are reports about a lengthy biographic accounts of pianist and composer Anton Rubinstein and 182 00:20:49,360 --> 00:20:56,080 a slightly celebrity story about how Tolstoy as a young man encountered a bear while hunting. 183 00:20:56,080 --> 00:21:06,520 And of course, then there are lots of articles about Christmas. And most of these articles, including the Dolphins, are accompanied by illustrations. 184 00:21:06,520 --> 00:21:15,760 The flu appears on one page and issue number forty nine on second December 1989. 185 00:21:15,760 --> 00:21:20,650 And this page is small print. There's no picture on this page. 186 00:21:20,650 --> 00:21:25,340 And the headline is Various News and one of these various news items. 187 00:21:25,340 --> 00:21:35,470 It's the flu. And the article goes as follows. Quote, In various places in Russia, the epidemic grip has appeared, which spreads quickly. 188 00:21:35,470 --> 00:21:41,830 Amongst the population in back in its suburban districts and such, just your gut, Shiina. 189 00:21:41,830 --> 00:21:48,640 And even in Moscow, but also in cars, on boats, on the Volga River in Simferopol, Crimea, and in other cities. 190 00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:57,820 Masses of people felt ill with this harmless but severe and unpleasant illness, which is also called influenza. 191 00:21:57,820 --> 00:22:00,210 To get an idea of the number of the affected. 192 00:22:00,210 --> 00:22:10,010 Suffice it to say that one third of the population of Pittsburgh have succumb to its attack, spread amongst all age groups and amongst all classes. 193 00:22:10,010 --> 00:22:15,890 Some educational institutions closed because 50 percent of pupils and teachers were ill with influenza. 194 00:22:15,890 --> 00:22:21,760 All hospitals have been overflowing and pharmacies could barely cope with the onset of influenza. 195 00:22:21,760 --> 00:22:28,910 Its immediate body temperature rises to 40 degrees or even forty point five, and it falls equally fast. 196 00:22:28,910 --> 00:22:32,880 The illness lasts one to three days, rarely five to six. 197 00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:43,130 And apart from the high fever, the effect it has pain in all joints and headaches and sometimes suffers from dizziness and various nothis ailments. 198 00:22:43,130 --> 00:22:49,680 And then it goes on to describe what brings about this affliction. 199 00:22:49,680 --> 00:22:55,600 Well, it says, quote, Data suggest that the current epidemic is rather mild. 200 00:22:55,600 --> 00:23:03,280 Illness is epidemic, but not infectious. It spreads without any clear plan or direction and without infectious clusters. 201 00:23:03,280 --> 00:23:12,830 And it's a fast, very different from colora. Influenza spreads immediately like torrential rain and affects entire countries, even parts of the both. 202 00:23:12,830 --> 00:23:19,840 But once trends is not at all like infectious epidemics would spread, which spreads from microbes. 203 00:23:19,840 --> 00:23:26,000 In all likelihood, the causes of influenza are cosmic, caused by changes in the atmosphere. 204 00:23:26,000 --> 00:23:35,540 Many doctors explain it through an excess of ozone, which from electricity in the atmosphere, acquires a great force of quote. 205 00:23:35,540 --> 00:23:39,300 Now, why is this interesting? I think this is interesting for a number of reasons. 206 00:23:39,300 --> 00:23:48,170 That's interesting, but it's only a short article and a illustrated journal that otherwise cares much more about other things. 207 00:23:48,170 --> 00:23:55,550 But it's interesting also in the way it describes influenza. And there are some ambiguities in the descriptions which are quite revealing. 208 00:23:55,550 --> 00:24:00,250 One of them is that it says it spreads, but at the same time, it says it's not infections, 209 00:24:00,250 --> 00:24:06,200 it's peers, it's immediate and it affects entire entire countries and even parts of the earth. 210 00:24:06,200 --> 00:24:10,010 So there's a peer uncertainty of what is actually going on. 211 00:24:10,010 --> 00:24:15,110 On the one hand, it says it's severe, but also its claims it's mild. 212 00:24:15,110 --> 00:24:24,290 And I think what is how we can sort of make sense of this contradiction is if we look at the point of comparison for influenza, 213 00:24:24,290 --> 00:24:35,000 and that's called Grah in comparison to Pollara, this influenza is not really striking fear into contemporary readers. 214 00:24:35,000 --> 00:24:35,810 And thus, 215 00:24:35,810 --> 00:24:48,380 I guess I think there's also what explains why there is a small article about it and it doesn't seem to cause much anxiety or demand for information. 216 00:24:48,380 --> 00:24:53,750 The difference between us and them is that infectious disease are Aequitas for them. 217 00:24:53,750 --> 00:24:58,910 And so if one comes along, then, yes, we have to deal with it somehow and we describe it. 218 00:24:58,910 --> 00:25:05,110 And yes, farmers might struggle and hospitals are overflowing. But but that's part of normality. 219 00:25:05,110 --> 00:25:14,240 And in went on. So we can sort of it's not really as gripping or as interesting for readers as all of the Dolphins. 220 00:25:14,240 --> 00:25:21,140 My immediate reaction to this was great surprise that the public weren't up in arms about this new disease. 221 00:25:21,140 --> 00:25:30,770 So I asked Judith to tell me more. I think the general consensus is that the public reaction was quite resigned. 222 00:25:30,770 --> 00:25:38,840 My hunches, and I'm pretty sure, in fact, since this was like this pandemic did not cause any local hysterics, 223 00:25:38,840 --> 00:25:47,150 local hysteria that did not cause a lot of local anxiety. This was also one of the reasons why. 224 00:25:47,150 --> 00:25:52,260 And the historiography plays a minor role, although everyone knows there was this and I'm going to. 225 00:25:52,260 --> 00:25:55,740 And a cause that's just interesting. 226 00:25:55,740 --> 00:26:07,240 For example, there is a wonderful book about the Colora and Humbug in 1892 by Richard Evans of Tustin, historian. 227 00:26:07,240 --> 00:26:11,160 He doesn't mention his friends or once he does say, 228 00:26:11,160 --> 00:26:18,870 but most of it suggests to a post by respiratory diseases of which tuberculosis was the most severe. 229 00:26:18,870 --> 00:26:25,380 And even if we take tuberculosis and insurance law and all the other respiratory diseases together, 230 00:26:25,380 --> 00:26:36,660 it's still less than half of the deaths caused by cholera. But I think in this pandemic on its own does not seem to have received much attention. 231 00:26:36,660 --> 00:26:43,710 There is an article in what's called The Social History of Medicine, 232 00:26:43,710 --> 00:26:54,390 which claims that founders Hechler ideas about mortality and found a secular pessimism was largely due to this pandemic. 233 00:26:54,390 --> 00:27:03,240 I'm not convinced by this argument. I think maybe the maybe the experience of illness and of flu. 234 00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:13,080 Contributed to that. But I can see that the beginnings of an interest and nervousness and nerves and also cultural pessimism. 235 00:27:13,080 --> 00:27:18,180 I think they were there also before the change throughout the 80s, 90s. 236 00:27:18,180 --> 00:27:28,230 I don't think you can say a pandemic causes a cultural mood or fund a secular way of expressing fear or introspection or these kinds of things. 237 00:27:28,230 --> 00:27:34,390 The experience of of illness will certainly have changed people's view on all sorts of things. 238 00:27:34,390 --> 00:27:39,510 And maybe it did contribute. But if it did, they would have been so many other factors as well. 239 00:27:39,510 --> 00:27:48,870 But I don't think we can say that was it. And this is especially true when you compare it to the cholera outbreaks happening at the same time. 240 00:27:48,870 --> 00:27:58,890 When I first got your request, I checked the Standard Russian Dictionary, which is a wonderful and very authoritative publication. 241 00:27:58,890 --> 00:28:06,960 Eighty volumes brought out between 1890 in 1987, and it has an entry for influenza. 242 00:28:06,960 --> 00:28:14,340 And this is a page and it says that in the past we thought this was mainly a disease that affected horses. 243 00:28:14,340 --> 00:28:18,600 But recently it's also become to the attention that this can be more prevalent. 244 00:28:18,600 --> 00:28:24,660 And there have been outbreaks in the 1950s and also in 1890. 245 00:28:24,660 --> 00:28:33,570 But largely, this is not very serious. And people are ill for about three to four days and then they suffer a little bit longer from 246 00:28:33,570 --> 00:28:38,700 the after effects that can cause mortality amongst people with earlier medical conditions. 247 00:28:38,700 --> 00:28:42,810 But by and large, this is not not a big deal. 248 00:28:42,810 --> 00:28:51,840 And then it goes on to talk about how it affects horses. If you compare that to the entry on Colora, it's more than 10 pages. 249 00:28:51,840 --> 00:29:00,620 And I think. Colora is precisely one of the reasons why this pandemic from the Russian perspective, but also from the historical perspective, 250 00:29:00,620 --> 00:29:09,740 from from historical scholarship, has not received so much attention because we see in eighteen ninety one. 251 00:29:09,740 --> 00:29:19,780 So immediately after this influenza pandemic, a huge famine in Russia and famines are always events that help the spread of disease. 252 00:29:19,780 --> 00:29:24,860 And as a as a consequence of that, there's a big typhus epidemic in the Russian empire. 253 00:29:24,860 --> 00:29:33,770 And the most severe cholera epidemic that spreads as far west as humbug, where we see you on 10000 deaths from the Russian empire. 254 00:29:33,770 --> 00:29:39,320 They are up to. They estimate that they have 300000 fatalities. 255 00:29:39,320 --> 00:29:50,030 This is much more serious. There's no suggestion that illnesses that are out of the ordinary, that these give rise to anxieties and great fears. 256 00:29:50,030 --> 00:30:01,170 Whereas the influenza pandemic is too similar to the normal winter flu, although it's more serious than the usual ones. 257 00:30:01,170 --> 00:30:05,960 And so it can you can fit it into traditional notions of risk. 258 00:30:05,960 --> 00:30:11,120 Right. There is a risk of dying or getting badly ill in winter. 259 00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:19,700 And this is one case which fits very well with your annual concern for your health in winter. 260 00:30:19,700 --> 00:30:25,400 Whereas a cholera pandemic becomes so sudden and so out of the ordinary and and 261 00:30:25,400 --> 00:30:31,610 so shocking also in how the disease develops that you can't subsume it under. 262 00:30:31,610 --> 00:30:35,540 This is the normal risk of life. But I can't get rid of that. 263 00:30:35,540 --> 00:30:39,410 I have to somehow psychologically deal with this. 264 00:30:39,410 --> 00:30:47,000 Focus on cholera and away from the flu outbreak is also something Juliette picked up from contemporary doctors. 265 00:30:47,000 --> 00:30:50,080 The fact that Russian doctors. 266 00:30:50,080 --> 00:30:59,560 I'm much more interested in waterborne disease in this period and also because of their interest and waterborne disease and in slums. 267 00:30:59,560 --> 00:31:07,920 And that conviction, many of them are politically fairly radical and think that something should be done about poverty and the Russian empire. 268 00:31:07,920 --> 00:31:14,720 This is one of the other reasons why this pandemic is pushed to the side in public perception. 269 00:31:14,720 --> 00:31:20,580 But for Russian doctors, what really matters are these waterborne diseases and the relation to poverty. 270 00:31:20,580 --> 00:31:26,720 And these are important things, not severe winter cold. 271 00:31:26,720 --> 00:31:35,870 So this influenza outbreak was relatively inconspicuous, even though it killed or at least laid low a considerable number of contemporary celebrities, 272 00:31:35,870 --> 00:31:47,750 including Prince Albert, Victor Queen Victoria's grandson, Lord Rosebery, UK prime minister, and the famous Russian mathematician, Sophia Coveleski. 273 00:31:47,750 --> 00:31:53,320 Yes, I think I think that's probably indicative about how we think. 274 00:31:53,320 --> 00:32:03,600 Of this pandemic that we can pinpointed to various well-known individuals who died like Russian mathematician Sophia Chmielewski. 275 00:32:03,600 --> 00:32:12,930 And in her case, she was the first female professor of mathematics in modern times so that her life was cut right at the age of 40. 276 00:32:12,930 --> 00:32:19,710 This is something that people do take an interest in the history of mathematics or in the interest of Russian women in science. 277 00:32:19,710 --> 00:32:20,700 Well, no. 278 00:32:20,700 --> 00:32:30,990 But I think that we know this illness only through these tragedies is indicative that we don't think the illness itself was such a big deal otherwise. 279 00:32:30,990 --> 00:32:39,540 This, of course, brings up the question of whether we should have included the so-called Russian flu in our history of pandemic series at all. 280 00:32:39,540 --> 00:32:47,430 And I'll revisit that at the end of the episode. But first, there was still a few more things that I was keen to understand about this outbreak. 281 00:32:47,430 --> 00:32:56,100 For example, how much increasing transport links had to do with its spread and indeed whether that might be one of the key factors. 282 00:32:56,100 --> 00:32:58,350 Now, I think there's certainly plays a part, 283 00:32:58,350 --> 00:33:04,350 but I think the picture is a bit more complicated because it's not the first epidemic that sort of affected by movement. 284 00:33:04,350 --> 00:33:10,270 All epidemics are spread through people moving, although at this time they're not quite sure it does, actually. 285 00:33:10,270 --> 00:33:14,360 Right. But what is interesting about cholera as a comparison here, 286 00:33:14,360 --> 00:33:24,270 that from the Russian perspective seems very important as cholera comes to Europe at the beginning of the 19th century, 287 00:33:24,270 --> 00:33:32,180 and it's a consequence of European imperial expansion into into India and Bengal, where the disease had been endemic. 288 00:33:32,180 --> 00:33:38,670 There's 1889 flu grows out of a similar imperial expansion because Russia and 289 00:33:38,670 --> 00:33:46,110 Britain are both meeting or having conflicting interests in Central Asia. 290 00:33:46,110 --> 00:33:53,700 And the Russian military command realises that this influenza pandemic takes its beginning. 291 00:33:53,700 --> 00:33:56,370 In Qatar, the present day was Pakistan. 292 00:33:56,370 --> 00:34:06,630 And of course, in only a few years, one year before, in 1888, they finished the Trans Caspian Railway to Qatar. 293 00:34:06,630 --> 00:34:12,460 So it's with this through this railway that the disease comes to European Russia 294 00:34:12,460 --> 00:34:18,030 and from European Russia spreads across the world until it comes back to China. 295 00:34:18,030 --> 00:34:23,370 So circles the globe in about a year, given how many countries were affected. 296 00:34:23,370 --> 00:34:29,910 I was intrigued to see why this outbreak ended up being labelled as the Russian flu. 297 00:34:29,910 --> 00:34:38,280 So anyway, it's imperial expansion and imperial competition that brings both these countries to Europe. 298 00:34:38,280 --> 00:34:40,320 And this is also how contemporary's frame it. 299 00:34:40,320 --> 00:34:50,190 I think the reason it gets cold, the Russian flu in Britain is on one hand it's safely defined as something far. 300 00:34:50,190 --> 00:34:56,610 So that's already psychologically a bit easier to deal with if we can sort of say this is a foreign disease. 301 00:34:56,610 --> 00:35:02,790 But I think it also takes up this question of Russian and British rivalry in this area. 302 00:35:02,790 --> 00:35:08,770 Almost like saying, see what this Russian advances caused us. We've got this pandemic as a as a result. 303 00:35:08,770 --> 00:35:14,880 So in a way, it's also a public relations discourse or going on at the same time. 304 00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:22,560 And it's interesting that the Russians call it the Russian flu, although the Swedes did call it the Russian running noses. 305 00:35:22,560 --> 00:35:28,320 In fact, Judy, amused on whether the perpetuation of this name today also reflects a modern 306 00:35:28,320 --> 00:35:34,680 misunderstanding of the sophistication or capacity of some 19th century societies. 307 00:35:34,680 --> 00:35:39,150 We often think that countries are less well organised at the time than they were. 308 00:35:39,150 --> 00:35:46,290 And we tend to think this particularly of countries like Russia, where there is an understanding that they were somewhat backward. 309 00:35:46,290 --> 00:35:50,910 Whether this is fair or not has been a huge debate and the scholarship. 310 00:35:50,910 --> 00:35:58,320 But I think what we can certainly say is that Russian statistics in the late 19th century were excellent. 311 00:35:58,320 --> 00:36:05,550 And for economic historians and other people dealing with big numbers that fantastic sources of politics, 312 00:36:05,550 --> 00:36:12,190 of the population and population statistics, income, economic statistic, all sorts of things. 313 00:36:12,190 --> 00:36:19,450 But they have to do with warehoused states, attempted to organise their populations. 314 00:36:19,450 --> 00:36:24,180 And and yes, they are. They know they know quite well what is going on, despite the fact, of course, 315 00:36:24,180 --> 00:36:30,180 that there are areas where they are less informed and maybe it takes a while for us to reach the centre. 316 00:36:30,180 --> 00:36:35,100 And then this, of course, also always a little bit of corruption here and there, 317 00:36:35,100 --> 00:36:43,560 which means that the statistics at the centre might be less reliable than than the locally the the local figures. 318 00:36:43,560 --> 00:36:48,450 But by and large, I think we can conclude that states are about time. 319 00:36:48,450 --> 00:36:52,740 Well, quite well-informed about what was going on. So. 320 00:36:52,740 --> 00:37:00,930 Onto the conclusion of this outbreak, and two, it's perhaps dubious place within our historical narrative of pandemics. 321 00:37:00,930 --> 00:37:06,250 I asked Julia for her reflections on the legacy of Russian flu. 322 00:37:06,250 --> 00:37:18,850 But what is interesting in the long run is that the flu pandemic that started in 1889 did not leave a lasting imprint on Russian 323 00:37:18,850 --> 00:37:26,620 perceptions of what was going on in these years and what the important events in the 1990s were for Britain and France. 324 00:37:26,620 --> 00:37:33,820 They only they don't have cholera in 1892. So their view on things is likely to be a little different. 325 00:37:33,820 --> 00:37:42,760 And maybe this also explains why the so-called Russian flu has left more traces in Britain than in other countries. 326 00:37:42,760 --> 00:37:50,440 And Britain has, as I said before, been much earlier with successful surge and and these kinds of things. 327 00:37:50,440 --> 00:38:00,460 So. So cholera is not is a apostasies disease in Britain in the 80s, 90s because they can deal with its threat. 328 00:38:00,460 --> 00:38:04,990 And so maybe the Russian flu. I think that there are a number of reasons why it's prominent. 329 00:38:04,990 --> 00:38:12,720 One, as I said, because of the imperial competitions as one reason and the others possibly because 330 00:38:12,720 --> 00:38:18,250 there is no famine in 1891 in Britain and no cholera epidemic a consequence. 331 00:38:18,250 --> 00:38:27,060 Julia also feels that modern experiences significantly impact on the importance we ascribe to events like epidemics. 332 00:38:27,060 --> 00:38:35,230 Out of interest, I had to look at the sort of overview books of the 19th century to the standard overview 333 00:38:35,230 --> 00:38:42,200 from textbooks and other introductory books that we usually assign students to read and. 334 00:38:42,200 --> 00:38:52,670 None of the ones I had on my shelf had epidemic or disease or similar thoughts in the index. 335 00:38:52,670 --> 00:38:56,180 There one exception, which is a book by someone who wrote about Hollerer. 336 00:38:56,180 --> 00:39:02,770 So his new book of 19th century European history does have a chapter on diseases. 337 00:39:02,770 --> 00:39:06,710 And I think this is indicative of how history works. 338 00:39:06,710 --> 00:39:18,410 My prediction is that in 10 years, epidemics will be in every history book about the 19th century because we have now experienced ourselves. 339 00:39:18,410 --> 00:39:25,640 But this does change life significantly. And I think what we what we see here and what raises a methodological question 340 00:39:25,640 --> 00:39:32,210 is to what extent historical research is dealing with questions of the present, 341 00:39:32,210 --> 00:39:36,980 which we then look for in the past books about the Russian empire. 342 00:39:36,980 --> 00:39:41,420 They will mention the famine of 1891 and I will mention the cholera epidemic, 343 00:39:41,420 --> 00:39:45,900 because you can't you just can't overlook these things and the Russian empire at the time. 344 00:39:45,900 --> 00:39:53,660 But I think the fact that overview books of global history in the 19th century don't manage, 345 00:39:53,660 --> 00:40:03,560 don't mention diseases is interesting and indicative of the time of writing when these were not on the forefront of historians minds. 346 00:40:03,560 --> 00:40:09,680 So finally, the big question, should we have included the Russian flu in this series? 347 00:40:09,680 --> 00:40:16,490 You'll hear from Julius shortly, but first from Klaus Curcio, who we met in Episode six. 348 00:40:16,490 --> 00:40:21,320 I think nowadays the Russian influenza story is very interesting because the influenza strain is 349 00:40:21,320 --> 00:40:28,560 culturally significant in the sense that it leads Bacteriologists to start suspecting bacillus influenza. 350 00:40:28,560 --> 00:40:33,470 So bacterial with influenza, which becomes very relevant, a particular, very long, 351 00:40:33,470 --> 00:40:39,710 winding history of how this is connected to the discovery of penicillin. Actually, it's been said there is an immediate connexion there. 352 00:40:39,710 --> 00:40:42,800 The big revolution of the 19th century is counting disease. 353 00:40:42,800 --> 00:40:50,930 It's it's accumulating case numbers and it is having then records on mortality going back that become increasingly robust. 354 00:40:50,930 --> 00:40:58,490 Counting deaths beyond the level of the individual community is an incredibly useful national tool for public health. 355 00:40:58,490 --> 00:41:04,340 Once you start counting something, that disease winds incredible power of this political marketplace, 356 00:41:04,340 --> 00:41:09,260 of other diseases that can be prepared for that, you know, should be taken into account. 357 00:41:09,260 --> 00:41:16,760 So I would say from the perspective of a kind of historian of medicine, science and technology, that the Russian influence, 358 00:41:16,760 --> 00:41:23,900 in addition to obviously killing many people, still causing misery and causing widespread panic during this period, 359 00:41:23,900 --> 00:41:32,300 is very important for importing influenza as a disease category that is distinct from others onto the map, 360 00:41:32,300 --> 00:41:38,420 even though the wrong theological agent is defined during the period that that comes back then. 361 00:41:38,420 --> 00:41:42,710 And I an 18, 19, 20, when everybody is looking for bacillus influenza, 362 00:41:42,710 --> 00:41:46,070 they're looking for bacteriological cause because clearly that should be the cause. 363 00:41:46,070 --> 00:41:52,550 Right. It leads Flemyng to isolate barters influenza from his nose and deposited in Britain's microbiological 364 00:41:52,550 --> 00:41:59,340 collection as one of the first strains of deposits that look for penicillin as a selective medium for it. 365 00:41:59,340 --> 00:42:06,860 You know, it's it's the unintended consequences of this are pretty, pretty phenomenal, actually. 366 00:42:06,860 --> 00:42:14,420 I think it's an excellent example, because what it shows is that once the perspectival, 367 00:42:14,420 --> 00:42:18,830 pandemics or epidemics can be very different, depending on where you are. 368 00:42:18,830 --> 00:42:25,640 And in the Russian empire, as I said, where there's the threat of cholera and typhus and all the other things, 369 00:42:25,640 --> 00:42:32,930 but other pandemics can sort of overshadow a global pandemic. 370 00:42:32,930 --> 00:42:39,560 I think this is very interesting that more local epidemics can overshadow a global pandemic. 371 00:42:39,560 --> 00:42:45,230 But I also think that's interesting to see. We are used to living. 372 00:42:45,230 --> 00:42:56,870 A life in which infections don't play a particularly strong rubbled, once spoken to a doctor who says, oh, we've become PSINet, Jennifer. 373 00:42:56,870 --> 00:43:06,800 Washing our hands and washing our clothes in really hot water because we have antibiotics and we're not used to it anymore. 374 00:43:06,800 --> 00:43:18,110 But what is interesting about this pandemic is that in a context where there is a constant presence of debilitating and frequently fatal diseases, 375 00:43:18,110 --> 00:43:28,460 that even a pandemic can be met with resignation on parts of the population and very soon fade into general oblivion. 376 00:43:28,460 --> 00:43:35,450 I think this is interesting and this tells us a lot about the period that which we are dealing here. 377 00:43:35,450 --> 00:43:42,110 So I think it's a it's an excellent choice to go for a pandemic that is actually not seen as a big disaster, 378 00:43:42,110 --> 00:43:48,190 because in the in the context of what off of threats to health, 379 00:43:48,190 --> 00:43:56,880 it's just, well, particularly bad Russian snippet was not what you say and not something that puts everything on the hospital or changeless. 380 00:43:56,880 --> 00:43:59,820 I pretty much completely. 381 00:43:59,820 --> 00:44:09,140 Next time on future makers will travel just a few years forward to another influenza pandemic that's been erroneously blamed on a single country, 382 00:44:09,140 --> 00:44:15,590 but which, unlike the Russian flu, is of unquestioned historical significance. 383 00:44:15,590 --> 00:44:24,460 This so-called Spanish flu is estimated by some to have infected up to a third of the world's population in the early 20th century, 384 00:44:24,460 --> 00:44:30,220 spreading rapidly through countries already ravaged by war and malnourishment. 385 00:44:30,220 --> 00:44:34,600 You'll almost certainly have heard of this deadly outbreak. But there's a lot more to learn. 386 00:44:34,600 --> 00:44:42,400 Behind the headlines. And we'll discuss it fully in the next episode of our history of pandemic season. 387 00:44:42,400 --> 00:45:20,000 I'm Peter Milliken, and you've been listening to Future Makers. 388 00:45:20,000 --> 00:45:26,970 Feature makers was created in-house at the University of Oxford and presented by Professor Peter Milliken from Hartford College. 389 00:45:26,970 --> 00:45:33,420 A voice actor today was Anna Wilson, and the score for the series was designed and created by Richard Watts. 390 00:45:33,420 --> 00:45:38,090 The series is written and produced by Steve [INAUDIBLE] shot me then Howard. 391 00:45:38,090 --> 00:45:43,400 Thank you. I'm half of the whole team for listening to the history of pandemics and we love hearing a feedback. 392 00:45:43,400 --> 00:45:49,140 So let us know what you thought of the show and what you might like to hear his cover in the feature.