1 00:00:00,210 --> 00:00:06,870 Great pleasure to welcome the Stevens staff to speak to the last seminar of this term. 2 00:00:07,980 --> 00:00:15,290 He's a journalist who's lived in Damascus and elsewhere in Syria over the last five years, up until last year, 2012. 3 00:00:16,320 --> 00:00:21,780 And he worked first as editor for the Syria Times and then as a freelance reporter. 4 00:00:22,560 --> 00:00:32,370 So he's reported the popular uprising inside the country and has written the book for which the flyer is here, Revolt in Syria, 5 00:00:32,370 --> 00:00:42,390 published by Hearst, who of course have close links like the service's CW program of 12 times only, so incredibly good value. 6 00:00:44,070 --> 00:00:52,830 And he's also written in the Los Angeles Times, The Irish Times, USA Today, GlobalPost, 7 00:00:52,830 --> 00:00:58,050 The Times, The Globe and Mail, Foreign Policy, The Washington Post and The Sunday Times. 8 00:00:59,160 --> 00:01:09,300 Over the last year, September 2012 to April 2013, he was the month school fellow in global journalism at the University of Toronto, 9 00:01:10,380 --> 00:01:14,910 and today his title is less than vital to the people behind. 10 00:01:14,910 --> 00:01:19,470 So I'll leave you to say exactly what it is. But you can be sure you've got it right. 11 00:01:20,880 --> 00:01:24,060 Thank you very much. Thanks to everyone for coming. 12 00:01:24,360 --> 00:01:31,410 It's an honour to be here. The title of my talk is How the Syrian Regime Sells Its War at Home. 13 00:01:32,670 --> 00:01:38,190 I'm not quite sure if I'll speak for a full 45 minutes on that particular topic, 14 00:01:38,790 --> 00:01:47,880 but I have slightly more time for discussion about the broader kind of situation in Syria as it stands today. 15 00:01:48,540 --> 00:01:57,360 I moved to Syria from Ireland in early 2007. I graduated from a master's degree in international security conflict studies from university, 16 00:01:57,720 --> 00:02:04,480 from Dublin City University, and essentially moved to Moscow with little or no plan. 17 00:02:04,500 --> 00:02:12,750 So many students of few here who are thinking of travelling abroad encourage you to do so. 18 00:02:14,130 --> 00:02:20,790 And as you mentioned, a couple of months after arriving in Syria, I began working for Syria times, 19 00:02:20,790 --> 00:02:34,590 which was which is actually it's started functioning again recently is a an English language version of the Syrian government's news as they see it. 20 00:02:35,460 --> 00:02:43,080 And from the actual news perspective, Syria times wasn't very valuable at all. 21 00:02:44,160 --> 00:02:50,670 And I imagine I gained more from working in their office than they probably did from from I. 22 00:02:52,890 --> 00:03:01,890 But I think the six months that I spent there until 2008 was quite instructive in the sense that I got a sense for how to what degree at that level, 23 00:03:02,190 --> 00:03:11,970 how the Syrian regime operates its its propaganda, how it sells its message, and essentially what was reported in English and what went into there. 24 00:03:12,420 --> 00:03:18,330 The pamphlet was almost direct translations of of news that was reported in Arabic. 25 00:03:19,230 --> 00:03:21,270 There was little or no original content in English. 26 00:03:24,400 --> 00:03:30,850 We need to go back a couple of decades, I think, to understand exactly how the Syrian regime sells its war at home. 27 00:03:31,540 --> 00:03:41,020 And the most pertinent points as it stands today is that Hafez al-Assad, 28 00:03:41,590 --> 00:03:46,240 the former president and father of Bashar al-Assad, built the Syrian regime as it stands today. 29 00:03:47,590 --> 00:03:52,180 Bashar al-Assad became president in 2000, has inherited this system. 30 00:03:53,320 --> 00:04:04,090 There is a huge gap between building a state system in terms of security, in terms of administration and governance and inheriting this. 31 00:04:04,270 --> 00:04:15,790 These are two very, very different things. Hafez al-Assad came from a moderate town in the coastal mountains of Syria, not far from the city of Tokyo. 32 00:04:16,660 --> 00:04:25,960 And the essentially came from from from nothing knew exactly what he wants to do and was equally 33 00:04:27,220 --> 00:04:32,470 gifted and brutal in getting what he wanted and building a system that is important today. 34 00:04:32,620 --> 00:04:45,220 Because perhaps the chief question asked is why the Syrian revolution has failed slashed continue for so long 35 00:04:45,340 --> 00:04:53,040 in obviously in Egypt and Libya in other countries regimes were overcome in quite short periods of time. 36 00:04:53,050 --> 00:05:00,010 Many people expected, myself included, that the route that the regime would fall in Syria, perhaps after a couple of months it didn't happen. 37 00:05:00,010 --> 00:05:03,580 And even after being in Syria at that stage for four years or so, 38 00:05:05,680 --> 00:05:10,910 I expected at that stage that the regime would fall within months as opposed to years. 39 00:05:10,930 --> 00:05:16,480 Today, of course, we the idea of the regime falling or winning. 40 00:05:16,870 --> 00:05:22,660 These these concepts these concepts are, I think, less and less important than they were two or three years ago. 41 00:05:25,000 --> 00:05:34,780 In 1995, the Lebanese former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, was assassinated. 42 00:05:35,260 --> 00:05:43,500 Syria, the Syrian government is thought to be behind this. This was a period of time that was. 43 00:05:45,060 --> 00:05:49,920 Drones destabilise the Syrian regime to a very, very significant degree. 44 00:05:49,930 --> 00:05:56,940 I think its forces were forced out of Lebanon, where they had been for 29 years. 45 00:05:58,410 --> 00:06:02,610 Syria was on this so-called axis of evil subgroup. 46 00:06:03,990 --> 00:06:13,080 And for the Assad regime with Bashar al-Assad as president, this was the first kind of major issue that they had to deal with. 47 00:06:13,500 --> 00:06:19,440 What did they do? How do they survive? They didn't do anything aside from moving troops out of Lebanon. 48 00:06:19,620 --> 00:06:28,679 The Syrian regime is a reactive entity, and perhaps we can talk a little bit more about the chemical weapons issue later on. 49 00:06:28,680 --> 00:06:39,930 But this is also this place. More recently, this plays into that that points that the Assad regime doesn't actively make big 50 00:06:39,930 --> 00:06:46,350 moves and doesn't actively invoke important issues on an international stage. 51 00:06:46,360 --> 00:06:57,360 I think by 2008, President Bashar Assad was the guest of honour of Nicolas Sarkozy. 52 00:06:57,360 --> 00:07:05,250 The chance to say, I'm going from on the point of being invaded by the American administration in 25, 53 00:07:05,820 --> 00:07:12,580 26 to being a guest of honour in Paris two years later was a remarkable turnaround. 54 00:07:13,140 --> 00:07:21,780 The following year, as Prime Minister of Lebanon, Saad al-Hariri was invited to Damascus and went and, 55 00:07:22,770 --> 00:07:28,350 you know, essentially his his father had been killed by elements linked to the Syrian regime. 56 00:07:30,090 --> 00:07:37,200 But the regime had proved so at that stage that they were able to essentially 57 00:07:38,250 --> 00:07:43,320 get Saad Hariri as prime minister of Lebanon to come to Damascus with his tail, 58 00:07:43,680 --> 00:07:53,670 basically between his legs. And, you know, this is this really an important point, I believe, in terms of how durable the Assad regime is. 59 00:07:57,680 --> 00:08:00,800 But to working in Syria times in 2007 and 2008. 60 00:08:04,270 --> 00:08:07,569 The building we walked in, we shared offices with the Tshering, with Tshering, 61 00:08:07,570 --> 00:08:12,970 which is an Arabic language title, one of three state newspapers in Syria at the time. 62 00:08:13,540 --> 00:08:22,629 All news came from Sana, which is the official state media Tshering Abbas and a soda and three times the 63 00:08:22,630 --> 00:08:27,940 English language equivalents got all their news and information from Sana. 64 00:08:30,520 --> 00:08:38,790 This is important in terms of stressing how centralised the message coming from the government was at that stage and continues to be today. 65 00:08:38,800 --> 00:08:43,930 I think the journalists that worked in Syria at times and into stream were not so much journalists 66 00:08:43,930 --> 00:08:51,150 as state workers looking for a stable income in a government sector for the rest of their lives. 67 00:08:51,160 --> 00:08:55,480 At that time, I think the average salary for those workers was about $250 a month. 68 00:08:57,550 --> 00:09:00,910 You had people working in Syria at times that could speak little or no English. 69 00:09:01,930 --> 00:09:07,059 They were only there because their arms or uncle or father or some relative could get them a job there. 70 00:09:07,060 --> 00:09:16,120 They had little or no journalism training, no English language experience, and essentially shouldn't have been there. 71 00:09:16,120 --> 00:09:20,080 But this also gives you a sense of exactly how the regime operates, I think. 72 00:09:22,420 --> 00:09:27,610 So there was no reporting to screen for three times all us for the most part. 73 00:09:27,610 --> 00:09:29,740 And generally speaking, Syrians across the board, I think, 74 00:09:30,100 --> 00:09:36,160 see these state newspapers for what they are, which they present the government's perspective. 75 00:09:36,880 --> 00:09:38,980 And and that's about it. That's about it. 76 00:09:39,580 --> 00:09:44,920 They're important to the to the extent that there is no free press or at that stage there was no free press in Syria. 77 00:09:45,820 --> 00:09:55,600 And aside from certainly in the print and the print media, people, of course, had access to Al Jazeera and a lot of media and regional Arabic media. 78 00:09:56,170 --> 00:10:04,420 But in terms of what was happening specifically in Syria, you had these three titles, a couple of websites that were a little bit less you know, 79 00:10:05,050 --> 00:10:10,240 these were less pro-government, weren't controlled to the same degree as the newspapers were. 80 00:10:10,660 --> 00:10:14,080 But this is where people got their news about Syria for the most part. 81 00:10:16,090 --> 00:10:23,650 An important aspect, I think, and it's it's perhaps overlooked is and correct me if I'm wrong, 82 00:10:23,920 --> 00:10:29,290 the idea of cult of the personality, when any of you go into Syria, I'm sure there have maybe there are some people here, 83 00:10:29,680 --> 00:10:34,330 some Syrians, perhaps the first thing certainly the first time that you're there, 84 00:10:34,360 --> 00:10:40,030 you the first thing perhaps people remarked about is the the pictures of Bashar al-Assad in Homs. 85 00:10:40,030 --> 00:10:45,639 And I said everywhere. They're not there for no reason. 86 00:10:45,640 --> 00:10:47,020 They're there for a specific reason. 87 00:10:47,020 --> 00:10:54,549 The obviously the idea is that in everything you do, in every public and every public space, there are always on you, essentially. 88 00:10:54,550 --> 00:10:59,140 So there's a lot more to it than just pictures of Bashar al-Assad everywhere. 89 00:11:00,460 --> 00:11:14,230 In March 2011, as the regime as the revolution picked up, there was a full on propaganda assaults right from right from the beginning. 90 00:11:14,230 --> 00:11:19,480 In the first couple of weeks of the revolution, when you had protests in Dhahran, in Baniyas, 91 00:11:20,170 --> 00:11:31,450 and in one small protest in central Damascus, immediately you had this counter efforts whereby you had Syrian government security cars, 92 00:11:31,840 --> 00:11:37,659 supporters driving around the streets of Damascus and other cities shouting their support for Bashar Assad, 93 00:11:37,660 --> 00:11:44,440 holding pictures of Bashar al-Assad, decrying Israel, the US, the UK. 94 00:11:44,920 --> 00:11:50,350 All the the standard for talking is in the eyes of the Syrian regime. 95 00:11:52,220 --> 00:12:01,090 And at one stage the same day I believe, I think it was March 17, 2011 or the first major deaths all came from Deraa in the south. 96 00:12:01,900 --> 00:12:05,200 There was a massive, massive rally in central Damascus. 97 00:12:05,200 --> 00:12:07,030 There were hundreds of thousands of people. 98 00:12:08,530 --> 00:12:16,179 Now, a question you might ask it's an important issue is that were all these people did people come by themselves or they co-opted more state workers? 99 00:12:16,180 --> 00:12:21,850 Were they students from school who were brought out onto the streets because they had to do so? 100 00:12:22,660 --> 00:12:23,920 To a large degree? They were. 101 00:12:26,830 --> 00:12:34,300 But there was certainly an element in those hundreds of thousands of people that came because they genuinely supported Bashar al-Assad, 102 00:12:34,720 --> 00:12:38,350 because what he had done for a segment of Syrian society, 103 00:12:38,800 --> 00:12:49,150 the middle class, urban based people, specifically in Damascus, to a lesser extent in Aleppo and the other kind of cities around the country. 104 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:53,170 The even Bashar al Assad excuse me. 105 00:12:55,090 --> 00:12:59,620 And this was this was a really this is an important issue, I believe. 106 00:12:59,620 --> 00:13:03,000 Why do they support the regime? Why? They support Bashar Assad. 107 00:13:03,030 --> 00:13:06,450 Why did they oppose in certain degrees what was happening? 108 00:13:06,450 --> 00:13:17,640 And there are where you had this popular revolution, an uprising, so to speak, in the beginning, because these were people with relatively good jobs. 109 00:13:18,000 --> 00:13:21,780 These were people who could get loans from banks, who had bank accounts, 110 00:13:22,260 --> 00:13:29,040 who were able to dine in restaurants a couple of times a week, who were able to travel and holiday in Turkey once a year. 111 00:13:31,410 --> 00:13:35,010 And they saw Bashar Assad responsible for where they were at the time. 112 00:13:36,450 --> 00:13:38,790 They didn't want anything to change, perhaps. 113 00:13:38,790 --> 00:13:47,730 And even, you know, there were people who didn't outwardly like President Assad and the regime and I guess saw for what it was that, 114 00:13:47,940 --> 00:13:52,560 you know, if you say the wrong thing in the wrong at the wrong time, that you you know, you've been turned. 115 00:13:54,930 --> 00:13:57,430 But for them, life is quite good at that stage. 116 00:13:59,100 --> 00:14:08,300 For people in Daraa and people in, you know, cases in eastern Aleppo, in eastern Damascus, it was a very different story. 117 00:14:08,310 --> 00:14:17,760 They did not have bank accounts. They did not have stable jobs. Thousands of them came from eastern Syria because there was a drought for three 118 00:14:17,760 --> 00:14:24,270 years that destroyed much of the country's agricultural production at that time. 119 00:14:25,020 --> 00:14:28,799 They came to the poor parts of the major cities looking for jobs, many of them. 120 00:14:28,800 --> 00:14:35,580 What this taxi drivers were very much disenfranchised, I guess very much unhappy with the regime. 121 00:14:35,580 --> 00:14:43,709 They felt that they had been forgotten. And at that stage, you had a growing divide between the urban middle class to speak of Rome, 122 00:14:43,710 --> 00:14:49,020 to be happy with where they were, didn't want regime change as that happened in Egypt at that stage. 123 00:14:49,470 --> 00:14:54,750 And these people on the periphery who were facing a very difficult situation indeed. 124 00:14:58,490 --> 00:15:09,840 At that time in the first couple of weeks. There was a multiplication of pro-government propaganda. 125 00:15:09,840 --> 00:15:17,549 So all the radio stations and the TV stations in Syria were co-opted by the regime to essentially put out this message. 126 00:15:17,550 --> 00:15:21,840 That theory was strong, that showed us this is this is right and powerful. 127 00:15:21,840 --> 00:15:25,050 And there's those right by the Syrian people. 128 00:15:26,550 --> 00:15:30,959 And it was a sensory overload. I think even, you know, as a foreigner myself at that time, 129 00:15:30,960 --> 00:15:35,100 we got a sense that this is this is really, really something that in every aspect of public life, 130 00:15:35,100 --> 00:15:37,679 you drive down the streets and you see the posters everywhere, 131 00:15:37,680 --> 00:15:44,280 and you turn on the radio in the in the book, the bus or the Negro in your car, you get the same message. 132 00:15:44,280 --> 00:15:47,700 You go home and you put on TV. The Syrian TV at least. 133 00:15:48,330 --> 00:15:55,230 And you get the same message over and over. Of course, for people who you chose to watch Al Jazeera and Arabiya, 134 00:15:55,590 --> 00:16:02,459 there was obviously a very different message for why you had people phoning in from the peripheral towns like that are like Banias. 135 00:16:02,460 --> 00:16:05,310 That's the image from areas of eastern Damascus. 136 00:16:05,820 --> 00:16:19,500 And, you know, at that stage, this, I think, increased this divide between the urbanites and between the rural poor moving forward. 137 00:16:21,450 --> 00:16:32,100 Now, there were a couple of attempts by the international community to force the Syrian government to open up. 138 00:16:32,670 --> 00:16:44,130 So in late in November 2011, the Arab League sent a group of observers to Syria to essentially see what was happening. 139 00:16:44,680 --> 00:16:50,280 The Assad government welcomed them and said, you know, we're abiding by international, by the Arab League. 140 00:16:51,060 --> 00:16:55,890 You asked us to open our country up to you to see what was happening, and we're doing it so on. 141 00:16:56,370 --> 00:17:03,479 At one stage I went with the An Arab League contingents in January of last year, 142 00:17:03,480 --> 00:17:08,760 almost two years ago, went to a town called House, which is about an hour north of of Damascus. 143 00:17:11,280 --> 00:17:14,770 What happened essentially was that we drove in a convoy from Damascus. 144 00:17:14,790 --> 00:17:18,540 We got to the first roundabout outside the town. 145 00:17:20,340 --> 00:17:26,610 The Arab League observers got out of their cars, which were escorted by Syrian government troops. 146 00:17:27,270 --> 00:17:31,379 We're told by the soldiers at this checkpoint that the town of Rancocas, 147 00:17:31,380 --> 00:17:36,780 which was just over here, was in control of rebels, insurgents, as they call them. 148 00:17:38,400 --> 00:17:42,330 And the soldiers said, the government soldiers, that we can't guarantee your safety if you go there. 149 00:17:43,260 --> 00:17:49,730 So for about a half an hour, the RV goes over water on this roundabout, essentially spoke to some of the soldiers there. 150 00:17:49,740 --> 00:17:53,459 There were a number of checkpoints that were passing people passing traffic there. 151 00:17:53,460 --> 00:17:58,310 And of course, with us was a large contingent of Syrian media. 152 00:17:58,320 --> 00:18:08,670 So whenever the Arab League observers would go up to speak to some individuals or some locals, the Syrian state media was right on their shoulder. 153 00:18:08,790 --> 00:18:13,739 So as the Arab League representative spoke to the average taxi driver, 154 00:18:13,740 --> 00:18:24,240 you had the Syrian government's TV presenter with the camera and with the the microphone on one side and on the other side, you had some security. 155 00:18:24,270 --> 00:18:30,719 And so obviously the guy, the taxi driver in the car was saying everything is great, that Bashar al-Assad is his excellency. 156 00:18:30,720 --> 00:18:36,570 And, you know, everything is fantastic in Syria and this is a foreign plot and so on. 157 00:18:37,410 --> 00:18:41,610 And at one stage, one taxi driver wouldn't stop. He drove through the checkpoints. 158 00:18:42,240 --> 00:18:45,750 And one of the stunning to one side, one of the security guards, he kind of I mean, 159 00:18:46,620 --> 00:18:53,490 the way he he he looked at this taxi driver who wouldn't stop was was was really quite menacing. 160 00:18:56,970 --> 00:19:04,890 A half an hour later, as I say, the Syrian government's army officer arrives at the scene of the roundabout and said, 161 00:19:05,460 --> 00:19:09,460 you're free to go into the town, we can't go with you and we can't guarantee you your safety. 162 00:19:09,480 --> 00:19:15,299 The Arab League observer said, okay, we won't go in. They got in the convoy, drove back to Damascus. 163 00:19:15,300 --> 00:19:22,230 I drove with them as I was covering them that day. There were some journalists in the New York Times and The New Yorker magazine State went into 164 00:19:22,230 --> 00:19:27,630 the town by themselves 2 hours later and the Syrian government began shelling the town. 165 00:19:29,400 --> 00:19:37,410 The point of all this is that this is what was being reported by the Syrian media and B, by, of course, 166 00:19:37,920 --> 00:19:44,320 the Arab League observers that, you know, for the most part, everything was fine and people were happy with the regime and so on. 167 00:19:44,340 --> 00:19:48,120 Meanwhile, 2 hours later, shells were falling on the town inside. 168 00:19:51,300 --> 00:20:00,980 The Syrian regime enacted a dual policy, I guess, of soft power and hard power early on in the revolution. 169 00:20:00,990 --> 00:20:03,810 What they would do every evening is get a group of priests, 170 00:20:04,650 --> 00:20:13,200 Shia sheikhs and Sunni sheikhs around the table on TV and they would pray together in Christian prayers, 171 00:20:13,530 --> 00:20:18,360 Islamic prayers, giving the idea that Syria was opposing. 172 00:20:18,690 --> 00:20:24,149 This is very important, I think, for minority groups, particularly Christians, 173 00:20:24,150 --> 00:20:28,980 at least in my experience, that, you know, the Syrian regime is a voice for them. 174 00:20:29,340 --> 00:20:35,840 This is our priest on TV. He is obviously supporting the governments. 175 00:20:35,910 --> 00:20:38,160 So for the most part, this is what we should do, too. 176 00:20:38,790 --> 00:20:52,049 At the same time, you had a number of, I guess, debate programs on on Syrian TV and on the second TV channel run by finance, 177 00:20:52,050 --> 00:20:55,770 by least by running Makhlouf, the president's brother in law. 178 00:20:57,180 --> 00:21:02,009 So you would have a group of young people in a very well very choreographed kind of situation. 179 00:21:02,010 --> 00:21:07,739 They would call on television and they would be interviewed by a Syrian host. 180 00:21:07,740 --> 00:21:10,770 And, you know, they would be asked, what's your your plans for your problems? 181 00:21:10,770 --> 00:21:18,000 Do you have a job? All these kind of issues. And through the GRI, there was a little bit of pushback at that stage. 182 00:21:18,810 --> 00:21:22,110 And, of course, for everyone that watched this, saw that, you know, this is something new. 183 00:21:22,110 --> 00:21:27,240 We haven't seen this before in Syria ever before. There is some criticism of criticism of the regime. 184 00:21:27,600 --> 00:21:38,100 At the same time, the Syrian governments, the parliament voted to end emergency laws, obviously in name only. 185 00:21:39,450 --> 00:21:46,530 So to the grief of the Syrians who wanted to believe that the regime was right and that the revolution itself was a foreign plot, 186 00:21:46,950 --> 00:21:57,720 there was something for them to show them that, in fact, yes, the regime is is is kind of addressing our concerns. 187 00:21:57,960 --> 00:22:02,310 We're seeing things on television that we've never seen before that people were criticising the regime. 188 00:22:06,720 --> 00:22:15,930 At the same time, you would see also on Syrian state television kind of montages of the Syrian cultural history, 189 00:22:15,930 --> 00:22:20,940 of the famous tourist sites, how beautiful Syria was, how unique its history was. 190 00:22:22,080 --> 00:22:28,979 And of course, when people watched Al-Jazeera, that we'd see pictures of tanks firing on mosques, 191 00:22:28,980 --> 00:22:32,910 people getting killed, people getting gunned down, dead bodies and so on. 192 00:22:34,770 --> 00:22:45,149 This idea, of course, the montages of the historical sites were that this is peaceful Syria and this is peaceful Syria under the Assad regime, 193 00:22:45,150 --> 00:22:48,450 and this is peaceful Syria for the last 40 years. This is how it's been with us. 194 00:22:48,900 --> 00:22:54,389 And this, of course, is the revolution, what you see in Jazeera. And this is a very you know, this is not what you want at all. 195 00:22:54,390 --> 00:22:58,050 This is a very unstable situation. People getting people are dying for the most part. 196 00:23:03,010 --> 00:23:06,580 You know, I'm not sure of who any of you here on Twitter. 197 00:23:06,850 --> 00:23:12,250 Any of you follow the follow sonnet to Sana's English Twitter feed. 198 00:23:13,240 --> 00:23:21,850 It's on. So no, it's it's quite remarkable that they they give information about parties and gatherings and so on. 199 00:23:22,510 --> 00:23:28,420 You know, again, the idea is to present this idea that life is continuing, that everything is fine, 200 00:23:29,260 --> 00:23:34,809 that day to day life and activities are still continuing in areas of the country that 201 00:23:34,810 --> 00:23:38,049 the regime controls and that in areas of the country that the regime doesn't control, 202 00:23:38,050 --> 00:23:43,540 even though it's not expressly say that, of course, they were not represented at all. 203 00:23:47,290 --> 00:23:51,160 The World Revolution, revolts, uprisings, civil war. 204 00:23:51,490 --> 00:23:55,210 For the first year at least, was never used by Syrian state media. 205 00:23:55,720 --> 00:24:06,040 People refer to it as the crisis. And of course, a lot of people would copy essentially what people were saying on television. 206 00:24:06,040 --> 00:24:15,219 And that, I think, of course, is what everything I spoke about until now is about elements of Syrian society that were relatively well-to-do, 207 00:24:15,220 --> 00:24:18,310 relatively stable, didn't want things to change, 208 00:24:18,310 --> 00:24:24,129 had seen the Syrian government reacting to what they believed was this revolt, 209 00:24:24,130 --> 00:24:32,280 this crisis specifically, and were for the most part, convinced by the governments of the hard power. 210 00:24:32,290 --> 00:24:39,790 Also, what you would see on television, pictures of the Syrian governments, the Syrian army firing rockets, soldiers marching. 211 00:24:41,020 --> 00:24:47,950 Pictures that you'd associate, I guess, with North Korea often that the Syrian government with strong picks, 212 00:24:47,950 --> 00:24:55,690 lots of pictures of of citizens throwing rice and soldiers, you know, elderly women kissing soldiers and so on. 213 00:24:55,840 --> 00:24:58,390 People love the army and so forth. 214 00:24:58,690 --> 00:25:07,989 They will also do interviews with people who had done wrong things in the past and who realise the mistakes of what they had done. 215 00:25:07,990 --> 00:25:16,340 They would put them on television and say, Yes, we support this. We were given money by some guy from Saudi Arabia or some guy from Jordan. 216 00:25:17,110 --> 00:25:21,009 They would pay recordings of television conversations between the person that they 217 00:25:21,010 --> 00:25:27,669 had interviewed who would suddenly right the wrongs of the past and of course, 218 00:25:27,670 --> 00:25:34,060 completely fabricated. This also give a sense that, you know, this is what's happening and this is the regime's position. 219 00:25:35,770 --> 00:25:44,190 I suppose one of the most sorry, the first 12 months you the most important elements of the Syrian government's, 220 00:25:44,320 --> 00:25:53,440 how it saw its war for you was that there were a number of daily bombings in Damascus, in Aleppo during the first number of months. 221 00:25:55,240 --> 00:26:01,660 And of course, both Syrian television and newspapers would show these pictures, 222 00:26:01,660 --> 00:26:06,880 these awful scenes of charred bodies, of people blown to bits of cars and fire. 223 00:26:07,960 --> 00:26:12,070 They would interview people who'd ask, you know, rhetorically, of course, is this true freedom? 224 00:26:12,070 --> 00:26:14,680 Is this is this your this is what you want? 225 00:26:16,450 --> 00:26:23,410 And this kind of continuous loop they would show, you know, for Tuesday, two days after a particular bombing. 226 00:26:24,550 --> 00:26:29,950 Often it was military and security buildings that were targeted. 227 00:26:31,030 --> 00:26:36,030 This, again, reinforced this idea that this is not a popular revolution, a peaceful revolution, 228 00:26:36,040 --> 00:26:46,300 whereby people went in the streets and called for how do you this was a violent and deadly and chaotic situation. 229 00:26:47,110 --> 00:26:52,870 So, you know, this was also for the the section of Syrian society. 230 00:26:53,560 --> 00:26:58,810 Again, I must stress this, that we're not directly involved in the revolution. 231 00:26:59,050 --> 00:27:02,020 The silent majority of we can still use that term today, 232 00:27:02,350 --> 00:27:10,690 people who would rather be happy to what they had recognised often that the regime was a a a brutal entity also, 233 00:27:11,110 --> 00:27:14,170 but did not want things to get worse for them. 234 00:27:18,530 --> 00:27:26,759 This is, of course, these bombings created quite considerable outrage and led the revolution to be associated, 235 00:27:26,760 --> 00:27:33,230 I say, with this deeply unstable, deadly new chapter in Syria. 236 00:27:35,870 --> 00:27:47,299 The result is essentially a population confused and angry. And as I say, if not totally convinced by the regime's the regime's message on some. 237 00:27:47,300 --> 00:27:50,150 Now, the government uses the same language over and over and over, 238 00:27:50,150 --> 00:28:03,010 and you can watch the Syrian media as English or Arabic news updates on on the Syrian state television website or by the same language is used, 239 00:28:03,040 --> 00:28:15,379 you know, the army is destroyed, terrorists and terrorist dens, you know, this every day, the same kind of four or five words more militants, gunmen, 240 00:28:15,380 --> 00:28:22,820 then the same words over and over, reinforcing this idea of of what was happening, of course, their own perspective. 241 00:28:23,780 --> 00:28:28,220 But each time they would defeat terrorist money might that my friends student 242 00:28:28,230 --> 00:28:32,630 Syria have been telling me for well over two years that the regime is winning. 243 00:28:32,910 --> 00:28:37,820 Of course, you know, it's it's not the case that it's going to be over soon and so on. 244 00:28:39,710 --> 00:28:51,560 Another important aspect, again, in terms of of of giving its message was that it would it co-opted a number of well-known actors, 245 00:28:51,620 --> 00:28:55,910 filmmakers, musicians, and that. 246 00:28:56,420 --> 00:29:00,350 So at one stage, I'm not sure if any of you were in Damascus in kind of the first few months, 247 00:29:00,800 --> 00:29:08,950 you had posters of the Syrian squadron hum, perhaps the most famous Syrian actor concert and somebody Syrian officer, 248 00:29:08,960 --> 00:29:15,260 at least on every corner of every street in Damascus and in Aleppo and in parts of the government, 249 00:29:15,740 --> 00:29:24,350 parts of the country controlled to control his picture, calling for people to take responsibility to be responsible. 250 00:29:26,910 --> 00:29:33,240 Oftentimes they would also appear on Syrian talk shows. So you had someone well known by the Syrian public. 251 00:29:36,340 --> 00:29:45,370 For their acting work, appearing in a political space on television, talking to people about what they felt, what they thought was happening. 252 00:29:45,370 --> 00:29:51,970 And these are obviously important individuals, people, you know, that that were looked up to in that. 253 00:29:52,900 --> 00:29:58,090 At one stage there was a concert in the women's square in the mosque is free of charge. 254 00:30:00,580 --> 00:30:08,650 You know, hundreds of thousands of people went. Many of my friends went not because the concert was free or because it was a fee. 255 00:30:08,710 --> 00:30:14,240 Habib was well-known Syrian singer, but because it was, you know, 256 00:30:14,260 --> 00:30:22,300 lots of people I know went there because it was an opportunity to be close to girls and to mingle with girls and talk to girls, basically. 257 00:30:25,420 --> 00:30:34,240 As things continued, let's say, into the second year of the revolution slash war, 258 00:30:35,530 --> 00:30:47,049 the tone used by Al Jazeera and Al-Arabiya shifted away from interviewing activists 259 00:30:47,050 --> 00:30:56,650 and eyewitnesses of of common atrocities through a much more partisan perspective. 260 00:30:56,650 --> 00:31:03,610 I think now if you watch on of if you turn on Al Jazeera Arabic, not the English Channel, 261 00:31:03,610 --> 00:31:07,510 you see that you get a very one sided view of what's happening in Syria. 262 00:31:10,330 --> 00:31:17,080 For the most part, this again, this large sort of majority, we can kind of quantify them. 263 00:31:17,080 --> 00:31:21,290 I think we can't measure them in terms of population, in terms of number. 264 00:31:21,520 --> 00:31:25,870 They see when they went to to look for information about what was happening in there in the beginning, 265 00:31:27,190 --> 00:31:30,549 a year later, they were getting a very different line, 266 00:31:30,550 --> 00:31:37,180 I think a much more partisan position, much more anti Syrian governments when of course, 267 00:31:37,180 --> 00:31:40,510 what was happening on the ground, what they were experiencing every day was quite different. 268 00:31:42,130 --> 00:31:45,160 They felt, of course, that they were seeing, you know, 269 00:31:45,370 --> 00:31:49,120 their experience of what was happening in Syria was very different than what Al Jazeera were publishing. 270 00:31:49,120 --> 00:31:54,340 And it was just the same with York, not that it obviously the same degree of the Syrian state media, but it was really, 271 00:31:54,700 --> 00:32:03,819 you know, a very one one dimensional perspective on what was happening in Syria, always pro rebel anti Syrian government. 272 00:32:03,820 --> 00:32:05,590 And that and this really, you know, 273 00:32:05,590 --> 00:32:15,970 a lot of people I think turned off got turned off by this very much partisan message from Al Jazeera and a lot to be a point at a time before a year 274 00:32:17,140 --> 00:32:29,440 previous the they were an important voice I think in for Syrians who wanted to hear what was happening in the the small towns around the country. 275 00:32:29,920 --> 00:32:36,670 This, of course, is reflected by the fact that Saudi, Saudi Arabia, Saudi Arabian elements, at least Saudi Arabian governments, 276 00:32:37,060 --> 00:32:46,690 Qatari government, were much more involved in arming and financing particular rebel groups. 277 00:32:47,230 --> 00:32:51,640 So this this is not something that happens by itself. 278 00:32:56,760 --> 00:33:03,750 The chemical weapons attack, which it seems a long, long time ago, obviously only happens last August. 279 00:33:05,490 --> 00:33:15,780 This was, for me at least just the latest way the Syrian government was able to twist things and present things to their own advantage. 280 00:33:19,370 --> 00:33:23,000 The regime is able to portray the chemical weapons deal. Of course, I'm not sure. 281 00:33:23,630 --> 00:33:30,410 Quite so familiar. Of course, there was the use of chemical weapons in eastern Damascus in a town in the west southwest of Damascus called Multimedia. 282 00:33:32,450 --> 00:33:37,429 Russia presented this idea that the Syrian going to give up its chemical weapons. 283 00:33:37,430 --> 00:33:39,680 And, of course, the Syrian government said, yes, of course, we'll do that. 284 00:33:39,950 --> 00:33:47,390 As you know, Barack Obama was seriously talking about airstrikes on Syrian military targets. 285 00:33:51,080 --> 00:33:59,140 The regime was able to save its military, airports and airfields, its weapons, as a result of this chemical weapons deal. 286 00:33:59,150 --> 00:34:05,030 Of course, as ghastly as the use of chemical weapons is, it only represents a very, 287 00:34:05,030 --> 00:34:10,909 very small percentage of the overall war that the government's war on on rebel elements. 288 00:34:10,910 --> 00:34:14,510 So, of course, they've given up this car, but they still have a whole, you know, 289 00:34:14,660 --> 00:34:19,480 close to a full pack that they can fully work with in terms of their conventional military assets. 290 00:34:21,500 --> 00:34:23,450 Inside Syria at that stage. 291 00:34:24,620 --> 00:34:33,890 The regime initially blamed rebels for this use of chemical weapons, pardon me, initially denied anything happens and then blames rebels. 292 00:34:34,370 --> 00:34:39,240 Some work done by The Wall Street Journal within the last couple of weeks. I'm not sure if you've read the article. 293 00:34:39,260 --> 00:34:50,660 You should. It's very interesting whereby they have, for the most part, presented at least the idea that the Syrian government was responsible, 294 00:34:50,990 --> 00:34:58,850 mistakenly used chemical weapons that had on a number of occasions used chemical weapons against the rebel rebel forces. 295 00:34:58,850 --> 00:35:03,680 But on a very small scale, what happens on August 21st was an accident. 296 00:35:03,890 --> 00:35:09,470 It shouldn't have have been as deadly as it was. But read the Wall Street Journal article. 297 00:35:09,890 --> 00:35:18,010 It's interesting. At the same time, you over the previous two and a half years, 298 00:35:18,010 --> 00:35:24,520 you had this message that I've been speaking about, that these areas of eastern Damascus, 299 00:35:25,090 --> 00:35:34,270 these areas under rebel control that had fallen out of Syrian government's control were bad spots that bad people live there. 300 00:35:34,510 --> 00:35:41,410 If you if you live there, you're you're anti-government, regardless of if you are or not. 301 00:35:42,160 --> 00:35:47,020 But there was a sense that bad things were always going to happen to people who live there. 302 00:35:47,470 --> 00:35:53,560 So that's say in Eastern Ghouta, where the chemical weapons were were used. 303 00:35:54,220 --> 00:36:00,490 People living in government controlled Syria were not perhaps that surprised because, you know, 304 00:36:00,850 --> 00:36:04,690 this had been they had known from personal experience that these were parts of 305 00:36:04,690 --> 00:36:08,739 the country and parts of Damascus that had been anti-government for a very, 306 00:36:08,740 --> 00:36:09,430 very long time. 307 00:36:09,850 --> 00:36:16,810 So this was, of course, the Syrian government's propaganda message was that this was the case, so that when the chemical weapon attacks happens, 308 00:36:17,620 --> 00:36:27,160 as I say, there wasn't a huge amount of surprise, I think from, again, the section of the Syrian society still living in government controlled areas. 309 00:36:30,900 --> 00:36:42,780 For me the most the regime's smartest move and we can discuss this further I think was to use the term Syria 310 00:36:43,170 --> 00:36:52,050 when it meant regime when it was so when when they would say things on Syrian TV that the regime was strong, 311 00:36:52,170 --> 00:36:57,210 that Syria was strong. Excuse me. They meant the regime they replaced. 312 00:36:59,550 --> 00:37:09,870 The regime, the governments with the war in Syria. And of course, for Syrians, their national identity, like any country, is a very important thing. 313 00:37:10,380 --> 00:37:18,210 But the Syrian regime managed to to use this word to use the word Syria to represent themselves. 314 00:37:19,020 --> 00:37:22,049 So if you were against Syria, you know, 315 00:37:22,050 --> 00:37:30,840 the international community is doing things against Syria that so on and so forth that there was going to be an attack on Syria when in fact, 316 00:37:30,840 --> 00:37:38,159 for us, the Westerners and foreigners, and that this was an attack in Syria at all, this was an attack. 317 00:37:38,160 --> 00:37:44,340 This would be an attack, at least on Syrian government, the Syrian regime, on Syrian government, military points. 318 00:37:44,340 --> 00:37:51,510 But of course, it back home Syrian army apparatus presented this as an attack on Syria. 319 00:37:52,080 --> 00:37:55,080 So they don't use, obviously, the word regime. They don't use the word governments. 320 00:37:56,640 --> 00:38:00,210 The word they use is Syria. This is a really key points, I think. 321 00:38:02,750 --> 00:38:07,220 I would argue that the regime has collapsed. 322 00:38:07,730 --> 00:38:19,700 There have been defections, that it's perhaps using only two divisions of the of the Syrian National Army, the fourth Division under Republican Guard. 323 00:38:21,020 --> 00:38:32,870 It has collapsed, but I think it's collapsed inwards. What you had today is a much more durable entity that is much more much better at fighting wars, 324 00:38:33,380 --> 00:38:41,750 less so at governance, at creating jobs and keeping people in jobs and stabilising the the the Syrian era. 325 00:38:42,110 --> 00:38:52,610 It's essentially, I think that the Syrian government has brought the country to where it is to this violence chapter. 326 00:38:52,760 --> 00:38:59,360 This is what the Syrian regime is good at. It's good at rounding up dissidents. 327 00:38:59,360 --> 00:39:03,510 It's good at torture. It's good at military issues. 328 00:39:03,920 --> 00:39:08,930 Not so much good at governance. Not so much good at creating jobs. Very good at propaganda, of course. 329 00:39:09,560 --> 00:39:12,680 So it's it's collapsed, I think, but collapsed in words. 330 00:39:14,480 --> 00:39:24,390 Why is this matter today? For people who still live in government controlled Syria. 331 00:39:27,730 --> 00:39:35,650 A they believe that there is a foreign conspiracy against their country, against Syria. 332 00:39:37,060 --> 00:39:43,840 B, they see the violence that has happens in other parts of the country as a result of the revolution in places that are controlled by rebels. 333 00:39:44,800 --> 00:39:49,120 It's a very dark place. There are some serious issues there. 334 00:39:49,150 --> 00:39:53,379 We can talk a bit more about that, I think, later. They don't want that. 335 00:39:53,380 --> 00:39:56,770 People still living in certain government controlled areas do not want that life. 336 00:39:57,940 --> 00:40:03,660 And C, of course, is the foreign jihadi elements. 337 00:40:03,670 --> 00:40:09,430 That's, you know, for for urban Syrians still in government controlled areas. 338 00:40:10,420 --> 00:40:13,990 They share little or nothing in common with they see people coming from the UK, 339 00:40:14,650 --> 00:40:20,920 from the states, from Canada, from Chechnya to fight a holy war in Syria. 340 00:40:21,250 --> 00:40:27,100 But these people in central Damascus, for people on the in the cities along the coast, 341 00:40:28,690 --> 00:40:34,390 for Christians, for the ordinary population, they have little or nothing in common. 342 00:40:34,810 --> 00:40:39,129 Of course, with these people. Many of these people go to nightclubs, money of the Syrians. 343 00:40:39,130 --> 00:40:50,170 And speaking of go to nightclubs, dress literally, learn English, learn French are, you know, well-travelled enough. 344 00:40:50,680 --> 00:40:58,839 So what they see when they see these people coming from all different countries to fight jihad, to blow up checkpoints and whatnot, you know, 345 00:40:58,840 --> 00:41:06,190 this is the third important issue that they they cannot identify with at all today, 346 00:41:06,790 --> 00:41:14,720 almost three years or approaching three years of the revolt slash civil war. 347 00:41:14,740 --> 00:41:21,010 There's a huge sense of fatigue, not just, you know, there's a different type of fatigue. 348 00:41:21,010 --> 00:41:25,870 I think in the rebel held areas, people are facing different issues there. 349 00:41:25,870 --> 00:41:32,770 But four in four populations still living under the Syrian government control is a tremendous sense of fatigue. 350 00:41:35,260 --> 00:41:46,030 This is likely to lead to less activism and likely to lead to fewer people supporting 351 00:41:47,200 --> 00:41:50,620 the revolution in any sense or seeing the revolution as a positive thing. 352 00:41:51,700 --> 00:41:57,339 But people today are more concerned with is, you know, again, in Damascus, 353 00:41:57,340 --> 00:42:01,959 that they're more concerned with with the mortars that are falling on their neighbourhoods than 354 00:42:01,960 --> 00:42:09,070 they are with the the international dimension and diplomacy surrounding the the broader conflict, 355 00:42:09,070 --> 00:42:15,690 I think. They have no time, they have no money, they have little electricity to be concerned by such issues. 356 00:42:15,700 --> 00:42:21,960 They're trying to get by day to day. They have seen how brutal the Syrian government is. 357 00:42:21,970 --> 00:42:26,140 They do not want to be involved in politics and they're essentially waiting it out. 358 00:42:31,600 --> 00:42:47,080 Couple of anecdotal points. Interestingly enough, in early 2011, I was granted a year long journalist visa by the Syrian Ministry for information. 359 00:42:48,010 --> 00:42:57,310 When you go to the Syrian Ministry for information in the Mizzi area of Damascus, you see essentially what the Syrian regime is about. 360 00:42:57,850 --> 00:42:59,590 It's an old, decrepit building. 361 00:43:01,870 --> 00:43:12,520 It's something that many Syrians associate with the regime as opposed to the emergent private sector that was developing in 2009, 2010 and early 2011. 362 00:43:14,380 --> 00:43:21,340 So you would go through the elevators don't work. You know, the building is not clean. 363 00:43:22,360 --> 00:43:32,170 You go upstairs. The half some of the employees are asleep, you know, others are drinking tea, smoking cigarettes don't appear to be doing much. 364 00:43:32,920 --> 00:43:41,499 So on one occasion, I went to the foreign media section where there was an employee I knew quite well and asked him, 365 00:43:41,500 --> 00:43:43,840 You know, I want to visit Homs, you've got to let me go. 366 00:43:43,840 --> 00:43:49,360 At that stage, there were the governments allowing groups of journalists from the Guardian, various organisations, 367 00:43:49,540 --> 00:43:55,120 to go, obviously in government controlled trips to Homs and Iran, various parts of the country. 368 00:43:56,620 --> 00:44:00,400 I wasn't allowed because I was a permanent member of the staff based in the city. 369 00:44:01,240 --> 00:44:05,139 Now, when I was in this office, I saw a bunch of English language newspapers, 370 00:44:05,140 --> 00:44:08,860 and at that stage it was quite difficult to get The Guardian in the Times, 371 00:44:09,250 --> 00:44:13,050 the International Herald Tribune, as it was known, and these kind of newspapers, 372 00:44:13,060 --> 00:44:16,350 they asked the employee, Can I take these weight to the Yeah, sure, no problem at all. 373 00:44:16,360 --> 00:44:26,280 So I took some of these newspapers away. I went to a café and opened up The Guardian, and there was a story about the account of a. 374 00:44:26,420 --> 00:44:33,380 Exactly some specific event, but it said something about how the Syrian regime forces had killed x number of people and whatnot. 375 00:44:33,390 --> 00:44:41,629 And under on this short paragraph have been underlined presumably by someone working in the Ministry of Information. 376 00:44:41,630 --> 00:44:45,230 So on one level you see this decrepit building. 377 00:44:45,230 --> 00:44:51,200 No one's working people there for, you know, jobs, for life kind of kind of thing. 378 00:44:52,430 --> 00:44:57,460 But underneath that, they're doing a job. 379 00:44:57,470 --> 00:45:03,020 They are seeing that The Guardian is writing very negative things about the Syrian regime. 380 00:45:03,260 --> 00:45:06,620 So it's something, you know, that's a. 381 00:45:07,450 --> 00:45:10,630 Important points like summing up. 382 00:45:10,990 --> 00:45:16,960 Mm hmm. I think there's little to no control in the hands of individual media organisations in Syria. 383 00:45:17,920 --> 00:45:27,910 Um, the, the, the news comes from Sana and goes to all the other various organised media organisations in Syria. 384 00:45:28,150 --> 00:45:29,080 That's how it works. 385 00:45:31,800 --> 00:45:39,390 Violence employed by the regime has silenced many of the silent majority, which we can discuss a bit more about to what extent that even exists. 386 00:45:41,550 --> 00:45:51,210 The Syrian government to complete control of the public sphere in the first 12 months or so and then changed its message to a case that it was a war. 387 00:45:51,450 --> 00:45:59,850 After about a year, 15 months or so, it was fighting foreign jihadists to control complete control of all public space. 388 00:46:02,370 --> 00:46:05,640 It changed the idea that a revolution was happening. 389 00:46:06,390 --> 00:46:09,000 It changed it from the guilty. 390 00:46:09,030 --> 00:46:19,290 That was revolts to to a war funded by Saudi Arabia, by Qatar, by Israel, even by Turkey, and overseen by the United States. 391 00:46:20,520 --> 00:46:22,470 And I think that's. Yes. Thank you very much.