1 00:00:02,230 --> 00:00:14,920 Great. Well, it's a wonderful opportunity we have today to have with us Professor Michael Moylan, who teaches philosophy at Marymount University. 2 00:00:15,250 --> 00:00:23,799 And I had a chance to chat him beforehand and we're particularly lucky because I would describe him as a philosopher who's a practical philosopher, 3 00:00:23,800 --> 00:00:28,190 someone who is really engaged in the policy world in a number of domains. 4 00:00:28,210 --> 00:00:38,200 So you may have come across his work in bioethics, for example, thinking about ethics as they apply to a variety of aspects of our lives. 5 00:00:39,430 --> 00:00:50,739 He has most recently written a book called Philosophy, An Innovative Introduction with Charles Johnson and a book Morality and Global Justice, 6 00:00:50,740 --> 00:00:54,700 which some of you may be familiar with justifications and applications, 7 00:00:54,970 --> 00:01:03,340 which also had part of it a reader in the morality and global justice reader that involved contributions from a number of scholars around the world. 8 00:01:04,090 --> 00:01:10,930 He was actually a fellow, interestingly, at the Centre for American Progress in 2007, for two years, 9 00:01:10,930 --> 00:01:17,440 where he worked on a number of issues in domestic American politics, as well as international issues. 10 00:01:18,160 --> 00:01:22,630 And he's here to talk to us today with a provocative title, This War Has a Meaning. 11 00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:28,300 So I will turn it over to Michael and I'm sure have lots of opportunities for questions. 12 00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:32,820 So there's actually four parts to this this talk. 13 00:01:32,830 --> 00:01:41,680 And I'm going to talk through the first two because I think that that they probably are less controversial and more people have written on them 14 00:01:42,010 --> 00:01:51,280 and I'm probably time doesn't get away after I read the last two the first two being on intrastate warfare and non-state sponsored terrorism, 15 00:01:52,060 --> 00:01:56,170 the third part being on robotic warfare and the last on cyber warfare. 16 00:01:57,550 --> 00:02:03,790 Okay. Traditionally, talk of war has been explained under the canon of just war theory. 17 00:02:04,780 --> 00:02:10,060 This paradigm envisions inter-state conflicts amongst sovereign nations. 18 00:02:10,630 --> 00:02:17,740 Since the end of World War two, this paradigm has stretched considerably until perhaps it is no longer accurate to 19 00:02:17,740 --> 00:02:24,370 describe intrastate and the new technological warfare of cyber and robotic warfare. 20 00:02:24,790 --> 00:02:32,060 So if that is the case, you see and meanings get stretched, then that's kind of the genesis of the title. 21 00:02:32,080 --> 00:02:37,600 That is war. As you know, it may have no meaning. 22 00:02:38,530 --> 00:02:45,640 So under their traditional paradigm, war is sort of to be this is what I'm going to take to be just for theory, for the purposes of the paper, 23 00:02:46,270 --> 00:02:51,190 an aggressive act by one state against the territory or sovereignty of another 24 00:02:51,190 --> 00:02:58,180 state for the purposes of gaining land resources or strategic tactical advantage, 25 00:02:58,840 --> 00:03:03,470 according to the internationally recognised rules and constraints governing actions. 26 00:03:03,850 --> 00:03:12,190 I bellum and in bello the attacking the state acts immorally because it caused the conflict. 27 00:03:13,240 --> 00:03:16,750 This is an important feature of the traditional paradigm respecting at balance. 28 00:03:17,260 --> 00:03:24,910 Attacking states who act aggressively with their military personnel out of their own interests in a might makes right move. 29 00:03:26,020 --> 00:03:33,099 I turn to be belligerent. Crowd credit credulous and credit is is a term I use from ancient Greek to espouse 30 00:03:33,100 --> 00:03:38,770 a theory of justice such that the successful exercise of power is self-justifying. 31 00:03:39,850 --> 00:03:45,130 So I've termed this, you know how in justice you have it to each according to little a slogan. 32 00:03:45,330 --> 00:03:53,580 That's how we try to remember theories of justice to each according to his ability to snatch it for himself is the slogan for the coronaries. 33 00:03:54,580 --> 00:04:00,610 I have argued elsewhere that such a worldview is unethical, but how far do you go with this assessment? 34 00:04:01,060 --> 00:04:10,210 General Sherman in the United States Civil War believed that once one party violated the bellum provisions that any colour options were open to him. 35 00:04:11,350 --> 00:04:16,570 But this is to mistake the difference between going to war and and conducting the war. 36 00:04:17,470 --> 00:04:22,390 Michael Walzer has that famous example where he compares Eisenhower and Rommel. 37 00:04:22,750 --> 00:04:29,510 And even though Rommel is part of the evil Nazis, he acts better than Eisenhower. 38 00:04:29,530 --> 00:04:34,930 In this particular instance, he cites. So they are quite distinct and need to be thought of differently. 39 00:04:35,560 --> 00:04:44,170 Another way we think of in the traditional paradigm is that the war is a go about according to rules and these rules have outcomes. 40 00:04:44,530 --> 00:04:51,040 Famous argument from Aristotle's politics goes like this war may be just or unjust. 41 00:04:51,880 --> 00:04:56,980 Premise two and just wars, virtue and excellence make for winning. 42 00:04:57,760 --> 00:05:01,630 Premise three Virtue and ethics are marks of mass. 43 00:05:02,940 --> 00:05:07,320 Premise four In just words losers are properly slaves. 44 00:05:07,330 --> 00:05:11,729 Inference from two and three sets premise an unjust wars, 45 00:05:11,730 --> 00:05:18,780 virtue and ethics may not account for winning inference for one and two Overall Conclusion In unjust wars. 46 00:05:18,780 --> 00:05:24,659 Slavery may also be unjust. So this is very controversial. 47 00:05:24,660 --> 00:05:30,570 It's often brought up as RSL slip up where he seems to be defending slavery. 48 00:05:30,960 --> 00:05:38,520 But he's thinking of this in terms of a consequence of warfare, which is more like an athletic event than we think of as warfare today. 49 00:05:38,880 --> 00:05:45,090 People, you know, got into shape. You know, battles can last a long time. 50 00:05:45,720 --> 00:05:52,650 If you think of, I don't know, rugby matches or American football, it might seem closer to what Aristotle had in mind. 51 00:05:53,100 --> 00:05:59,669 And in fact, technological advances, even the failings, was very controversial because as a tactical device, 52 00:05:59,670 --> 00:06:05,550 because of sort of this possibly cheating and giving the Greeks unfair advantage over the Persians. 53 00:06:06,780 --> 00:06:17,190 So his idea was that, you know, if you won, then you were clearly got some spoils, which for them included our seats over here, too, if you want. 54 00:06:17,260 --> 00:06:24,860 Don't feel anything. Okay? All right. No problem. So the winning side deserves to win, and they deserve all the spoils there. 55 00:06:24,880 --> 00:06:31,320 And so so the first part, which I'm talking through inter intrastate. 56 00:06:31,410 --> 00:06:34,590 So we're moving out of the interstate to the intrastate model. 57 00:06:35,970 --> 00:06:48,420 And since World War Two and especially since the 1990, the trend has been more towards intrastate warfare away from interstate warfare. 58 00:06:48,810 --> 00:06:57,450 And the Prio Institute that in Oslo where I've talked before, but not about warfare, actually, about gun control, 59 00:06:58,500 --> 00:07:07,170 they they've done a lot of statistics on this and they document how we have been moving in the world away from warfare. 60 00:07:07,170 --> 00:07:14,880 And they have interstate warfare to intrastate warfare and they have various statistical frames to put around this. 61 00:07:16,560 --> 00:07:24,540 So, for example, since 1946, the most war prone countries in interstate warfare are in order. 62 00:07:24,540 --> 00:07:28,110 And you might find this odd being it from the United Kingdom. 63 00:07:28,140 --> 00:07:33,030 The United Kingdom is number one with 21. Each time we went to our war, 64 00:07:33,270 --> 00:07:41,010 it counts as another episode and even small interventions like the Falkland Islands count as as a war under their statistics. 65 00:07:42,390 --> 00:07:48,300 France's number two at 19. And some of these also are post-colonial artefacts. 66 00:07:48,750 --> 00:07:57,629 I might mention the United States had 16 and Russia nine when we when we changed it to adding inter to 67 00:07:57,630 --> 00:08:05,340 intrastate warfare and those on behalf of supporting an intrastate intervention such as Korea or Vietnam, 68 00:08:05,340 --> 00:08:14,700 for example, things change. But in a very odd way, Burma comes out number one, 232. 69 00:08:15,990 --> 00:08:21,330 So obviously some of these interventions are just on bordering territories that that 70 00:08:21,330 --> 00:08:27,629 sometimes been separate and sometimes their nationality is is not in question. 71 00:08:27,630 --> 00:08:34,470 But now we're linking the two together that's it's there for any almost military action outside of their own as well, 72 00:08:34,560 --> 00:08:39,570 actually, any thing that would not come as a police action in their in their country. 73 00:08:39,570 --> 00:08:44,040 So anytime you bring out the troops and some some countries don't make a distinction between 74 00:08:44,040 --> 00:08:51,990 using the military for for keeping the peace and using the military in a war situation. 75 00:08:52,110 --> 00:08:59,100 And they're going to get a lot of ticks on the on the register. So that's probably why Burma is number one. 76 00:08:59,910 --> 00:09:05,370 India is number two at 156 and United Kingdom sound sounded 77. 77 00:09:05,370 --> 00:09:10,800 I've skipped a few. The USA is at 49 in Iran, closely behind at 48. 78 00:09:12,240 --> 00:09:21,000 Okay. So if we accept the statistics as accurate and there are several of these, what do we what do we make of it? 79 00:09:21,090 --> 00:09:23,550 Well, remember, this is the standard paradigm we start out with. 80 00:09:23,760 --> 00:09:30,990 One state invades another state of their territory, sovereignty for the purposes of of gain of some sort. 81 00:09:32,190 --> 00:09:40,379 Now we have instances of violence within the state, and it's it takes on a different character. 82 00:09:40,380 --> 00:09:49,500 If this is where war is moving and the trends seem to be that way, that traditional paradigm seems to need some alterations. 83 00:09:49,950 --> 00:09:54,959 Now, the traditional paradigm, when you have full blown civil war are certainly inefficient. 84 00:09:54,960 --> 00:09:59,340 That certainly envisions something like guerrilla war moving to civil war. 85 00:09:59,850 --> 00:10:01,470 But what if we're talking about. 86 00:10:01,940 --> 00:10:09,560 Intrastate violence that doesn't have the taking over of the country as its goal, but has maybe some sort of other social purpose, 87 00:10:10,010 --> 00:10:18,560 such as ethnic cleansing or a social purpose of of identifying issues with the particular group, 88 00:10:18,830 --> 00:10:25,040 getting rid of the group so that you can skirt other forms of of sovereignty. 89 00:10:25,040 --> 00:10:28,520 And, and when you're day by getting rid of the people who are against you, 90 00:10:29,810 --> 00:10:35,390 these are these are possible images of the interesting future of conventional warfare. 91 00:10:35,750 --> 00:10:41,960 And what they would probably need for war to maintain its meaning is additions to 92 00:10:42,080 --> 00:10:47,090 its inclusions of these sorts of realities into the definitions we put forth. 93 00:10:47,810 --> 00:10:52,969 And so that's that's the first category. 94 00:10:52,970 --> 00:10:59,030 And second category, which I also talk through, is non-state sponsored terrorism. 95 00:11:00,050 --> 00:11:08,540 And these are there are several varieties of this. You know, it's we're not so so what we're we're making that out of bounds is, 96 00:11:08,750 --> 00:11:16,970 you know, the late Moammar Gadhafi, who had a notoriously state sponsored terrorism, 97 00:11:17,300 --> 00:11:24,680 you know, almost close to home here with the, you know, the Lockerbie bombing and so forth on where those are out of bounds. 98 00:11:24,680 --> 00:11:30,890 We're not going to talk about those because those could be construed as attacks by a state against another state. 99 00:11:31,880 --> 00:11:36,740 So instead, what we're looking at are are different group such as well, 100 00:11:36,740 --> 00:11:44,090 one would be illegal activity in the United States, especially southern United States and Mexico, for example. 101 00:11:44,540 --> 00:11:55,790 We have a lot of illegal drug activity and terrorism by the these drug cartels against peoples in Mexico and the United States. 102 00:11:56,180 --> 00:12:05,749 And their purpose is to create a feeling of terror in the population so that they won't turn them in so that they can exist carte blanche. 103 00:12:05,750 --> 00:12:14,809 This worked earlier in the United States during the Prohibition era by, you know, the Sicilian Mafia and other groups who were involved in terrorism. 104 00:12:14,810 --> 00:12:17,540 And it worked. Then they they try to work now. 105 00:12:18,740 --> 00:12:27,830 So we've got criminals who are breaking the law of the country using terroristic tactics so that they can operate with impunity. 106 00:12:29,570 --> 00:12:33,560 Okay. And so far, that's been fairly successful in the United States. 107 00:12:35,150 --> 00:12:37,190 The drug trade is greater than ever. 108 00:12:37,730 --> 00:12:46,220 And despite what various politicians like Rick Perry, governor of Texas, might say, and they don't really have a handle on it much at all. 109 00:12:48,080 --> 00:12:54,410 Okay, then we have other ones that the groups that seem to have other motivations, some of them are political, 110 00:12:54,650 --> 00:13:05,330 some of them seem to be just to wreak havoc on the of presiding society back to the red brigade in Europe during the seventies. 111 00:13:07,160 --> 00:13:13,580 They were very prominent in Central Europe, Germany, and they didn't want to take over Germany. 112 00:13:13,580 --> 00:13:17,510 They weren't they didn't want to become like a guerrilla outfit. They didn't want to change the government. 113 00:13:17,900 --> 00:13:28,010 They were interested in creating havoc. They they were angry, disaffected, hard to know what their motivations are. 114 00:13:28,340 --> 00:13:36,560 We've had lots of different accounts, even even the Baader Meinhof group gave different accounts every time someone would question them in prison. 115 00:13:37,280 --> 00:13:39,620 I don't really know if they know why they were doing it. 116 00:13:40,700 --> 00:13:47,210 We had in the United States, the Symbionese Liberation Army and others that were acting in a similar fashion. 117 00:13:49,130 --> 00:13:53,630 Today we have a lot of splinter groups in the Middle East, such as al Qaeda. 118 00:13:54,560 --> 00:13:58,730 Why do why do they operate? It's difficult to know. 119 00:13:59,240 --> 00:14:07,640 It doesn't seem that they want to establish their own government, doesn't seem like they want to create, say, a new government in Afghanistan. 120 00:14:08,360 --> 00:14:12,980 How do you see al Qaeda being separate from Taliban who obviously do want to establish another government, 121 00:14:13,370 --> 00:14:17,480 but they seem to be interested in wreaking havoc? 122 00:14:17,490 --> 00:14:24,920 And let's see, how is it a policy briefing at Georgetown University about two weeks ago? 123 00:14:25,670 --> 00:14:31,670 And they were talking about, you know, the effects of the Arab Spring and so forth and what would happen. 124 00:14:32,060 --> 00:14:38,240 And, you know, Tunisia sounded really great because I'm not an expert on the Middle East, 125 00:14:38,240 --> 00:14:45,469 but people who are giving testimony were and they said that they have lots of family relations, 126 00:14:45,470 --> 00:14:51,740 that the people they have a lot of cronyism and they thought that they could have stability 127 00:14:51,740 --> 00:14:56,810 from all these family relations and cronyism in a way that Egypt and Libya might not. 128 00:14:56,930 --> 00:15:01,280 And Libya be especially problematic because many of the tribes. 129 00:15:01,460 --> 00:15:08,060 Rival factions didn't like each other. And and this this happens in the post-colonial world, as you know. 130 00:15:08,060 --> 00:15:18,710 And when we left, we see I'm not the colonialists, but I aligning myself to whatever powers they are for the purposes of this set of comments, 131 00:15:19,040 --> 00:15:23,660 what left these countries, oftentimes they created artificial boundaries. 132 00:15:23,960 --> 00:15:29,720 Well, the most notorious was Nigeria. They had many tried to put together that hated each other. 133 00:15:29,720 --> 00:15:32,900 And they still hate each other. Why? Why? 134 00:15:33,110 --> 00:15:36,950 When they broke up the country and left, why not leave? 135 00:15:37,310 --> 00:15:41,330 47 different countries then one country in which everyone hates each other. 136 00:15:41,570 --> 00:15:48,200 Remember in perpetual peace fight manual card. He said that if you have smaller countries, even if they do make war, 137 00:15:48,200 --> 00:15:53,570 it's less problematic that you can have less havoc because they don't have the manpower to do it. 138 00:15:54,270 --> 00:15:56,780 So, you know, and around the world, 139 00:15:56,780 --> 00:16:06,200 the post-colonial system often left countries that were artificially created just because there were deals between France and Germany and and Britain. 140 00:16:06,320 --> 00:16:09,800 And they said, well, we'll do it this way. We'll take this, you take that. 141 00:16:10,190 --> 00:16:15,320 And they're kind of artificial constructs. Sometimes they follow rivers, sometimes they follow mountains. 142 00:16:15,560 --> 00:16:18,770 Sometimes they just followed whatever the people in the world wanted to do. 143 00:16:20,240 --> 00:16:27,860 So this may have something to do with the United States supported terrorism in May linked to the first category of the intrastate violence. 144 00:16:27,860 --> 00:16:37,160 Again, because creating a violent act can be sometimes the only way that some group of people know of of making a statement. 145 00:16:37,790 --> 00:16:44,360 It's a rather odd statement, especially if you kill yourself in doing it, but it seems to be a reality on the ground. 146 00:16:44,690 --> 00:16:54,830 And another change or addition to our understanding of what war is now so that war can have meaning as we talk about it going forth. 147 00:16:56,880 --> 00:17:01,870 And you know, Tim McVeigh is one of these cases that you can talk. 148 00:17:01,900 --> 00:17:05,760 I've talked through that session, so just talk through it. Okay. 149 00:17:05,760 --> 00:17:07,229 So you're probably more interested here. 150 00:17:07,230 --> 00:17:16,800 And I think in the last two categories, robotic warfare and cyber warfare, since there's been lots of changes and not much has been done policy wise. 151 00:17:18,360 --> 00:17:27,239 So let's consider there are many sorts of robots that that perform more duties and 152 00:17:27,240 --> 00:17:31,920 a lot of them are kind of duties that that you wouldn't think of as offensive, 153 00:17:31,920 --> 00:17:37,140 like robots that defuse bombs or robots to do reconnaissance work. 154 00:17:37,530 --> 00:17:46,649 And they have robots sent from the Navy that go out in little tiny ships or SUVs, and they go try to find out who's where. 155 00:17:46,650 --> 00:17:54,300 And they can even attack if they wanted to. But they rarely are used. The ones that are used most right now are the drones. 156 00:17:55,620 --> 00:18:04,980 And it's beginning of the Gulf War or Gulf War is, as you saying, the US had really no robotic warfare capability. 157 00:18:05,490 --> 00:18:13,650 Since the 2003 invasion of Iraq, the number has grown to 7000 unmanned aircraft and 12,000 robotic drone vehicles. 158 00:18:14,580 --> 00:18:21,719 So if we a singer has written quite a bit about this so far, except his connection to robotic warfare, 159 00:18:21,720 --> 00:18:31,710 to Moore's Law and in computer science, that is, every 18 months memory will double and computer power just keeps exponentially growing. 160 00:18:32,130 --> 00:18:40,950 We can imagine, since these robots are run by computers, what the future will bring many, many, many war vets. 161 00:18:41,640 --> 00:18:45,240 So. Peter Singer that's not a, you know, Australian. 162 00:18:45,240 --> 00:18:54,090 Peter Singer has written about the origins of robots and he claims and I have nothing to say against it. 163 00:18:54,390 --> 00:18:58,920 That's Karel Capek, who invented this term. 164 00:18:59,640 --> 00:19:08,310 And from a Czech word in a play in which you had mechanical servants doing the bidding of their masters. 165 00:19:08,970 --> 00:19:13,410 So we're thinking of robots from that. And I guess the word is robotics. 166 00:19:14,400 --> 00:19:19,530 And they were going to lead a peasant revolution, I guess think of this in kind of Stalinist way. 167 00:19:20,100 --> 00:19:28,340 And we've had spinoffs of this, like, you know, The Terminator and The Matrix, popular movies. 168 00:19:28,890 --> 00:19:33,270 And people have thought about what happens as these robots develop. 169 00:19:34,140 --> 00:19:42,720 And, you know, you have the side argument at some point, if the robots have a capacity to reason, 170 00:19:42,870 --> 00:19:48,470 if, however we define that we have to have a good definition, then they may. 171 00:19:48,480 --> 00:19:56,790 And if you have a moral theory that grounds respect in ability to reason and should have, say, for Kant and myself, 172 00:19:57,450 --> 00:20:04,830 then you're going to have a problem because your robots have more respect as well and they become another form of life. 173 00:20:06,360 --> 00:20:12,720 Okay, so that's down the road and most of my responses are going to be before that. 174 00:20:12,870 --> 00:20:16,710 So because robots don't make any sense if you think of them as alive, 175 00:20:16,950 --> 00:20:20,550 because then there's no real great advantage of using robots as opposed to people. 176 00:20:20,760 --> 00:20:26,460 If robots are considered to have moral status, the big advantage of robots is we think they have no moral status. 177 00:20:27,060 --> 00:20:33,330 It's just a little machine that you throw in there and it gets crunched off right as a loss. 178 00:20:34,410 --> 00:20:38,640 Now we're thinking about this in the terms of lowering the bar, about going to war. 179 00:20:39,060 --> 00:20:46,800 All right. Being from the United States, I've seen this happen by by stages. 180 00:20:47,550 --> 00:20:53,640 Richard Milhous Nixon, who given the Vietnam War from Lyndon Baines Johnson, 181 00:20:54,090 --> 00:21:00,270 when Nixon was elected in 1968 on the pledge, just like Eisenhower, I will get you out of Vietnam. 182 00:21:01,110 --> 00:21:07,499 Well, Nixon felt that one of the problems of the Vietnam War handling it as a policy 183 00:21:07,500 --> 00:21:12,360 issue was that we had the draft in the United States and anybody could go. 184 00:21:12,990 --> 00:21:16,530 I mean, had the Vietnam War lasted eight months longer, I would have gone. 185 00:21:16,650 --> 00:21:22,830 I had number 13 and the draft. And they thankfully for me, for me that the war ended when it did. 186 00:21:23,700 --> 00:21:27,300 But every son of a millionaire, son of a factory worker, 187 00:21:27,450 --> 00:21:32,730 everyone was subject to the draft and no one could get out of the draft except for very specific exemptions. 188 00:21:33,090 --> 00:21:35,969 And there weren't too many of them, really. Okay. 189 00:21:35,970 --> 00:21:43,500 So that meant that, you know, if everybody sun at that time and still today in the United States, only men can be drafted. 190 00:21:43,500 --> 00:21:48,570 Males I if you're if your son can be drafted you have an interest in the war. 191 00:21:49,410 --> 00:21:53,580 Now Nixon create the volunteer army to get rid of that objection. 192 00:21:54,120 --> 00:21:58,110 Now you say, Oh, everybody. The Army wants to be in the Army. 193 00:21:58,440 --> 00:22:03,540 Why should I care? They've made a choice, assumed risk. They know the risks that were involved. 194 00:22:03,750 --> 00:22:06,780 They did it to help their education. Or they did it because they. 195 00:22:07,020 --> 00:22:09,840 They they like being soldiers or some other reason. 196 00:22:10,230 --> 00:22:17,490 Therefore, if something happens to them, I don't have an obligation for empathy for them because they chose this as their career. 197 00:22:17,520 --> 00:22:26,340 Knowing what could happen to them, that lowered the bar significantly and made it possible for the certainly the two Bush wars, 198 00:22:26,760 --> 00:22:32,610 Afghanistan War and the Iraq war to be a push with very little opposition in the United States. 199 00:22:32,880 --> 00:22:36,690 It would have been a far different thing if the draft had still existed. 200 00:22:37,560 --> 00:22:41,610 The second thing is paying for your wars since the Vietnam War. 201 00:22:41,820 --> 00:22:50,340 Lyndon Johnson famously talked about guns and butter. That is, we can fight the war and we can have economic growth at the same time. 202 00:22:50,580 --> 00:22:57,960 We can have a war and not pay for it. This was also famous at the same time, George W Bush. 203 00:22:58,860 --> 00:23:02,190 He cut taxes at the same time he was going to war. 204 00:23:02,310 --> 00:23:09,060 So instead of levying taxes, which had been American history, the income tax, for example, was developed to pay for the Civil War. 205 00:23:09,540 --> 00:23:15,180 World War One, World War Two, and so forth. We had special taxes were going to war and higher expenditure. 206 00:23:15,390 --> 00:23:20,340 We need to all suffer everybody, even if you don't have a son or daughter going to war. 207 00:23:20,640 --> 00:23:26,370 Everybody has to pay for it. That was another bar to make it harder to go to war. 208 00:23:26,580 --> 00:23:29,940 If you know you're going to have to pay for it, you'll be less likely to go to war. 209 00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:34,590 So we have the draft and we have no taxes. These are examples of lowering the bar. 210 00:23:35,070 --> 00:23:38,850 Now, if you don't have to eat the same people, that's lowering the bar even more. 211 00:23:38,850 --> 00:23:41,490 Right? If you only have to send robots to war, 212 00:23:41,670 --> 00:23:47,940 it makes it much easier to go to war because you're probably less concerned about the death of a robot or the destruction of oil. 213 00:23:47,940 --> 00:23:50,100 But we don't even like to use the word death of robots. Right? 214 00:23:50,460 --> 00:23:56,100 If someone said to you, Oh, I got mad and broke my singer sewing machine or my Hoover vacuum cleaner, 215 00:23:56,460 --> 00:23:59,850 would you say, Oh, you terrible person, you broke your vacuum cleaner. 216 00:24:00,330 --> 00:24:05,040 My, I'm going to shun you. I'm not going to talk to you anymore. And to show my moral displeasure at your conduct. 217 00:24:05,820 --> 00:24:14,040 That'd be a highly unusual response when we have very little since we're not even talking about those smart machines I mentioned a moment ago. 218 00:24:14,450 --> 00:24:17,820 We assume that there's no moral respect at all given to machines. 219 00:24:18,300 --> 00:24:24,690 Therefore, if only machines are fighting or doing a great deal of fighting, the bar drops down. 220 00:24:25,740 --> 00:24:31,020 When when Americans were flying manned missions against al Qaeda, 221 00:24:31,650 --> 00:24:36,630 there was some concern that that's occasionally if a pilot might be shot down and killed, even worse, 222 00:24:36,960 --> 00:24:43,320 shot down and not killed, because then they would show on the Internet pictures of them being tortured and and saying, 223 00:24:43,320 --> 00:24:47,820 you know, I don't like Mickey Mouse or something. You know, that's probably the worst thing you can say in America. 224 00:24:49,800 --> 00:25:04,630 Okay. So this is this is this is a the first change of just war theory is that the idea of going to war becomes different because of this lower bar. 225 00:25:04,650 --> 00:25:08,850 The second is reliability and civilian casualties. 226 00:25:10,050 --> 00:25:15,390 This becomes a more complicated question because it gets mixed up with the drones already in service in the United States. 227 00:25:15,390 --> 00:25:23,190 In 2009, as many as 709 deaths were attributed to drone strikes in Pakistan, and at least one third of these were civilian. 228 00:25:24,210 --> 00:25:27,480 That's a pretty high collateral damage rate, isn't it? 229 00:25:28,680 --> 00:25:34,590 This track record is when systems were operating well, but there have been cases where technology did not perform as promised. 230 00:25:35,010 --> 00:25:43,770 For example, in 1988, a Navy cruiser using automatic detection system in the Persian Gulf shot down an Iranian passenger plane, killing 200 people. 231 00:25:44,160 --> 00:25:50,310 In 2007, the first batch of armed tank robots called Swords fired their guns on friendly forces. 232 00:25:51,720 --> 00:25:58,500 A crime in Iran did target a U.S. helicopter, incorrectly identifying it as an enemy rocket fire. 233 00:25:59,190 --> 00:26:06,780 Singer also reports that swords and fields inexplicably began whirling around chaotically during a demonstrate field demonstration, 234 00:26:07,230 --> 00:26:12,850 firing all over the place instead of an attractive target. On the other side, there are clear advantages. 235 00:26:12,870 --> 00:26:19,980 For example, a drone can accelerate past the speed that a human operator can in an aeroplane because a human operator would pass out. 236 00:26:20,550 --> 00:26:24,120 In other words, it can accelerate and get these speeds that a human couldn't. 237 00:26:24,630 --> 00:26:31,260 That makes it more effective in the field. It can also execute evasive manoeuvres that humans can't. 238 00:26:32,310 --> 00:26:37,980 These planes are also more ecological because they can be programmed to fly at maximum fuel efficiency. 239 00:26:38,730 --> 00:26:43,980 So these are advantages, balance to the disadvantages I just mentioned. 240 00:26:45,540 --> 00:26:49,170 Okay, then. Then we never say who is. 241 00:26:49,620 --> 00:26:57,269 Who are operating the systems. Traditionally we have warriors fighting warriors and just war theory that drones are 242 00:26:57,270 --> 00:27:03,330 often and almost actually always operated by the CIA who are civilian employees. 243 00:27:04,020 --> 00:27:07,680 So we have civilians out of the theatre of a battle. 244 00:27:08,250 --> 00:27:11,610 Sometimes there's a big place in Nevada where they operate. 245 00:27:12,390 --> 00:27:20,250 Nevada is a western state in the United States, and they're in Nevada controlling planes that are going to Pakistan. 246 00:27:21,000 --> 00:27:25,350 So you have civilians running planes that are in Pakistan. 247 00:27:26,370 --> 00:27:34,920 Again, you can either change your idea that that that warfare makes a sharp distinction between civilians and military. 248 00:27:35,790 --> 00:27:39,480 You can change the CIA and only have military people flying these. 249 00:27:40,140 --> 00:27:48,780 If you if you care about the theatre of engagement, you can make them right off the Pakistan in like an aircraft carrier or something. 250 00:27:48,810 --> 00:27:50,520 I mean, there are ways you could fix it, 251 00:27:50,940 --> 00:27:58,020 but at present there there seems to be a kind of a divergence from traditional understanding of how warfare is conducted. 252 00:27:59,040 --> 00:28:05,820 So who's operating the systems is another challenge to robotic warfare now. 253 00:28:06,240 --> 00:28:15,090 Somewhat demur and say that that only those civilians who are engaged in the warfare is lose their immunity because we're concerned, 254 00:28:15,090 --> 00:28:20,640 you know, if it's civilians are engaged in the conflict. Have we given up civilian immunity for all our civilians? 255 00:28:21,420 --> 00:28:25,590 Some would say, you know, the traditionally thought of people working in munitions factory. 256 00:28:25,740 --> 00:28:30,120 Only those civilians lose their immunity and the rest of the civilians retain their immunity. 257 00:28:30,270 --> 00:28:35,250 You could say that only those civilians who are operating the drones lose their immunity and all the rest don't. 258 00:28:36,210 --> 00:28:43,620 Yeah, that's maybe a patch, but there might be a real conceptual problem here by bringing in computer operators. 259 00:28:43,620 --> 00:28:49,620 And that's why they're using the civilians, because I guess that's our art and our intelligence agency. 260 00:28:49,620 --> 00:28:57,720 We have some of the best computer people. They're they're brought in and they're brought in sometimes at very low oversight level. 261 00:28:57,990 --> 00:29:01,680 There's one operator is looking at maybe 30 aircraft at once, 262 00:29:01,920 --> 00:29:05,309 and then they have a way to get their attention and they can quickly divert to 263 00:29:05,310 --> 00:29:09,210 another operator and put all this attention on plane number 32 or something. 264 00:29:10,500 --> 00:29:18,210 This is this is certainly possible, but it really it has been done kind of haphazardly. 265 00:29:18,570 --> 00:29:26,130 We haven't really thought about the ethics of war and how we're creating arranging this robotic warfare with the drones. 266 00:29:27,780 --> 00:29:34,290 Okay. The last subsection in our trouble on the drones here is fairness. 267 00:29:36,420 --> 00:29:40,500 Sometimes people think, like General Sherman, that fairness isn't something we talk about with war. 268 00:29:41,130 --> 00:29:44,730 But there might be an issue that's at the moment in this essay, 269 00:29:44,730 --> 00:29:48,750 there are 40 countries that have some level of robotic warfare, including Iran and China. 270 00:29:49,590 --> 00:29:53,669 But the United States has the most developed drones in the world and land tanks 271 00:29:53,670 --> 00:29:57,450 devouring robots and unmanned vessels for naval reconnaissance and attack. 272 00:29:59,340 --> 00:30:06,030 So what do you have if if you have a warfare situation, you have you think you can fight and have a response. 273 00:30:06,030 --> 00:30:07,050 And the traditional theory, 274 00:30:07,290 --> 00:30:17,070 what if there's no longer any response capability because you have such a technological advantage that that you cease to be able to properly respond. 275 00:30:17,550 --> 00:30:21,210 Does this change the traditional paradigm of what war should be? 276 00:30:22,860 --> 00:30:29,990 For example, say say you had troops, even if the troops were very strong coming in, say, like the Nazis coming in to Belgium or something, 277 00:30:31,170 --> 00:30:37,260 you still had the theoretical possibility of acting against them, fighting against them. 278 00:30:37,800 --> 00:30:40,890 You might choose not to because you think of a senseless loss of life. 279 00:30:41,370 --> 00:30:50,310 But if you have these drones, you have a machine and that the humans involved in Nevada, 280 00:30:50,520 --> 00:30:57,900 how could you possibly unless you sent a sleuth group into Nevada to try to blow up their their system, how could you fight against them? 281 00:30:58,500 --> 00:31:03,930 It seems that at least it stretches the conventional understanding of what retaliation is. 282 00:31:07,140 --> 00:31:11,010 Okay, let's let's move on to the last section. 283 00:31:11,150 --> 00:31:15,810 I skipped the rest of the robot section, and we'll think about cyber warfare. 284 00:31:15,970 --> 00:31:23,670 Okay. So the traditional paradigm here is alter because killing, though it may occur, is not primary. 285 00:31:25,470 --> 00:31:32,980 Attribution is not always clear who commits the acts like the Stuxnet virus, the conceptualisation of attacks in response. 286 00:31:33,000 --> 00:31:40,290 Again, these further clarification. So alterations first is a change in the normal way we think of an act of war. 287 00:31:40,710 --> 00:31:44,790 Earlier I suggested that it was an aggressive act by one state against the territory of cyber. 288 00:31:44,980 --> 00:31:51,490 Another state for the purpose of gaining land resources or strategic advantage according to internationally recognised rules and constraints. 289 00:31:52,330 --> 00:31:59,979 Well, the traditional understanding requires aggressive act of one state against a territory or sovereignty another and a loss of gain, 290 00:31:59,980 --> 00:32:06,610 land, resources or strategic advantage. And both of these are called into question by cyber warfare. 291 00:32:09,160 --> 00:32:16,930 So traditionally you for example, the delivery system is either via the Internet or the agency of a fifth column person who 292 00:32:16,930 --> 00:32:22,840 has malware on a flash drive and which was the probable launch of the black spider worm. 293 00:32:23,600 --> 00:32:30,070 So so among the attacks, agents we have, our viruses generally wouldn't be used for warfare. 294 00:32:30,080 --> 00:32:34,300 It's malware that attaches itself to a file program or email and replicates. 295 00:32:35,170 --> 00:32:42,850 The only time they use this is when they want to overload a site. They would sometimes attack a site and shut it down because it replicates so much. 296 00:32:42,870 --> 00:32:49,180 The site can't hold it. And if it's an important site, there are some sites that could really hurt a country if you shut them down. 297 00:32:49,990 --> 00:32:56,800 As silly as it might seem, if you shut down Amazon.com, you've altered the United States commerce in some significant ways. 298 00:32:58,060 --> 00:33:01,360 The second or more interesting one is the worm. 299 00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:09,490 It's a free program that can be more targeted, like the max worm that was used against Iran by either Israel, the United States, or both. 300 00:33:10,000 --> 00:33:16,300 That's our best guess. This might be the malware of choice in the near term for cyber war arsenals. 301 00:33:18,160 --> 00:33:22,200 Now, if you have an Internet system, then you need an insider. 302 00:33:22,210 --> 00:33:23,770 That's what I call fifth column person, 303 00:33:23,920 --> 00:33:28,990 somebody who's going to come in and infect the system from the inside because it's not available from the outside. 304 00:33:29,410 --> 00:33:32,950 And this is, of course, the what they did for the nuclear system in Iran. 305 00:33:34,930 --> 00:33:38,710 Okay. So a third would be the Trojan horse. 306 00:33:39,010 --> 00:33:42,129 So like the worm, it's not self-replicating, though. 307 00:33:42,130 --> 00:33:48,940 It's not as easily detectable because it kind of comes in on a time delay and it can be a slip 308 00:33:48,940 --> 00:33:54,040 under firewall protections because of this and can be also delivered into Internet systems. 309 00:33:55,210 --> 00:34:03,220 So and sometimes you mix the two. So, for example, in 2000, Israel disabled the public websites of Hezbollah and the Palestinian National Authority. 310 00:34:03,550 --> 00:34:11,350 In 2001, because of a maritime dispute dispute, China launched an attack against a California electric plant that caused the grid to shut down. 311 00:34:12,130 --> 00:34:18,930 In the case instead. Next, the worm target was a nuclear power plant that intelligence said was being converted to create nuclear weapons. 312 00:34:19,400 --> 00:34:27,370 And the goal was to disable. And it's worked. However, in other cases, we sometimes mixed the two warfare's. 313 00:34:27,370 --> 00:34:34,420 And September 1927, Israel launched a cyber attack against the radar and anti-aircraft devices in Syria. 314 00:34:34,900 --> 00:34:39,400 Then this manoeuvre was followed by the Israelis successfully bombing a nuclear 315 00:34:39,400 --> 00:34:42,520 facility that might have been on the verge of creating nuclear weapons. 316 00:34:42,760 --> 00:34:49,480 So they first got rid of the anti aircraft radar and then they sent their planes in so they wouldn't be shot down or detected. 317 00:34:50,830 --> 00:34:59,440 And one could imagine the air traffic systems that could be attacked and civilian loss of life occurring, 318 00:35:00,220 --> 00:35:09,340 because many times you have dual use radar systems and because you may have the intent of of of hurting military anti aircraft, 319 00:35:09,580 --> 00:35:15,010 but because they can't protect civilian planes, civilian planes go down and there's civilian loss of life. 320 00:35:15,970 --> 00:35:21,730 Electric grids could disrupt fire, police and hospitals and create domestic havoc. 321 00:35:22,120 --> 00:35:29,530 Again, civilian repercussions, food stores, sewage plants, water purification could all be affected. 322 00:35:30,160 --> 00:35:37,330 Or what if there was a cyber attack on the New York Stock Exchange, forcing it to, you know, go down to whatever the break neck levels? 323 00:35:37,330 --> 00:35:40,450 They do have automatic levels. They stopped trading at a certain point. 324 00:35:40,690 --> 00:35:48,729 But you can imagine a concerted attack in which you could cause significant economic havoc no matter what's a delivery device, 325 00:35:48,730 --> 00:35:57,160 attacks on electric grids where the stock market would have wide ranging effects that would blur military and civilian non-combatant targets. 326 00:35:58,180 --> 00:36:02,590 Okay, how about attribution and target distinction? 327 00:36:03,130 --> 00:36:10,180 Attribution is one of the toughest things because of the Internet and because internet is is devoted to privacy, 328 00:36:10,900 --> 00:36:14,830 we don't really know who is starting the attack. 329 00:36:15,070 --> 00:36:22,180 That's why we even with that the worm, with the flash drive, they have no idea for sure who did that. 330 00:36:22,570 --> 00:36:31,120 This is maybe one of the worst things about cyber warfare is that we we wouldn't be able to attribute who is committing the aggression. 331 00:36:32,560 --> 00:36:35,890 And because the world over is is a grid, 332 00:36:36,790 --> 00:36:44,200 your ability to be neutral in war can be violated because we could go right across your country and without your permission. 333 00:36:45,490 --> 00:36:50,080 So there's a number of great challenges in cyber warfare that that need to be addressed. 334 00:36:50,530 --> 00:36:58,930 One way that we can do it, make a great change would be to change the way in which computer war computers operate. 335 00:36:59,560 --> 00:37:04,720 If computers had a device that would signal who they are and where they are. 336 00:37:05,830 --> 00:37:07,590 The privacy would be lost in the Internet. 337 00:37:07,600 --> 00:37:13,150 And I know a lot of people love the privacy on the Internet, and it's one of the things that they think is most valuable, 338 00:37:13,660 --> 00:37:19,390 but it's also that which can create the biggest problems and we can connect this to cyber warfare. 339 00:37:20,440 --> 00:37:22,930 In my Blackwell series, Public Philosophy, 340 00:37:23,380 --> 00:37:31,720 I've got a guy over two in a book on this very topic of evil and the Internet and what privacy has to do with bad things that occur on the Internet. 341 00:37:32,800 --> 00:37:42,850 A way to, again, to solve this sense technologically possible, I've been told, is to identify, give up Internet privacy and identify it. 342 00:37:42,850 --> 00:37:46,000 Whatever you do can be tracked back to you or your computer at least. 343 00:37:47,230 --> 00:37:54,880 Okay. So we can see that the target distinction we don't know. 344 00:37:54,910 --> 00:37:58,780 You know, we can't say we're necessarily attacking military targets. 345 00:37:58,960 --> 00:38:02,140 Attribution of who did it. Territory, neutrality. 346 00:38:02,620 --> 00:38:07,660 These are all ways in which we have a problem with the traditional theory. 347 00:38:07,840 --> 00:38:13,390 It renders meaningless the traditional understanding of war. 348 00:38:13,750 --> 00:38:21,050 So in our search, in this paper to find a meaning to war, we can look at one more problem in cyber warfare, and that's attack and response. 349 00:38:21,790 --> 00:38:29,560 There's certainly two ways we can imagine this in cyber warfare, cyber attack, cyber response, if we knew who did it and we attack back in kind. 350 00:38:30,340 --> 00:38:35,890 But it becomes more complicated if we think of this, say you don't have the capability of a cyber response. 351 00:38:36,040 --> 00:38:40,209 What if you have a conventional response to a cyber attack? What if we could say attribution? 352 00:38:40,210 --> 00:38:45,160 You make a mistake and you kill lots of people in a country that really didn't do it because you had prejudice, 353 00:38:45,160 --> 00:38:49,270 you said, Oh, yes, I'm sure they did it. I'm sure it was the Iranians. 354 00:38:49,270 --> 00:38:55,089 They did it right. They they they committed this cyber attack and and so forth. 355 00:38:55,090 --> 00:39:01,990 Or if you're in the Middle East and you might say Israel did it to us and we know Israel had to do it because we're enemies. 356 00:39:02,000 --> 00:39:09,220 The state of Israel, you can imagine great problems with the cyber attack, conventional response scenario. 357 00:39:09,730 --> 00:39:14,440 It again creates great challenges to the way we understand war. 358 00:39:14,650 --> 00:39:17,650 So what can we do? Policy thing? Sorry, this is end of the paper. 359 00:39:17,650 --> 00:39:23,330 So you get to your questions. Ready now to address the new reality of intrastate war. 360 00:39:23,350 --> 00:39:28,000 Major Armies. The world should prepare for multilateral action in the role of nation building. 361 00:39:28,510 --> 00:39:34,710 Soldiers in the future should be trained more in the skills of policing than in traditional combat roles reserved for national defence. 362 00:39:35,320 --> 00:39:40,000 non-State sponsored terrorism is best handled by a cooperative international intelligence network. 363 00:39:40,390 --> 00:39:45,610 Where possible, the suspects should be captured and tried under the existing laws of state from which they reside, 364 00:39:46,000 --> 00:39:53,620 or when there's a failed plot or when there's a failed plot, or after the terrorist incident in the state where the terrorist action took place. 365 00:39:54,280 --> 00:39:58,720 Second, regarding robotic and cyber warfare, new rules must be drawn up. 366 00:39:59,080 --> 00:40:05,800 These rules governing anything will only work when participating parties agree to the rules and the mechanisms for enforcement. 367 00:40:06,370 --> 00:40:12,610 In two years at the Centre for American Progress, it became apparent to me that both of these proposals will not be easy to accomplish. 368 00:40:13,030 --> 00:40:20,360 Some suggestions. One In the case of cyber warfare, move away from at fault liability mindset, the traditional mindset. 369 00:40:20,390 --> 00:40:23,710 Move away from that and move into a strict liability mindset. 370 00:40:24,280 --> 00:40:29,650 This new mindset would look at damage caused by some actor and move it to international civil law. 371 00:40:30,070 --> 00:40:37,210 Since the attribution problem is so high, the new mindset would look at damage caused by some actor and move it to the civil law. 372 00:40:37,390 --> 00:40:45,040 We'd have to have agreeable penalties and so forth because the top 75 economies have most of the assets in the world in their banks. 373 00:40:45,040 --> 00:40:52,540 Or it's probably easy to enforce fines in the case of robotic and cyber warfare. 374 00:40:52,750 --> 00:40:59,080 There needs to be a set of internationally recognised compensation for when we do kill civilians, hurt civilians, injure them. 375 00:41:00,170 --> 00:41:08,560 International insurance companies already have these who's a great problem after 911 having compensation for the families that died or were injured. 376 00:41:09,130 --> 00:41:13,300 That's that proved to be a great problem. It took a number of years for it to be resolved. 377 00:41:13,990 --> 00:41:20,350 Time to do it is not after incidents, but before. So we should have a new international tribunal for that. 378 00:41:20,470 --> 00:41:23,290 A fifth fourth is a fifth Geneva Convention. 379 00:41:24,850 --> 00:41:34,030 And we would talk about issues of robotic and cyber warfare and restrict unjust actors in intrastate warfare and non-state sponsored terrorism. 380 00:41:34,810 --> 00:41:38,460 So these are these are four policy suggestions. 381 00:41:38,470 --> 00:41:44,380 Wouldn't it be a blessing in disguise if the contemporary challenges to just war theory of international conflict. 382 00:41:44,790 --> 00:41:53,759 Actually resulted in a new mechanism rooted in recognised law and backed up by global banking system that was actually able to find 383 00:41:53,760 --> 00:42:00,749 an original way to settle acts of aggression on territorial sovereignty of another nation through recognised legal protocols, 384 00:42:00,750 --> 00:42:06,240 instead of the sharing of blood in the traditional wave or via robots or cyber destruction. 385 00:42:07,110 --> 00:42:11,220 The integration of an updated rule of international law that an enforceable 386 00:42:11,520 --> 00:42:17,820 would bring just war theory up to date and give a new positive meaning to war. 387 00:42:18,720 --> 00:42:19,140 That's a.